Box Office Predictions for March 12 - 14,
2010
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis (final update 3.11.10)
Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out
the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything
written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost
always
responded to.
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
1 |
Alice in Wonderland |
$42.5 |
-63% |
3,730 |
$11,394 |
2 |
|
2 |
New |
Green Zone |
$19.5 |
N/A |
2,980 |
$6,460 |
1 |
|
3 |
New |
She's Out of My League |
$12.6 |
N/A |
2,750 |
$4,263 |
1 |
|
4 |
New |
Remember Me |
$11.5 |
N/A |
1,940 |
$5,199 |
1 |
|
5 |
3 |
Shutter Island |
$8.1 |
-39% |
2,850 |
$2,414 |
4 |
|
6 |
New |
Our Family Wedding |
$7.3 |
N/A |
1,620 |
$4,548 |
1 |
|
7 |
2 |
Brooklyn's Finest |
$7.1 |
-47% |
1,936 |
$3,662 |
2 |
|
8 |
5 |
Avatar |
$5.8 |
-30% |
1,850 |
$3,376 |
13 |
|
9 |
4 |
Cop Out |
$5.0 |
-46% |
2,950 |
$1,735 |
3 |
|
10 |
6 |
The Crazies |
$3.7 |
-48% |
2,200 |
$1,568 |
3 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
COMPARISONS:
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Invictus |
12/11/09 |
2,125 |
$8.61 |
$4,052 |
$37.11 |
|
|
The Informant! |
9/18/09 |
2,505 |
$10.46 |
$4,177 |
$33.32 |
|
|
The Bourne Ultimatum |
83/07 |
3,660 |
$69.28 |
$18,930 |
$227.47 |
|
|
The Bourne Supremacy |
7/23/04 |
3,165 |
$52.52 |
$16,595 |
$170.45 |
|
|
The Good Shepherd |
12/22/06 |
2,215 |
$10.03 |
$4,530 |
$59.91 |
|
|
The Departed |
10/6/06 |
3,017 |
$26.89 |
$8,912 |
$133.31 |
|
|
Syriana |
11/25/05 |
1,752 |
$1.49 |
$11.74 |
$6,699 |
$50.82 |
|
United 93 |
4/28/06 |
1,795 |
$11.48 |
$6,395 |
$31.84 |
|
|
The Hurt Locker |
6/26/09 |
523 |
$4.85 |
$1.91 |
$3,653 |
$12.67 |
|
Rendition |
10/19/07 |
2,250 |
$4.06 |
$1,804 |
$9.66 |
|
|
The Kingdom |
9/28/07 |
2,793 |
$17.13 |
$6,135 |
$47.47 |
|
|
Invictus |
12/11/09 |
2,125 |
$8.61 |
$4,052 |
$37.11 |
|
|
The Informant! |
9/18/09 |
2,505 |
$10.46 |
$4,177 |
$33.32 |
SHE’S OUT OF MY LEAGUE (Paramount/DreamWorks)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Tropic Thunder |
8/13/08 |
3,319 |
$11.03 |
$25.81 |
$7,777 |
$110.46 |
|
Knocked Up |
6/1/07 |
2,871 |
$30.69 |
$10,690 |
$146.28 |
|
|
Starter for Ten |
2/23/07 |
10 |
$0.04 |
$1,857 |
$0.21 |
|
|
I Love You, Man |
3/20/09 |
2,711 |
$17.18 |
$6,570 |
$71.14 |
|
|
Forgetting Sarah Marshall |
4/18/08 |
2,798 |
$17.73 |
$6,335 |
$63.17 |
|
|
The Girl Next Door |
4/9/04 |
2,148 |
$6.00 |
$2,795 |
$14.59 |
|
|
Shallow Hal |
11/9/01 |
2,771 |
$23.28 |
$8,401 |
$70.83 |
|
|
American Pie |
7/9/99 |
2,507 |
$18.71 |
$7,463 |
$101.74 |
|
|
There's Something About Mary |
7/17/98 |
2,186 |
$4.06 |
$13.74 |
$6,285 |
$176.48 |
REMEMBER ME (Summit Entertainment)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Twilight Saga: New Moon |
11/20/09 |
4,024 |
$142.84 |
$35,497 |
$296.01 |
|
|
Twilight |
11/21/08 |
3,419 |
$69.64 |
$20,368 |
$191.41 |
|
|
Little Ashes |
5/8/09 |
12 |
$0.73 |
$6,116 |
$0.48 |
|
|
Hollywoodland |
9/8/06 |
1,548 |
$5.93 |
$3,828 |
$14.43 |
|
|
Dear John |
2/5/10 |
2,969 |
$30.47 |
$10,262 |
$74.80 |
|
|
My Sister's Keeper |
6/26/09 |
2,606 |
$12.44 |
$4,774 |
$49.20 |
|
|
The Notebook |
6/25/04 |
2,303 |
$13.46 |
$5,847 |
$79.67 |
|
|
Bandslam |
8/14/09 |
2,121 |
$2.23 |
$1,052 |
$5.21 |
OUR FAMILY WEDDING (20th Century Fox)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants 2 |
8/6/08 |
2,707 |
$10.68 |
$3,945 |
$44.08 |
|
|
The Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants |
6/3/05 |
2,583 |
$3.74 |
$9.83 |
$3,807 |
$38.83 |
|
Something New |
2/3/06 |
1,265 |
$4.88 |
$3,857 |
$11.47 |
|
|
The Last King of Scotland |
9/29/06 |
495 |
$3.73 |
$1.61 |
$3,252 |
$17.61 |
|
Phone Booth |
4/4/03 |
2,481 |
$15.02 |
$6,054 |
$46.56 |
|
|
Panic Room |
3/29/02 |
3,053 |
$30.06 |
$9,845 |
$95.31 |
|
|
This Christmas |
11/21/07 |
1,858 |
8.38 |
$17.96 |
$9,665 |
$49.12 |
|
Nothing Like the Holidays |
12/12/08 |
1,671 |
$3.53 |
$2,114 |
$7.50 |
|
|
My Big Fat Greek Wedding |
8/2/02 |
657 |
$37.17 |
$3.00 |
$4,569 |
$241.44 |
|
Brown Sugar |
10/11/02 |
1,372 |
$10.74 |
$7,827 |
$27.36 |
|
|
The Wood |
7/16/99 |
1,191 |
$8.52 |
$7,154 |
$25.05 |
|
|
Roll Bounce |
9/23/05 |
1,625 |
$7.57 |
$4,659 |
$17.38 |
|
|
Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married? |
10/12/07 |
2,011 |
$21.35 |
$10,618 |
$55.20 |
|
|
The Wedding Date |
2/4/05 |
1,695 |
$11.13 |
$6,566 |
$31.59 |
|
|
The Wedding Planner |
1/26/01 |
2,785 |
$13.51 |
$4,851 |
$60.40 |
Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas
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