T

Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for December 10 - 12, 2010
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 12.9.10)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader

$42.8

N/A

3,540

$12,039

1

2

New

The Tourist

$26.5

N/A

2,680

$9,615

1

3

1

Tangled

$13.5

-38%

3,450

$3,787

3

4

2

Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 1

$8.2

-52%

3,850

$2,292

4

5

4

Unstoppable

$3.3

-45%

2,950

$1,112

5

6

5

Love and Other Drugs

$3.2

-42%

2,230

$1,429

3

7

3

Burlesque

$3.2

-48%

2,750

$1,113

3

8

13

Black Swan

$3.0

+130%

90

$33,333

6

9

6

Megamind

$2.9

-42%

2,820

$1,196

6

10

7

Due Date

$2.5

-40%

2,150

$1,256

6

Est. Weekend Total
$109.10

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 45%

Est. Average PTA
$6,717



COMPARISONS:

THE CHRONICLES OF NARNIA: THE VOYAGE OF THE DAWN TREADER (20th Century Fox)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian

5/16/08

3,929

$55.03

$14,007

$141.59

The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch, and The Wardrobe

12/9/05

3,616

$65.56

$18,130

$291.17

The Golden Compass

12/7/07

3,528

$25.78

$7,308

$69.25

Eragon

12/15/06

3,020

$23.24

$7,695

$75.03

City of Ember

10/10/08

2,022

$3.13

$1,548

$7.87

The Seeker: The Dark is Rising

10/5/07

3,141

$3.75

$1,192

$8.79



THE TOURIST (Sony)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Salt

7/21/10

3,612

$36.01

$9,970

$118.31

Wanted

6/27/08

3,174

$50.93

$16,040

$134.29

The Good Shepherd

12/22/06

2,215

$10.03

$4,530

$59.91

Mr. & Mrs. Smith

6/10/05

3,424

$50.34

$14,703

$186.34

Lara Croft Tomb Raider: The Cradle of Life

7/25/03

3,222

$21.78

$6,761

$65.65

Lara Croft:Tomb Raider

6/15/01

3,308

$47.74

$14,430

$131.14

Alice in Wonderland

3/5/10

3,728

$116.10

$31,143

$333.64

Public Enemies

7/3/09

3,334

$14.87

$25.27

$7,580

$97.10

Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street

12/21/07

1,249

$9.30

$7,447

$52.90

Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

5/25/07

4,362

$13.24

$114.73

$26,303

$309.40

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

7/7/06

4,133

$135.62

$32,817

$423.27

Charlie and the Chocolate Factory

7/15/05

3,770

$56.18

$14,901

$206.46

Secret Window

3/12/04

3,018

$18.24

$6,043

$47.78

Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl

7/11/03

3,269

$24.00

$46.63

$14,264

$305.41

Knight and Day

6/23/10

3,098

$20.14

$6,501

$76.42

Killers

6/4/10

2,859

$15.84

$5,539

$47.00

The International

2/13/09

2,364

$9.33

$3,947

$25.45



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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