Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for June 18 - 20, 2010
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (updated 6.17.10)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Toy Story 3

$115.3

N/A

4,028

$28,625

1

2

1

The Karate Kid

$31.8

-42%

3,663

$8,681

2

3

2

The A-Team

$12.7

-51%

3,544

$3,584

2

4

New

Jonah Hex

$10.1

N/A

2,825

$3,575

1

5

3

Shrek Forever After

$8.3

-48%

3,207

$2,588

5

6

4

Get Him to the Greek

$5.5

-42%

2,584

$2,128

3

7

5

Killers

$4.2

-48%

2,619

$1,604

3

8

6

Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time

$3.0

-54%

2,605

$1,152

4

9

7

Marmaduke

$2.7

-51%

2,495

$1,082

3

10

8

Sex and the City 2

$2.5

-52%

1,680

$1,488

4

Est. Weekend Total
$196.10

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 49%

Est. Average PTA
$5,451



COMPARISONS:

TOY STORY 3 (Disney/Pixar)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Toy Story 2

11/24/99

3,236

$0.38

$57.39

$17,735

$245.82

Toy Story

11/24/95

2,457

$29.14

$11,860

$191.78

Up

5/29/09

3,766

$68.11

$18,805

$293.00

WALL•E

6/27/08

3992

$63.09

$15,803

$223.81

Ratatouille

6/29/07

3,940

$47.03

$11,936

$206.45

The Incredibles

11/5/04

3,933

$70.47

$17,917

$261.44

Finding Nemo

5/30/03

3,374

$70.25

$20,821

$339.71

Monsters, Inc.

11/2/01

3,237

$63.48

$19,611

$252.89

The Santa Clause 3: The Escape Clause

11/3/06

3,458

$19.50

$5,640

$84.50

The Santa Clause 2

11/1/02

3,350

$29.01

$8,659

$139.14

The Santa Clause

11/11/94

2,183

$19.32

$8,850

$144.83

Alice in Wonderland

3/5/10

3,728

$116.10

$31,143

$333.64

Shrek the Third

5/18/07

4,122

$0.91

$121.63

$29,507

$320.71

Shrek 2

5/21/04

4,163

$20.95

$108.04

$25,952

$436.47

Shrek

5/18/01

3,587

$0.04

$42.35

$11,805

$267.65

Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs

7/1/09

4,032

$25.04

$41.69

$10,171

$195.57

Ice Age: the Meltdown

3/31/06

3,964

$68.03

$17,163

$195.33

Ice Age

3/15/02

3,316

$46.30

$13,966

$176.39



JONAH HEX (Warner Bros.)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Milk

11/28/08

328

$5.00

$2.60

$7,923

$31.84

No Country for Old Men

11/9/07

1,324

$24.62

$4.12

$3,109

$74.27

American Gangster

11/2/07

3,054

$43.57

$14,265

$130.16

Jennifer's Body

9/18/09

2,702

$6.87

$2,542

$16.20

Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen

6/24/09

4,234

$91.11

$108.97

$25,736

$402.11

The Transformers

7/6/07

4,011

$84.90

$70.50

$17,577

$319.25

V for Vendetta

3/17/06

3,365

$25.65

$7,620

$70.51

Constantine

2/18/05

3,006

$33.62

$11,186

$75.50

3:10 to Yuma

9/7/07

2,652

$14.04

$5,292

$53.61

The Wild, Wild West

7/2/99

3,342

$13.27

$27.72

$8,294

$113.81

The Quick and the Dead

2/10/95

2,158

$6.52

$3,021

$18.55

Maverick

5/20/94

2,537

$17.25

$6,799

$101.63

Tombstone

12/24/93

1,504

$6.45

$4,289

$55.92

Gamer

9/4/09

2,502

$9.16

$3,659

$20.49

Crank 2: High Voltage

4/17/09

2,223

$6.96

$3,133

$13.63

Crank

9/1/06

2,515

$10.30

$4,079

$27.84



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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