)

Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for November 19 - 21, 2010
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 11.19.10)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 1

$127.8

N/A

4,125

$30,982

1

2

1

Megamind

$15.8

-46%

3,779

$4,181

3

3

3

Unstoppable

$12.5

-43%

3,207

$3,898

2

4

New

The Next Three Days

$10.2

N/A

2,564

$3,978

1

5

4

Due Date

$8.0

-48%

3,229

$2,478

3

6

5

Morning Glory

$5.2

-43%

2,544

$2,044

2

7

2

Skyline

$3.7

-68%

2,882

$1,284

2

8

6

For Colored Girls

$2.9

-5%

1,216

$2,385

3

9

7

RED

$2.6

-46%

2,034

$1,278

6

10

15

Fair Game

$1.2

39%

386

$3,109

3

Est. Weekend Total
$189.90

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 39%

Est. Average PTA
$5,562



COMPARISONS:

HARRY POTTER AND THE DEATHLY HALLOWS PART ONE (Warner Bros.)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince

7/15/09

4,325

$80.19

$77.84

$17,997

$301.75

Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix

7/11/07

4,181

$62.61

$77.11

$17,995

$292.00

Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire

11/18/05

3,858

$102.69

$26,616

$289.99

Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban

6/4/04

3,855

$93.69

$24,303

$249.51

Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets

11/15/02

3,682

$88.36

$23,997

$261.99

Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone

11/16/01

3,672

$90.29

$24,590

$317.57

The Twilight Saga: Eclipse

6/30/10

4,468

$64.83

$14,510

The Twilight Saga: New Moon

11/20/09

4,024

$142.84

$35,497

$296.60

Twilight

11/21/08

3,419

$69.64

$20,368

$191.41



THE NEXT THREE DAYS (Lionsgate)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

In the Valley of Elah

9/14/07

762

$1.93

$1.51

$1,985

$6.77

Crash

5/6/05

1,864

$9.11

$4,886

$54.56

Robin Hood

514/10

3,503

$36.06

$10,295

$105.22

State of Play

4/17/09

2,803

$14.07

$5,020

$37.02

Body of Lies

10/10/08

2,710

$12.88

$4,754

$39.39

American Gangster

11/2/07

3,054

$43.57

$14,265

$130.16

3:10 to Yuma

9/7/07

2,652

$14.04

$5,292

$53.61

Master and Commander; The Far Side of the World

11/14/03

3,101

$25.11

$8,096

$87.57

A Beautiful Mind

1/4/02

1,853

$21.21

$16.57

$8,940

$170.71

Proof of Life

12/8/00

2,705

$10.21

$3,774

$32.56

Taken

1/30/09

3,183

$24.72

$7,765

$145.00



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

Follow ComingSoon.net on Twitter
MOST ACTIVE
From our partners