Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for June 11 - 13, 2010
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final upate 6.10.10)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

The A-Team

$35.8

N/A

3,534

$10,130

1

2

New

The Karate Kid

$34.5

N/A

3,663

$9,419

1

3

1

Shrek Forever After

$14.8

-42%

3,868

$3,826

4

4

2

Get Him to the Greek

$10.9

-38%

2,700

$4,037

2

5

3

Killers

$8.4

-47%

2,859

$2,938

2

6

4

Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time

$7.3

-48%

3,108

$2,349

3

7

6

Marmaduke

$6.8

-40%

3,213

$2,116

2

8

5

Sex and the City 2

$6.0

-48%

2,750

$2,182

3

9

7

Iron Man 2

$4.0

-49%

2,305

$1,735

6

10

8

Splice

$3.4

-50%

2,450

$1,388

2

Est. Weekend Total
$131.90

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 46%

Est. Average PTA
$4,012



COMPARISONS:

THE A-TEAM (20th Century Fox)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Miami Vice

7/28/06

3,021

$25.72

$8,515

$63.48

The Dukes of Hazzard

8/5/05

3,785

$30.68

$8,104

$80.11

Starsky and Hutch

3/5/04

3,185

$28.10

$8,824

$88.20

S.W.A.T.

8/8/03

3,202

$37.06

$11,575

$116.64

Charlie's Angels: Full Throttle

6/27/03

3,459

$37.63

$10,880

$100.69

Charlie's Angels

11/3/00

3,037

$40.13

$13,214

$125.31

The Hangover

6/5/09

3,269

$44.98

$13,759

$277.37

District 9

8/14/09

3,049

$37.35

$12,251

$115.65

Taken

1/30/09

3,183

$24.72

$7,765

$145.00

Smokin' Aces

1/26/07

2,218

$14.64

$6,600

$35.66

Narc

1/10/03

822

$0.35

$2.83

$3,438

$10.46

Live Free or Die Hard

6/29/07

3,408

$15.03

$33.37

$9,792

$134.53

Hitman

11/21/07

2,458

$7.91

$13.18

$5,362

$39.69

G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra

8/7/09

4,007

$54.71

$13,654

$150.20



THE KARATE KID (Sony)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

The Next Karate Kid

9/9/94

1,489

$2.62

$1,760

$8.74

The Karate Kid III

6/30/89

1,560

$14.29

$9,160

$38.79

The Karate Kid Part II

6/30/86

1,323

$12.65

$9,563

$115.10

The Karate Kid

6/22/84

931

$5.03

$5,404

$90.82

The Day the Earth Stood Still

12/12/08

3,560

$30.48

$8,562

$79.31

The Pursuit of Happyness

12/15/06

2,852

$26.54

$9,306

$162.59

The Spy Next Door

1/15/10

2,924

$9.73

$3,326

$24.31

The Forbidden Kingdom

4/18/08

3,151

$21.40

$6,792

$52.08

Shanghai Knights

2/7/03

2,753

$19.60

$7,121

$60.47

Shanghai Noon

5/26/00

2,711

$15.61

$5,758

$56.90

Around the World in 80 Days

6/18/04

2,801

$2.79

$7.58

$2,705

$24.00

The Tuxedo

9/27/02

3,022

$15.05

$4,980

$50.28

Rush Hour 3

8/10/07

3,778

$49.10

$12,996

$140.13

Rush Hour 2

8/3/01

3,118

$67.41

$21,619

$226.14

Rush Hour

9/18/98

2,638

$33.00

$12,509

$141.17



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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