Box Office Predictions for November 5 - 7,
2010
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis (final update 11.4.10)
Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out
the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything
written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost
always
responded to.
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Megamind |
$47.4 |
N/A |
3,944 |
$12,018 |
1 |
|
2 |
New |
Due Date |
$32.6 |
N/A |
3,355 |
$9,717 |
1 |
|
3 |
New |
For Colored Girls |
$23.3 |
N/A |
2,127 |
$10,964 |
1 |
|
4 |
1 |
Saw 3D |
$8.5 |
-65% |
2,808 |
$3,027 |
2 |
|
5 |
2 |
Paranormal Activity 2 |
$7.3 |
-56% |
3,168 |
$2,304 |
3 |
|
6 |
4 |
RED |
$6.5 |
-39% |
3,229 |
$2,013 |
4 |
|
7 |
3 |
Jackass 3D |
$3.6 |
-58% |
2,165 |
$1,663 |
4 |
|
8 |
5 |
Hereafter |
$3.4 |
-47% |
2,365 |
$1,438 |
4 |
|
9 |
7 |
Secretariat |
$2.8 |
-44% |
2,614 |
$1,071 |
5 |
|
10 |
6 |
The Social Network |
$2.6 |
-43% |
1,860 |
$1,398 |
6 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
COMPARISONS:
MEGAMIND (DreamWorks Animation/Paramount)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa |
11/7/08 |
4,056 |
$63.10 |
$15,559 |
$180.01 |
|
Madagascar |
5/27/05 |
4,131 |
$47.22 |
$14,769 |
$193.14 |
|
Monsters vs. Aliens |
3/27/09 |
4,104 |
$59.32 |
$14,454 |
$198.35 |
|
The Incredibles |
11/5/04 |
3,933 |
$70.47 |
$17,917 |
$261.44 |
|
How to Train Your Dragon |
3/26/10 |
4,055 |
$43.73 |
$10,785 |
$217.15 |
|
Kung Fu Panda |
6/6/08 |
4,114 |
$60.24 |
$14,642 |
$215.44 |
|
Bee Movie |
11/2/07 |
3,928 |
$38.02 |
$9,679 |
$126.63 |
|
Shark Tale |
10/1/04 |
4,016 |
$47.60 |
$11,854 |
$160.76 |
|
Despicable Me |
7/9/10 |
3,476 |
$56.40 |
$16,225 |
$247.61 |
|
The Other Guys |
8/6/10 |
3,651 |
$35.54 |
$9,735 |
$118.49 |
|
Land of the Lost |
6/5/09 |
3,521 |
$18.84 |
$5,350 |
$69.46 |
|
Kicking & Screaming |
5/13/05 |
3,455 |
$20.16 |
$5,835 |
$52.58 |
|
Elf |
11/7/03 |
3,337 |
$31.11 |
$9,324 |
$172.70 |
|
Date Night |
4/9/10 |
3,374 |
$25.21 |
$7,471 |
$98.46 |
|
Baby Mama |
4/25/09 |
2,543 |
$17.41 |
$6,845 |
$60.49 |
|
Mean Girls |
4/30/04 |
2,839 |
$24.43 |
$8,606 |
$86.05 |
DUE DATE (Warner Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Hangover |
6/5/09 |
3,269 |
$44.98 |
$13,759 |
$277.37 |
|
|
Starsky and Hutch |
3/5/04 |
3,185 |
$28.10 |
$8,824 |
$88.20 |
|
|
Old School |
2/21/03 |
2,689 |
$17.45 |
$6,491 |
$75.16 |
|
|
Road Trip |
5/19/00 |
2,530 |
$15.48 |
$6,119 |
$68.53 |
|
|
It's Kind of a Funny Story |
10/8/10 |
742 |
$2.01 |
$2,713 |
$5.34 |
|
|
Dinner for Schmucks |
7/30/10 |
2,911 |
$23.53 |
$8,082 |
$73.03 |
|
|
Youth in Revolt |
1/8/10 |
1,873 |
$6.89 |
$3,678 |
$15.29 |
|
|
What Happens in Vegas |
5/9/08 |
3,215 |
$20.17 |
$6,274 |
$80.28 |
|
|
Sherlock Holmes |
12/25/09 |
3,626 |
$62.39 |
$17,206 |
$209.03 |
|
|
The Soloist |
4/24/09 |
2,024 |
$9.72 |
$4,801 |
$31.72 |
|
|
Iron Man 2 |
5/7/10 |
4,380 |
$128.12 |
$29,252 |
$312.13 |
|
|
Tropic Thunder |
8/13/08 |
3,319 |
$11.03 |
$25.81 |
$7,777 |
$110.46 |
|
Iron Man |
5/2/08 |
4,105 |
$3.50 |
$98.62 |
$24,877 |
$316.04 |
|
Planes, Trains and Automobiles |
11/25/87 |
1,118 |
$7.01 |
$6,270 |
$46.44 |
|
|
Vegas Vacation |
2/14/97 |
2,054 |
$12.84 |
$6,251 |
$36.44 |
|
|
Christmas Vacation |
12/1/89 |
1,744 |
$11.75 |
$6,738 |
$71.32 |
|
|
European Vacation |
7/26/85 |
1,546 |
$12.33 |
$7,975 |
$49.40 |
|
|
National Lampoon's Vacation |
7/29/83 |
1,175 |
$8.33 |
$7,092 |
$61.40 |
|
|
Eurotrip |
2/20/04 |
2,512 |
$6.71 |
$2,672 |
$17.72 |
FOR COLORED GIRLS (Lionsgate)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married Too? |
4/2/10 |
2,155 |
$29.29 |
$13,591 |
$60.05 |
|
|
Tyler Perry's I Can Do Bad All By Myself |
9/11/09 |
2,255 |
$23.45 |
$10,398 |
$51.73 |
|
|
Tyler Perry's Madea Goes to Jail |
2/20/09 |
2,032 |
$41.03 |
$20,192 |
$90.51 |
|
|
Tyler Perry's The Family That Preys |
9/12/08 |
2,070 |
$17.38 |
$8,397 |
$37.02 |
|
|
Tyler Perry's Meet the Browns |
3/21/08 |
2,006 |
$20.08 |
$10,011 |
$41.98 |
|
|
Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married? |
10/12/07 |
2,011 |
$21.35 |
$10,618 |
$55.20 |
|
|
Tyler Perry's Daddy's Little Girls |
2/14/07 |
2,111 |
$5.70 |
$11.20 |
$5,311 |
$31.37 |
|
Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion |
2/24/06 |
2,194 |
$30.03 |
$13,688 |
$63.26 |
|
|
Diary of a Mad Black Woman |
2/25/05 |
1,483 |
$21.91 |
$14,771 |
$50.38 |
|
|
Precious: Based on the Novel Push by Sapphire |
11/6/09 |
629 |
$10.50 |
$10.88 |
$17,300 |
$47.57 |
|
Dreamgirls |
12/29/06 |
852 |
$22.96 |
$14.10 |
$16,549 |
$103.34 |
|
Ray |
10/29/04 |
2,006 |
$20.04 |
$9,990 |
$75.24 |
Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas
FX Casts John Hurt in The Strain
Sin City: A Dame to Kill For Moves to August 2014
Ryan Reynolds Drops Out of Summit's Highlander Reboot
Prometheus Sequel Gets Itself a Writer
Idris Elba is a Trouble Maker on the Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom Poster
A New The Lone Ranger Featurette Explores the Craft
New Images From Disney's Frozen
Morgan Freeman Targets Lucy Opposite Scarlett Johansson
Disney Channel Orders Girl Meets World to Series
FilmDistrict Takes Are We Officially Dating?
