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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for October 29 - 31, 2010
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 10.29.10)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Saw 3D

$24.5

N/A

2,808

$8,725

1

2

1

Paranormal Activity 2

$18.3

-53%

3,239

$5,650

2

3

2

Jackass 3D

$10.5

-50%

3,139

$3,345

3

4

3

RED

$10.1

-34%

3,349

$3,016

3

5

4

Hereafter

$7.3

-40%

2,424

$3,012

3

6

5

The Social Network

$5.0

-32%

2,767

$1,807

5

7

6

Secretariat

$4.7

-30%

3,108

$1,512

4

8

7

Life As We Know It

$3.9

-37%

2,860

$1,364

4

9

8

Legend of the Guardians

$2.2

-39%

2,010

$1,095

6

10

9

The Town

$1.7

-35%

1,608

$1,057

7

Est. Weekend Total
$88.20

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 39%

Est. Average PTA
$3,058



COMPARISONS:

SAW 3D (Lionsgate)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

RottenTomatoes

IMDB Users

Saw VI

10/23/09

3,036

$14.12

$4,650

$27.67

42%

6.2/10

Saw V

10/24/08

3,060

$30.05

$9,822

$56.75

13%

5.7/10

Saw IV

10/26/07

3,183

$31.76

$9,977

$63.30

17%

6.0/10

Saw III

10/27/06

3,167

$33.61

$10,613

$80.15

25%

6.3/10

Saw 2

10/28/05

2,949

$31.73

$10,758

$87.03

35%

6.7/10

Saw

10/29/04

2,315

$18.28

$7,895

$55.15

48%

7.7/10

Resident Evil: Afterlife 3D

9/10/10

3,203

$26.65

$8,320

$59.73

The Final Destination

8/29/09

3,121

$27.41

$8,782

$66.47

My Bloody Valentine 3D

1/16/09

2,534

$21.24

$8,383

$51.55



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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