Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for October 1 - 3, 2010
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 9.30.10)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

The Social Network

$29.2

N/A

2,771

$10,538

1

2

New

Let Me In

$11.6

N/A

2,020

$5,743

1

3

3

The Town

$10.1

-35%

2,935

$3,441

3

4

1

Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps

$10.0

-47%

3,597

$2,780

2

5

2

Legend of the Guardians

$9.8

-39%

3,575

$2,741

2

6

4

Easy A

$6.8

-36%

2,974

$2,286

3

7

New

Case 39

$5.6

N/A

2,211

$2,533

1

8

5

You Again

$4.7

-44%

2,548

$1,845

2

9

6

Devil

$3.5

-47%

2,450

$1,520

3

10

7

Resident Evil: Afterlife

$2.3

-54%

2,300

$1,206

4

Est. Weekend Total
$93.60

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 43%

Est. Average PTA
$3,464



COMPARISONS:

THE SOCIAL NETWORK (Sony)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

The Curious Case of Benjamin Button

12/26/09

2,988

$11.87

$26.85

$8,987

$127.51

Zodiac

3/2/07

2,362

$13.39

$5,671

$33.07

Panic Room

3/29/02

3,053

$30.06

$9,845

$95.31

Fight Club

10/15/99

1,963

$11.04

$5,624

$37.02

The Game

9/12/97

2,403

$14.34

$5,968

$48.27

Se7en

9/22/95

2,441

$13.95

$5,715

$100.12

21

3/28/08

2,648

$24.11

$9,103

$81.16

The Love Guru

6/20/08

3,012

$13.91

$4,617

$32.18

Black Snake Moan

3/2/07

1,252

$4.41

$3,309

$9.40

Alpha Dog

1/12/07

1,289

$6.41

$4,975

$15.22

Zombieland

10/2/09

3,036

$24.73

$8,147

$75.59

Adventureland

4/3/09

1,862

$5.72

$3,073

$16.04

The Departed

10/6/06

3,017

$26.89

$8,912

$133.31



LET ME IN (Overture)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Cloverfield

1/18/08

3,411

$40.06

$11,744

$80.05

Kick-Ass

4/16/10

3,065

$19.83

$6,469

$48.04

The Road

11/25/09

111

$1.50

$13,534

$8.11

The Visitor

4/11/08

4

$0.09

$21,622

$9.43

The Grudge 2

10/13/06

3,211

$20.83

$6,486

$39.14

The Grudge

10/22/04

3,245

$39.13

$12,058

$110.18

The Ring Two

3/18/05

3,332

$35.07

$10,524

$75.89

The Ring

10/18/02

1,981

$15.02

$7,580

$128.29

The Crazies

2/26/10

2,477

$16.07

$6,487

$39.12

Law Abiding Citizen

10/16/09

2,890

$21.04

$7,280

$73.36



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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