Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for February 26 - 28, 2010
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 2.25.10)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

1

Shutter Island

$21.2

-48%

3,003

$7,060

2

2

New

Cop Out

$19.4

N/A

3,150

$6,159

1

3

New

The Crazies

$14.7

N/A

2,476

$5,937

1

4

4

Avatar

$12.4

-25%

2,456

$5,049

11

5

3

Percy Jackson

$8.8

-42%

3,302

$2,665

3

6

2

Valentine's Day

$8.6

-49%

3,578

$2,404

3

7

5

The Wolfman

$4.5

-55%

3,302

$1,363

3

8

6

Dear John

$3.7

-48%

3,006

$1,231

4

9

7

Tooth Fairy

$3.0

-30%

2,249

$1,334

6

10

9

Crazy Heart

$2.3

-23%

1,148

$2,091

6

Est. Weekend Total
$98.70

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 40%

Est. Average PTA
$3,529



COMPARISONS:

COP OUT (Warner Bros.)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Zack and Miri Make a Porno

10/31/08

2,735

$10.06

$3,680

$31.45

Clerks II

7/21/06

2,150

$10.06

$4,680

$24.14

Jersey Girl

3/26/04

1,520

$8.32

$5,473

$25.27

Jay and Silent Bob Strike Back

8/24/01

2,765

$11.02

$3,985

$30.06

Dogma

11/12/99

1,260

$8.67

$6,881

$30.65

Surrogates

9/25/09

2,951

$14.90

$5,050

$38.58

Live Free or Die Hard

6/29/07

3,408

$33.37

$9,792

$134.53

Perfect Stranger

4/13/07

2,661

$11.21

$4,211

$23.71

Lucky Number Slevin

4/7/06

1,984

$7.03

$3,544

$22.50

16 Blocks

3/3/06

2,706

$11.86

$4,381

$36.90

Hostage

3/11/05

2,123

$10.21

$4,811

$34.64

G-Force

7/24/09

3,697

$31.71

$9,576

$119.44

First Sunday

1/11/08

2,213

$17.71

$8,005

$37.93

Little Man

7/14/06

2,533

$21.61

$8,533

$58.64

The Dukes of Hazzard

8/5/05

3,785

$30.68

$8,104

$80.11

Role Models

11/7/08

2,792

$19.17

$6,865

$67.30

The Rundown

9/26/03

3,152

$18.53

$5,880

$47.59

Showtime

3/15/02

2,917

$15.01

$5,142

$37.95

Blue Streak

9/17/99

2,735

$19.21

$7,024

$68.21

Bad Boys

4/7/95

2,132

$15.52

$7,280

$65.65



THE CRAZIES (Overture)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

The Perfect Getaway

8/7/09

2,159

$5.95

$2,755

$15.52

Hitman

11/21/07

2,458

$7.91

$13.18

$5,362

$39.69

Silent Hill

4/21/06

2,926

$20.15

$6,887

$46.98

Friday the 13th

2/13/09

3,105

$40.57

$13,066

$64.98

The Mist

11/23/07

2,423

$3.93

$8.91

$3,686

$25.59

Black Christmas

12/25/06

1,544

$7.20

$3.72

$2,412

$16.24

The Hills Have Eyes 2

3/23/07

2,447

$9.69

$3,958

$20.53

The Hills Have Eyes

3/10/06

2,620

$15.71

$5,996

$41.78

The Amityville Horror

4/15/05

3,323

$23.51

$7,074

$64.26

Dawn of the Dead

3/19/04

2,745

$26.72

$9,735

$58.89



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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