Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for May 28 - May 31, 2010
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (Final Update 5.27.10)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Sex and the City 2

$65.5

N/A

3,445

$19,013

1

2

1

Shrek Forever After

$53.3

-25%

4,367

$12,205

2

3

New

Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time

$51.2

N/A

3,646

$14,043

1

4

2

Iron Man 2

$18.8

-28%

3,804

$4,942

4

5

3

Robin Hood

$12.2

-35%

3,373

$3,617

3

6

4

Letters to Juliet

$7.2

-20%

2,825

$2,549

3

7

5

Just Wright

$2.6

-39%

1,195

$2,176

3

8

6

MacGruber

$2.5

-37%

2,546

$982

2

9

7

Date Night

$2.3

-22%

1,126

$2,043

8

10

9

How to Train Your Dragon

$1.3

-35%

825

$1,515

10

Est. Weekend Total
$216.85

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 30%

Est. Average PTA
$6,308



COMPARISONS:


SEX AND THE CITY 2 (New Line/WB)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Sex and the City

5/30/08

3,285

$56.85

$17,305

$152.65

Did You Hear About the Morgans?

12/18/09

2,718

$6.62

$2,434

$29.58

Failure to Launch

3/10/06

3,057

$24.41

$7,985

$88.72

The Family Stone

12/16/05

2,466

$12.52

$5,077

$60.06

Couples Retreat

10/9/09

3,000

$34.29

$11,429

$108.96

Deck the Halls

11/24/06

3,205

$12.00

$3,745

$35.09

The Shaggy Dog

3/10/06

3,501

$16.31

$4,659

$61.11

Ice Princess

3/18/05

2,501

$6.81

$2,722

$24.38

Crossroads

2/15/02

2,380

$17.01

$7,149

$37.19

Baby Geniuses

3/12/99

1,689

$5.61

$3,321

$27.14

The Twilight Saga: New Moon

11/20/09

4,024

$142.84

$35,497

$296.60

Twilight

11/21/08

3,419

$69.64

$20,368

$191.41



PRINCE OF PERSIA: THE SANDS OF TIME (Walt Disney Pictures)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Zodiac

3/2/07

2,362

$13.39

$5,671

$33.07

Rendition

10/19/07

2,250

$4.06

$1,804

$9.66

Brokeback Mountain

12/9/05

217

$4.94

$1.91

$8,803

$82.86

Jarhead

11/4/05

2,411

$27.73

$11,500

$62.65

The Day After Tomorrow

5/28/04

3,425

$68.74

$20,071

$186.58

Clash of the Titans

4/2/10

3,777

$61.24

$16,213

$160.60

Quantum of Solace

11/14/08

3,451

$67.53

$19,568

$169.37

Spider-Man 2

7/2/04

4,152

$64.26

$88.52

$21,232

$371.17

Shutter Island

2/19/10

2,991

$41.06

$13,729

$127.21

Bloodrayne

1/6/06

986

$1.55

$1,574

$2.41

Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire

11/18/05

3,858

$102.69

$26,616

$289.99

King Arthur

7/9/04

3,086

$8.43

$15.19

$4,924

$51.80

Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl

7/11/03

3,269

$24.00

$46.63

$14,264

$305.41

Silent Hill

4/21/06

2,926

$20.15

$6,887

$46.98

Doom

10/21/05

3,044

$15.49

$5,088

$27.62

Lara Croft Tomb Raider: The Cradle of Life

7/25/03

3,222

$21.78

$6,761

$65.65

Lara Croft:Tomb Raider

6/15/01

3,308

$47.74

$14,430

$131.14

Mortal Kombat: Anihilation

11/21/97

2,140

$16.77

$7,836

$35.89

Mortal Kombat

8/18/95

2,421

$23.28

$9,616

$70.43

The Mummy Returns

5/4/01

3,401

$68.14

$20,035

$202.01

The Mummy

5/7/99

3,210

$43.37

$13,511

$155.25

Terminator Salvation

5/21/09

3,530

$65.32

$12,056

$125.32

Hidalgo

3/5/04

3,063

$18.83

$6,147

$67.29


Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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