Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for November 5 - 7, 2010
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 11.4.10)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Megamind

$47.4

N/A

3,944

$12,018

1

2

New

Due Date

$32.6

N/A

3,355

$9,717

1

3

New

For Colored Girls

$23.3

N/A

2,127

$10,964

1

4

1

Saw 3D

$8.5

-65%

2,808

$3,027

2

5

2

Paranormal Activity 2

$7.3

-56%

3,168

$2,304

3

6

4

RED

$6.5

-39%

3,229

$2,013

4

7

3

Jackass 3D

$3.6

-58%

2,165

$1,663

4

8

5

Hereafter

$3.4

-47%

2,365

$1,438

4

9

7

Secretariat

$2.8

-44%

2,614

$1,071

5

10

6

The Social Network

$2.6

-43%

1,860

$1,398

6

Est. Weekend Total
$138.00

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 50%

Est. Average PTA
$4,560



COMPARISONS:

MEGAMIND (DreamWorks Animation/Paramount)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa

11/7/08

4,056

$63.10

$15,559

$180.01

Madagascar

5/27/05

4,131

$47.22

$14,769

$193.14

Monsters vs. Aliens

3/27/09

4,104

$59.32

$14,454

$198.35

The Incredibles

11/5/04

3,933

$70.47

$17,917

$261.44

How to Train Your Dragon

3/26/10

4,055

$43.73

$10,785

$217.15

Kung Fu Panda

6/6/08

4,114

$60.24

$14,642

$215.44

Bee Movie

11/2/07

3,928

$38.02

$9,679

$126.63

Shark Tale

10/1/04

4,016

$47.60

$11,854

$160.76

Despicable Me

7/9/10

3,476

$56.40

$16,225

$247.61

The Other Guys

8/6/10

3,651

$35.54

$9,735

$118.49

Land of the Lost

6/5/09

3,521

$18.84

$5,350

$69.46

Kicking & Screaming

5/13/05

3,455

$20.16

$5,835

$52.58

Elf

11/7/03

3,337

$31.11

$9,324

$172.70

Date Night

4/9/10

3,374

$25.21

$7,471

$98.46

Baby Mama

4/25/09

2,543

$17.41

$6,845

$60.49

Mean Girls

4/30/04

2,839

$24.43

$8,606

$86.05



DUE DATE (Warner Bros.)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

The Hangover

6/5/09

3,269

$44.98

$13,759

$277.37

Starsky and Hutch

3/5/04

3,185

$28.10

$8,824

$88.20

Old School

2/21/03

2,689

$17.45

$6,491

$75.16

Road Trip

5/19/00

2,530

$15.48

$6,119

$68.53

It's Kind of a Funny Story

10/8/10

742

$2.01

$2,713

$5.34

Dinner for Schmucks

7/30/10

2,911

$23.53

$8,082

$73.03

Youth in Revolt

1/8/10

1,873

$6.89

$3,678

$15.29

What Happens in Vegas

5/9/08

3,215

$20.17

$6,274

$80.28

Sherlock Holmes

12/25/09

3,626

$62.39

$17,206

$209.03

The Soloist

4/24/09

2,024

$9.72

$4,801

$31.72

Iron Man 2

5/7/10

4,380

$128.12

$29,252

$312.13

Tropic Thunder

8/13/08

3,319

$11.03

$25.81

$7,777

$110.46

Iron Man

5/2/08

4,105

$3.50

$98.62

$24,877

$316.04

Planes, Trains and Automobiles

11/25/87

1,118

$7.01

$6,270

$46.44

Vegas Vacation

2/14/97

2,054

$12.84

$6,251

$36.44

Christmas Vacation

12/1/89

1,744

$11.75

$6,738

$71.32

European Vacation

7/26/85

1,546

$12.33

$7,975

$49.40

National Lampoon's Vacation

7/29/83

1,175

$8.33

$7,092

$61.40

Eurotrip

2/20/04

2,512

$6.71

$2,672

$17.72



FOR COLORED GIRLS (Lionsgate)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married Too?

4/2/10

2,155

$29.29

$13,591

$60.05

Tyler Perry's I Can Do Bad All By Myself

9/11/09

2,255

$23.45

$10,398

$51.73

Tyler Perry's Madea Goes to Jail

2/20/09

2,032

$41.03

$20,192

$90.51

Tyler Perry's The Family That Preys

9/12/08

2,070

$17.38

$8,397

$37.02

Tyler Perry's Meet the Browns

3/21/08

2,006

$20.08

$10,011

$41.98

Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married?

10/12/07

2,011

$21.35

$10,618

$55.20

Tyler Perry's Daddy's Little Girls

2/14/07

2,111

$5.70

$11.20

$5,311

$31.37

Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion

2/24/06

2,194

$30.03

$13,688

$63.26

Diary of a Mad Black Woman

2/25/05

1,483

$21.91

$14,771

$50.38

Precious: Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire

11/6/09

629

$10.50

$10.88

$17,300

$47.57

Dreamgirls

12/29/06

852

$22.96

$14.10

$16,549

$103.34

Ray

10/29/04

2,006

$20.04

$9,990

$75.24



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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