Box Office Predictions for August 20 - 22,
2010
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis - Final Update 8.19.10
Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out
the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything
written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost
always
responded to.
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Vampires Suck |
$15.3 |
N/A |
3,233 |
$4,732 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
The Expendables |
$14.5 |
-58% |
3,270 |
$4,434 |
2 |
|
3 |
New |
Piranha 3D |
$13.7 |
N/A |
2,470 |
$5,547 |
1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Eat Pray Love |
$12.5 |
-46% |
3,082 |
$4,056 |
2 |
|
5 |
New |
Nanny McPhee Returns |
$11.0 |
N/A |
2,783 |
$3,953 |
1 |
|
6 |
New |
Lottery Ticket |
$10.0 |
N/A |
1,973 |
$5,068 |
1 |
|
7 |
3 |
The Other Guys |
$9.5 |
-45% |
3,472 |
$2,736 |
3 |
|
8 |
5 |
Inception |
$6.9 |
-40% |
2,401 |
$2,874 |
6 |
|
9 |
New |
The Switch |
$6.3 |
N/A |
2,012 |
$3,131 |
1 |
|
10 |
4 |
Scott Pilgrim vs. the World |
$5.6 |
-47% |
2,820 |
$1,986 |
2 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
COMPARISONS:
VAMPIRES SUCK (20th Century
Fox)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Disaster Movie |
8/29/08 |
2,642 |
$5.86 |
$2,209 |
$14.17 |
|
|
Meet the Spartans |
1/25/08 |
2,605 |
$18.51 |
$7,104 |
$38.23 |
|
|
Epic Movie |
1/26/07 |
2,801 |
$18.61 |
$6,645 |
$39.74 |
|
|
Date Movie |
2/17/06 |
2,896 |
$19.08 |
$6,587 |
$48.55 |
|
|
Scary Movie 4 |
4/14/06 |
3,602 |
$40.22 |
$11,167 |
$90.71 |
|
|
Scary Movie 3 |
10/25/03 |
3,505 |
$48.11 |
$13,727 |
$109.94 |
|
|
Scary Movie 2 |
7/6/01 |
3,220 |
$13.51 |
$20.50 |
$6,367 |
$71.28 |
|
Scary Movie |
7/7/00 |
2,912 |
$42.35 |
$14,543 |
$157.00 |
|
|
The Comebacks |
10/19/07 |
2,812 |
$5.55 |
$1,975 |
$13.35 |
PIRANHA 3D (Dimension Films)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Mirrors |
8/15/08 |
2,664 |
$11.16 |
$4,190 |
$30.29 |
|
|
The Hills Have Eyes |
3/10/06 |
2,620 |
$15.71 |
$5,996 |
$41.78 |
|
|
High Tension |
6/10/05 |
1,323 |
$1.90 |
$1,434 |
$3.65 |
|
|
The Final Destination |
8/29/09 |
3,121 |
$27.41 |
$8,782 |
$66.47 |
|
|
My Bloody Valentine 3D |
1/16/09 |
2,534 |
$21.24 |
$8,383 |
$51.55 |
|
|
Primeval |
1/12/07 |
2,444 |
$6.05 |
$2,475 |
$10.60 |
|
|
Lake Placid |
7/16/99 |
2,095 |
$10.97 |
$5,236 |
$31.65 |
|
|
Black Christmas |
12/25/06 |
1,544 |
$7.20 |
$3.72 |
$2,412 |
$16.24 |
|
Halloween II |
8/29/09 |
3,025 |
$16.35 |
$5,405 |
||
|
Halloween |
8/31/07 |
3,472 |
$26.36 |
$7,593 |
$58.27 |
NANNY MCPHEE RETURNS (Universal)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Nanny McPhee |
1/27/06 |
1,995 |
$14.50 |
$7,270 |
$47.28 |
|
|
The Pink Panther 2 |
2/6/09 |
3,243 |
$11.59 |
$3,573 |
$35.92 |
|
|
The Pink Panther |
2/10/06 |
3,477 |
$20.22 |
$5,815 |
$82.23 |
|
|
Mr. Bean's Holiday |
8/24/07 |
1,714 |
$9.89 |
$5,770 |
$33.30 |
|
|
Bean |
11/7/97 |
1,948 |
$7.01 |
$12.73 |
$6,535 |
$45.31 |
|
Johnny English |
7/18/03 |
2,236 |
$9.13 |
$4,085 |
$27.97 |
|
|
Valiant |
8/19/05 |
2,014 |
$5.91 |
$2,937 |
$19.12 |
|
|
Nanny McPhee |
1/27/06 |
1,995 |
$14.50 |
$7,270 |
$47.28 |
THE SWITCH (Miramax Films)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Bounty Hunter |
3/19/10 |
3,074 |
$20.69 |
$6,729 |
$67.06 |
|
|
Love Happens |
9/18/09 |
1,898 |
$8.06 |
$4,245 |
$22.97 |
|
|
Marley and Me |
12/5/08 |
3,480 |
$14.38 |
$36.36 |
$10,448 |
$143.15 |
|
The Break-Up |
6/2/06 |
3,070 |
$39.17 |
$12,760 |
$118.81 |
|
|
Rumor Has It... |
12/23/05 |
2,815 |
$7.52 |
$2,670 |
$42.92 |
|
|
Couples Retreat |
10/9/09 |
3,000 |
$34.29 |
$11,429 |
$108.96 |
|
|
The Ex |
1,009 |
$1.39 |
$1,382 |
$3.09 |
||
|
The Back-Up Plan |
4/23/10 |
3,280 |
$12.20 |
$3,720 |
$37.47 |
|
|
Juno |
12/5/07 |
1,019 |
$15.38 |
$10.63 |
$10,436 |
$142.11 |
|
Knocked Up |
6/1/07 |
2,871 |
$30.69 |
$10,690 |
$146.28 |
|
|
About a Boy |
5/17/02 |
1,207 |
$8.56 |
$7,090 |
$40.57 |
|
|
Disney's The Kid |
7/7/00 |
2,167 |
$12.69 |
$5,856 |
$69.69 |
LOTTERY TICKET (Warner Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Roll Bounce |
9/23/05 |
1,625 |
$7.57 |
$4,659 |
$17.38 |
|
|
Johnson Family Vacation |
4/9/04 |
1,317 |
$2.44 |
$9.38 |
$7,119 |
$31.18 |
|
Like Mike |
7/5/02 |
2,410 |
$6.84 |
$12.18 |
$5,054 |
$51.41 |
|
Tropic Thunder |
8/13/08 |
3,319 |
$11.03 |
$25.81 |
$7,777 |
$110.46 |
|
The Longshots |
8/22/08 |
2,089 |
$4.08 |
$1,953 |
$11.51 |
|
|
First Sunday |
1/11/08 |
2,213 |
$17.71 |
$8,005 |
$37.93 |
|
|
Barbershop 2: Back in Business |
2/6/04 |
2,711 |
$24.24 |
$8,942 |
$64.96 |
|
|
Barbershop |
9/13/02 |
1,605 |
$20.63 |
$12,852 |
$75.07 |
|
|
Friday After Next |
11/22/02 |
1,616 |
$13.01 |
$8,052 |
$32.87 |
|
|
Next Friday |
1/14/00 |
1,103 |
$4.45 |
$14.44 |
$13,092 |
$57.18 |
|
Friday |
4/28/95 |
865 |
$1.52 |
$6.59 |
$7,618 |
$27.39 |
|
Love Don't Cost a Thing |
12/12/03 |
1,844 |
$6.32 |
$3,425 |
$21.59 |
|
|
Lucky Numbers |
10/27/00 |
2,497 |
$4.54 |
$1,818 |
$10.01 |
Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas
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