Box Office Predictions for January 29 - 31,
2010
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis (final update 1.28.10)
Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out
the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything
written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost
always
responded to.
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
1 |
Avatar |
$27.5 |
-21% |
3,074 |
$8,956 |
7 |
|
2 |
New |
Edge of Darkness |
$20.7 |
N/A |
3,066 |
$6,751 |
1 |
|
3 |
New |
When in Rome |
$13.4 |
N/A |
2,456 |
$5,456 |
1 |
|
4 |
3 |
The Book of Eli |
$8.5 |
-46% |
3,075 |
$2,764 |
3 |
|
5 |
4 |
Tooth Fairy |
$8.2 |
-42% |
3,345 |
$2,451 |
2 |
|
6 |
2 |
Legion |
$6.5 |
-63% |
2,476 |
$2,625 |
2 |
|
7 |
5 |
The Lovely Bones |
$4.6 |
-45% |
2,638 |
$1,878 |
6 |
|
8 |
6 |
Sherlock Holmes |
$4.0 |
-40% |
2,250 |
$1,744 |
6 |
|
9 |
7 |
Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Squeakquel |
$3.8 |
-37% |
2,526 |
$1,504 |
6 |
|
10 |
8 |
Extraordinary Measures |
$3.7 |
-38% |
2,549 |
$1,452 |
2 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
COMPARISONS:
EDGE OF DARKNESS (Warner Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Signs |
8/2/02 |
3,264 |
$60.12 |
$18,418 |
$225.77 |
|
|
We Were Soldiers |
3/1/02 |
3,143 |
$20.21 |
$6,431 |
$78.12 |
|
|
The Patriot |
6/30/00 |
3,061 |
$9.32 |
$22.41 |
$7,321 |
$113.30 |
|
Payback |
2/5/99 |
2,720 |
$21.22 |
$7,801 |
$81.52 |
|
|
Conspiracy Theory |
8/8/97 |
2,806 |
$19.31 |
$6,882 |
$76.12 |
|
|
Ransom |
11/8/96 |
2,676 |
$34.22 |
$12,788 |
$136.49 |
|
|
Taken |
1/30/09 |
3,183 |
$24.72 |
$7,765 |
$145.00 |
|
|
State of Play |
4/17/09 |
2,803 |
$14.07 |
$5,020 |
$37.02 |
|
|
The International |
2/13/09 |
2,364 |
$9.33 |
$3,947 |
$25.45 |
|
|
Michael Clayton |
10/5/07 |
2,511 |
$1.08 |
$10.37 |
$4,131 |
$49.02 |
|
Casino Royale |
11/17/06 |
3,434 |
$40.83 |
$11,891 |
$167.37 |
|
|
Beyond Borders |
10/25/03 |
1,798 |
$2.08 |
$1,155 |
$4.43 |
|
|
The Departed |
10/6/06 |
3,017 |
$26.89 |
$8,912 |
$133.31 |
WHEN IN ROME (Touchstone Pictures)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Couples Retreat |
10/9/09 |
3,000 |
$34.29 |
$11,429 |
$108.96 |
|
|
Forgetting Sarah Marshall |
4/18/08 |
2,798 |
$17.73 |
$6,335 |
$63.17 |
|
|
Pulse |
8/11/06 |
2,323 |
$8.20 |
$3,532 |
$20.26 |
|
|
Win a Date with Tad Hamilton! |
1/23/04 |
2,711 |
$7.32 |
$2,700 |
$16.96 |
|
|
Just Like Heaven |
9/16/05 |
3,508 |
$16.41 |
$4,678 |
$43.62 |
|
|
Old Dogs |
11/27/09 |
3,425 |
$16.89 |
$4,933 |
$48.00 |
|
|
The Brothers Solomon |
9/7/07 |
700 |
$0.51 |
$727 |
$0.90 |
|
|
Let's Go To Prison |
11/17/06 |
1,495 |
$2.22 |
$1,485 |
$5.53 |
|
|
Confessions of a Shopaholic |
2/13/09 |
2,507 |
$15.07 |
$6,010 |
$44.28 |
|
|
Leap Year |
1/8/10 |
2,511 |
$9.20 |
$3,665 |
$22.98 |
|
|
Under the Tuscan Sun |
9/26/03 |
1,226 |
$9.75 |
$7,953 |
$43.60 |
|
|
My Life in Ruins |
6/5/09 |
1,164 |
$3.22 |
$2,769 |
$8.61 |
Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas
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