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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for June 4 - 6, 2010
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 6.3.10)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

1

Shrek Forever After

$22.6

-48%

4,386

$5,512

3

2

New

Get Him to the Greek

$19.4

N/A

2,696

$7,159

1

3

2

Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time

$15.0

-49%

3,646

$4,247

2

4

New

Killers

$14.5

N/A

2,859

$5,072

1

5

3

Sex and the City 2

$14.0

-57%

3,445

$4,002

2

6

New

Marmaduke

$13.7

N/A

3,213

$4,264

1

7

New

Splice

$11.2

N/A

2,450

$4,571

1

8

4

Iron Man 2

$8.4

-49%

3,007

$2,274

5

9

5

Robin Hood

$5.5

-45%

2,581

$1,839

4

10

6

Letters to Juliet

$3.1

-42%

1,962

$906

4

     

Est. Weekend Total
$127.40

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 49%

 

Est. Average PTA
$4,094

 


COMPARISONS:

MARMADUKE (20th Century Fox)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Garfield: A Tale of Two Kitties

6/16/06

2,946

$7.29

$2,474

$28.43

Garfield

6/11/04

3,094

$21.73

$7,023

$75.18

Scooby-Doo 2: Monsters Unleashed

3/26/04

3,312

$29.44

$8,888

$84.19

Scooby-Doo

6/14/02

3,447

$54.16

$15,712

$153.29

Alvin and the Chipmnks: The Squeakquel

12/23/09

3,700

$26.71

$48.88

$13,210

$219.61

Alvin and the Chipmunks

12/14/07

3,475

$44.31

$12,750

$217.33

Underdog

8/3/07

3,013

$11.59

$3,845

$43.12

G-Force

7/24/09

3,697

$31.71

$8,576

$119.42

Marley and Me

12/5/08

3,480

$14.38

$36.36

$10,448

$143.15

Clifford's Really Big Movie

4/23/04

471

$1.15

$0.66

$1,397

$2.83

Clifford

4/1/94

1,014

$2.57

$2,535

$7.35

Beverly Hills Chihuahua

10/3/08

3,215

$29.30

$9,114

$94.49

Firehouse Dog

4/4/07

2,860

$3.84

$1,342

$13.93



GET HIM TO THE GREEK (Universal)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

The Invention of Lying

10/2/09

1,707

$7.07

$4,117

$18.45

Funny People

7/31/09

3,007

$22.66

$7,535

$51.81

Forgetting Sarah Marshall

4/18/08

2,798

$17.73

$6,335

$63.17

Superbad

8/17/07

2,948

$33.05

$11,212

$121.46

Accepted

8/18/06

2,914

$10.02

$3,440

$36.58

Bedtime Stories

12/25/08

3,681

$27.45

$7,457

$110.10

The Rocker

8/20/08

2,784

$2.64

$947

$6.41

Walk Hard: The Dewey Cox Story

12/21/07

2,650

$4.17

$1,575

$18.32

The School of Rock

10/3/03

2,614

$19.62

$7,507

$81.05

Rock Star

9/7/01

2,525

$6.02

$2,384

$16.99

Road Trip

5/19/00

2,530

$15.48

$6,119

$68.53



KILLERS (Lionsgate)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

The Ugly Truth

7/24/09

2,882

$27.61

$9,579

$88.91

27 Dresses

1/18/08

3,057

$23.01

$7,526

$76.65

Knocked Up

6/1/07

2,871

$30.69

$10,690

$146.28

Valentine's Day

2/12/10

3,665

$56.26

$15,351

$110.46

What Happens in Vegas

5/9/08

3,215

$20.17

$6,274

$80.28

Guess Who

3/25/05

3,147

$20.67

$6,569

$67.96

Just Married

1/10/03

2,766

$17.55

$6,345

$56.13

Dude, Where's My Car?

12/15/00

2,087

$13.85

$6,634

$46.72

The Bounty Hunter

3/19/10

3,074

$20.69

$6,729

$65.26

My Best Friend's Girl

9/19/09

2,604

$8.27

$3,174

$19.15



SPLICE (Warner Bros.)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

The Jacket

3/4/05

1,331

$2.72

$2,046

$6.30

The Pianist

3/28/03

557

$9.77

$1.45

$2,613

$32.52

Dawn of the Dead

3/19/04

2,745

$26.72

$9,735

$58.89

Orphan

7/24/09

2,750

$12.87

$4,681

$40.72

The Reaping

4/6/07

2,603

$10.03

$3,851

$25.13

Pandorum

9/25/09

2,506

$4.42

$1,765

$10.33

Species 2

4/10/98

2,510

$7.27

$2,896

$19.19

Species

7/7/95

2,310

$17.16

$7,429

$60.05

Virus

1/15/99

2,020

$5.22

$2,584

$14.04

Open Water

8/6/04

2,709

$3.08

$11.41

$4,213

$30.17

The Blair Witch Project

7/30/99

1,101

$6.93

$29.21

$26,530

$140.53



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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