Box Office Predictions for March 26 - 28,
2010
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis (final update 3.25.10)
Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out
the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything
written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost
always
responded to.
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
How to Train Your Dragon |
$42.8 |
N/A |
4,055 |
$10,567 |
1 |
|
2 |
New |
Hot Tub Time Machine |
$20.7 |
N/A |
2,754 |
$7,516 |
1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Alice in Wonderland |
$18.8 |
-45% |
3,384 |
$5,556 |
4 |
|
4 |
2 |
Diary of a Wimpy Kid |
$13.3 |
-40% |
3,083 |
$4,314 |
2 |
|
5 |
3 |
The Bounty Hunter |
$11.8 |
-45% |
3,074 |
$3,741 |
2 |
|
6 |
7 |
She's Out of My League |
$3.6 |
-38% |
2,432 |
$1,439 |
3 |
|
7 |
5 |
Repo Men |
$3.1 |
-48% |
2,519 |
$1,270 |
2 |
|
8 |
6 |
Green Zone |
$2.8 |
-53% |
2,557 |
$1,134 |
3 |
|
9 |
7 |
Shutter Island |
$2.9 |
-40% |
2,133 |
$1,272 |
6 |
|
10 |
8 |
Avatar |
$2.2 |
-45% |
930 |
$2,366 |
15 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
COMPARISONS:
HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON (DreamWorks
Animation/Paramount)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Monsters vs. Aliens |
3/27/09 |
4,104 |
$59.32 |
$14,454 |
$198.35 |
|
|
Kung Fu Panda |
6/6/08 |
4,114 |
$60.24 |
$14,642 |
$215.44 |
|
|
Bee Movie |
11/2/07 |
3,928 |
$38.02 |
$9,679 |
$126.63 |
|
|
Over the Hedge |
5/19/06 |
4,059 |
$38.46 |
$9,475 |
$155.02 |
|
|
Shark Tale |
10/1/04 |
4,016 |
$47.60 |
$11,854 |
$160.76 |
|
|
Shrek |
5/18/01 |
3,587 |
$0.04 |
$42.35 |
$11,805 |
$267.65 |
|
Nim's Island |
4/4/08 |
3,513 |
$13.21 |
$3,760 |
$48.06 |
|
|
Lilo & Stitch |
6/21/02 |
3,191 |
$35.26 |
$11,049 |
$145.18 |
|
|
Robots |
3/11/05 |
3,776 |
$36.05 |
$9,546 |
$128.19 |
|
|
Dr. Seuss' Horton Hears a Who |
3/14/08 |
3,954 |
$45.01 |
$11,384 |
$154.53 |
|
|
The Ant Bully |
7/28/06 |
3,050 |
$8.43 |
$2,765 |
$28.13 |
|
|
Eragon |
12/15/06 |
3,020 |
$23.24 |
$7,695 |
$75.03 |
|
|
Reign of Fire |
7/12/02 |
2,629 |
$15.63 |
$5,946 |
$43.06 |
|
|
Bolt |
11/21/08 |
3,651 |
$26.22 |
$7,182 |
$114.05 |
HOT TUB TIME MACHINE (MGM)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
2012 |
11/13/09 |
3,404 |
$65.24 |
$19,165 |
$166.13 |
|
|
1408 |
6/22/07 |
2,678 |
$20.62 |
$7,699 |
$71.98 |
|
|
Grosse Pointe Blank |
4/11/97 |
1,227 |
$6.87 |
$5,599 |
$28.03 |
|
|
Sex Drive |
10/17/08 |
2,421 |
$3.61 |
$1,490 |
$8.40 |
|
|
Zack and Miri Make a Porno |
10/31/08 |
2,735 |
$10.06 |
$3,680 |
$31.45 |
|
|
Pineapple Express |
8/6/08 |
3,072 |
$18.07 |
$23.25 |
$7,567 |
$87.34 |
|
Knocked Up |
6/1/07 |
2,871 |
$30.69 |
$10,690 |
$146.28 |
|
|
Accepted |
8/18/06 |
2,914 |
$10.02 |
$3,440 |
$36.58 |
|
|
The Hangover |
6/5/09 |
3,269 |
$44.98 |
$13,759 |
$268.28 |
|
|
Eurotrip |
2/20/04 |
2,512 |
$6.71 |
$2,672 |
$17.72 |
|
|
Harold & Kumar: Escape from Guantanamo Bay |
4/25/08 |
2,510 |
$14.91 |
$5,940 |
$38.11 |
|
|
Harold and Kumar Go to White Castle |
7/30/04 |
2,135 |
$5.48 |
$2,567 |
$18.23 |
|
|
Bill and Ted's Bogus Journey |
7/19/91 |
1,620 |
$10.24 |
$6,321 |
$37.54 |
|
|
Bill and Ted's Excellent Adventure |
2/17/89 |
1,196 |
$6.17 |
$5,159 |
$39.92 |
|
|
College |
8/29/08 |
2,123 |
$2.15 |
$1,014 |
$4.69 |
Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas
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