Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for March 26 - 28, 2010
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 3.25.10)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

How to Train Your Dragon

$42.8

N/A

4,055

$10,567

1

2

New

Hot Tub Time Machine

$20.7

N/A

2,754

$7,516

1

3

1

Alice in Wonderland

$18.8

-45%

3,384

$5,556

4

4

2

Diary of a Wimpy Kid

$13.3

-40%

3,083

$4,314

2

5

3

The Bounty Hunter

$11.8

-45%

3,074

$3,741

2

6

7

She's Out of My League

$3.6

-38%

2,432

$1,439

3

7

5

Repo Men

$3.1

-48%

2,519

$1,270

2

8

6

Green Zone

$2.8

-53%

2,557

$1,134

3

9

7

Shutter Island

$2.9

-40%

2,133

$1,272

6

10

8

Avatar

$2.2

-45%

930

$2,366

15

Est. Weekend Total
$121.60

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 44%

Est. Average PTA
$3,916



COMPARISONS:

HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON (DreamWorks Animation/Paramount)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Monsters vs. Aliens

3/27/09

4,104

$59.32

$14,454

$198.35

Kung Fu Panda

6/6/08

4,114

$60.24

$14,642

$215.44

Bee Movie

11/2/07

3,928

$38.02

$9,679

$126.63

Over the Hedge

5/19/06

4,059

$38.46

$9,475

$155.02

Shark Tale

10/1/04

4,016

$47.60

$11,854

$160.76

Shrek

5/18/01

3,587

$0.04

$42.35

$11,805

$267.65

Nim's Island

4/4/08

3,513

$13.21

$3,760

$48.06

Lilo & Stitch

6/21/02

3,191

$35.26

$11,049

$145.18

Robots

3/11/05

3,776

$36.05

$9,546

$128.19

Dr. Seuss' Horton Hears a Who

3/14/08

3,954

$45.01

$11,384

$154.53

The Ant Bully

7/28/06

3,050

$8.43

$2,765

$28.13

Eragon

12/15/06

3,020

$23.24

$7,695

$75.03

Reign of Fire

7/12/02

2,629

$15.63

$5,946

$43.06

Bolt

11/21/08

3,651

$26.22

$7,182

$114.05



HOT TUB TIME MACHINE (MGM)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

2012

11/13/09

3,404

$65.24

$19,165

$166.13

1408

6/22/07

2,678

$20.62

$7,699

$71.98

Grosse Pointe Blank

4/11/97

1,227

$6.87

$5,599

$28.03

Sex Drive

10/17/08

2,421

$3.61

$1,490

$8.40

Zack and Miri Make a Porno

10/31/08

2,735

$10.06

$3,680

$31.45

Pineapple Express

8/6/08

3,072

$18.07

$23.25

$7,567

$87.34

Knocked Up

6/1/07

2,871

$30.69

$10,690

$146.28

Accepted

8/18/06

2,914

$10.02

$3,440

$36.58

The Hangover

6/5/09

3,269

$44.98

$13,759

$268.28

Eurotrip

2/20/04

2,512

$6.71

$2,672

$17.72

Harold & Kumar: Escape from Guantanamo Bay

4/25/08

2,510

$14.91

$5,940

$38.11

Harold and Kumar Go to White Castle

7/30/04

2,135

$5.48

$2,567

$18.23

Bill and Ted's Bogus Journey

7/19/91

1,620

$10.24

$6,321

$37.54

Bill and Ted's Excellent Adventure

2/17/89

1,196

$6.17

$5,159

$39.92

College

8/29/08

2,123

$2.15

$1,014

$4.69



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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