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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for December 24 - 26, 2010
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 12.22)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Little Fockers

$42.6

N/A

3,536

$12,048

1

2

1

TRON: Legacy

$24.3

-45%

3,451

$7,051

2

3

New

True Grit

$19.0

N/A

3,047

$6,236

1

4

New

Gulliver's Travels

$13.0

N/A

2,520

$5,159

1

5

2

Yogi Bear

$10.7

-35%

3,515

$3,044

2

6

4

The Fighter

$8.0

-34%

2,350

$3,404

2

7

3

The Chronicles of Narnia: Voyage of the Dawn Treader

$7.5

-45%

3,200

$2,344

3

8

7

Black Swan

$6.2

-30%

1,470

$4,218

4

9

5

Tangled

$5.3

-37%

2,582

$2,053

5

10

6

The Tourist

$4.7

-45%

2,756

$1,705

3

Est. Weekend Total
$141.30

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 37%

Est. Average PTA
$4,725



COMPARISONS:

LITTLE FOCKERS (Universal)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Meet the Fockers

12/24/04

3,518

$24.40

$46.12

$13,110

$275.94

Meet the Parents

10/6/00

2,614

$28.62

$10,949

$166.23

Tropic Thunder

8/13/08

3,319

$11.03

$25.81

$7,777

$110.46

Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian

5/22/09

4,096

$54.17

$13,226

$177.05

Night at the Museum

12/22/06

3,685

$30.43

$8,259

$250.86

Analyze That

12/6/02

2,635

$11.03

$4,186

$31.82

Analyze This

3/5/99

2,518

$18.38

$7,299

$106.69

Good Luck Chuck

9/21/07

2,612

$13.65

$5,227

$35.00



TRUE GRIT (Paramount)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

The Big Lebowski

3/6/98

1,207

$5.53

$4,582

$17.45

Burn After Reading

9/12/08

2,651

$19.13

$7,215

$60.36

No Country for Old Men

11/9/07

1,324

$24.62

$4.12

$3,109

$74.27

The Ladykillers

3/26/04

1,583

$12.63

$7,981

$39.69

Intolerable Cruelty

10/10/03

2,564

$12.53

$4,885

$35.10

O Brother, Where Art Thou?

2/2/01

809

$13.38

$3.65

$4,512

$45.51

Fargo

4/5/96

716

$9.62

$2.54

$3,547

$24.57

Green Zone

3/12/10

3,003

$14.31

$4,765

$35.05

Invictus

12/11/09

2,125

$8.61

$4,052

$37.11

The Informant!

9/18/09

2,505

$10.46

$4,177

$33.32

Jonah Hex

6/18/10

2,825

$5.38

$1,904

$10.55

The Assassination of Jesse James

9/21/07

301

$1.64

$0.53

$1,765

$3.90

3:10 to Yuma

9/7/07

2,652

$14.04

$5,292

$53.61

Open Range

8/15/03

2,075

$14.05

$6,771

$58.33

Unforgiven

8/7/92

2,071

$15.02

$7,253

$101.16

Dances With Wolves

11/23/90

1,053

$1.68

$9.49

$9,012

$184.21

The Aviator

12/17/04

1,796

$1.36

$8.63

$4,806

$102.68

Gangs of New York

12/20/02

1,504

$9.12

$6,051

$77.81



GULLIVERíS TRAVELS (20th Century Fox)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Year One

6/19/09

3,022

$19.61

$6,489

$43.34

Kung Fu Panda

6/6/08

4,114

$60.24

$14,642

$215.44

Nacho Libre

6/16/06

3,070

$28.31

$9,221

$80.20

The School of Rock

10/3/03

2,614

$19.62

$7,507

$81.05

Orange County

1/11/02

2,317

$15.05

$6,497

$41.03

Shallow Hal

11/9/01

2,771

$23.28

$8,401

$70.83

Forgetting Sarah Marshall

4/18/08

2,798

$17.73

$6,335

$63.17

Bedtime Stories

12/25/08

3,681

$27.45

$7,457

$110.10

Yes Man

12/19/08

3,434

$18.28

$5,318

$97.69

Fun with Dick and Jane

12/23/05

3,056

$7.58

$21.53

$7,045

$109.99

Year One

6/19/09

3,022

$19.61

$6,489

$43.34



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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