Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for May 7 - 9, 2010
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.


TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Iron Man 2

$162.3

N/A

4,350

$37,310

1

2

1

Nightmare on Elm Street

$11.5

-65%

3,332

$3,451

2

3

2

How to Train Your Dragon

$6.8

-36%

2,950

$2,305

7

4

3

Date Night

$5.0

-35%

2,800

$1,786

5

5

4

The Back-Up Plan

$4.0

-45%

2,850

$1,404

3

6

5

Furry Vengeance

$3.6

-45%

2,997

$1,201

2

7

New

Babies

$3.3

N/A

535

$6,168

1

8

7

Clash of the Titans

$3.1

-47%

2,150

$1,442

6

9

6

The Losers

$3.1

-48%

2,550

$1,216

3

10

9

Death at a Funeral

$2.1

-49%

1,900

$1,105

4

Est. Weekend Total
$204.80

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 46%

Est. Average PTA
$5,739



COMPARISONS:

IRON MAN 2 (Marvel/Paramount)


Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Iron Man

5/2/08

4,105

$3.50

$98.62

$24,877

$316.04

Sherlock Holmes

12/25/09

3,626

$62.39

$17,206

$209.03

Tropic Thunder

8/13/08

3,319

$11.03

$25.81

$7,777

$110.46

Ocean's Thirteen

6/8/07

3,565

$36.13

$10,136

$117.14

Ocean's Twelve

12/10/04

3,290

$39.15

$11,901

$125.40

Ocean's 11

12/7/01

3,075

$38.11

$12,393

$183.13

The Island

7/22/05

3,122

$12.41

$3,975

$35.26

Spider-Man 3

5/4/07

4,252

$151.12

$35,540

$336.53

Spider-Man 2

7/2/04

4,152

$64.26

$88.52

$21,232

$371.17

Spider-Man

5/3/02

3,615

$114.84

$31,769

$405.69

X2: X-Men United

5/2/03

3,741

$85.56

$22,871

$214.95

The X-Men

7/14/00

3,025

$54.47

$18,007

$157.30

The Incredible Hulk

6/13/08

3,505

$55.41

$15,810

$134.53

The Hulk

6/20/03

3,660

$62.13

$16,975

$132.12

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer

6/15/07

3,957

$58.05

$14,670

$131.92

Fantastic Four

7/8/05

3,602

$56.06

$15,564

$154.70

Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

5/25/07

4,362

$13.24

$114.73

$26,303

$309.40

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

7/7/06

4,133

$135.62

$32,817

$423.27

Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl

7/11/03

3,269

$24.00

$46.63

$14,264

$305.41

The Dark Knight

7/18/08

4,366

$158.41

$36,283

$533.35

Batman Begins

6/17/05

3,858

$24.15

$48.75

$12,635

$205.09



BABIES (Focus Features)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Super Babies: Baby Geniuses 2

8/27/04

1,276

$3.25

$2,548

$9.11

Baby Geniuses

3/12/99

1,689

$5.61

$3,321

$27.14

Look Who's Talking Now

11/5/93

1,858

$4.02

$2,164

$10.17

Look Who's Talking Too

12/14/90

1,576

$8.10

$5,140

$46.61

Look Who's Talking

10/13/89

1,208

$12.11

$10,025

$140.09



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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