Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for April 9 - 11, 2010
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 4.8.10)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Date Night

$26.7

N/A

3,374

$7,913

1

2

1

Clash of the Titans

$25.6

-58%

3,802

$6,733

2

3

2

How to Train Your Dragon

$20.0

-32%

4,007

$4,991

3

4

3

Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married Too?

$15.0

-49%

2,155

$6,961

2

5

4

The Last Song

$8.3

-48%

2,674

$3,104

2

6

6

Hot Tub Time Machine

$4.8

-41%

2,611

$1,838

3

7

5

Alice in Wonderland

$4.5

-45%

2,950

$1,779

6

8

7

The Bounty Hunter

$3.0

-47%

2,901

$1,034

5

9

8

Diary of a Wimpy Kid

$2.9

-44%

2,453

$1,182

5

10

N/A

Letters to God

$1.3

N/A

897

$1,449

8

Est. Weekend Total
$112.10

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 46%

Est. Average PTA
$3,699



COMPARISONS:

DATE NIGHT (20th Century Fox)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Baby Mama

4/25/10

2,543

$17.41

6,845

$60.49

Mean Girls

4/30/04

2,839

 

$24.43

$8,606

$86.05

Get Smart

6/20/08

3,911

 

$38.68

$9,891

$130.32

Dan in Real Life

10/26/07

1,921

$11.81

$6,148

$47.64

Evan Almighty

6/22/07

2,604

$31.19

$8,655

$100.29

The 40-Year-Old Virgin

8/19/05

2,845

$21.42

$7,530

$109.24

Bewitched

6/24/05

3,174

$20.13

$6,343

$62.25

Anchorman

7/9/04

3,091

$28.42

$9,193

$84.14

Bruce Almighty

5/23/03

3,483

$85.73

$24,614

$242.60

Couples Retreat

10/9/09

3,000

$34.29

$11,429

$108.96

Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian

5/22/09

4,096

$54.17

$13,226

$177.05

Night at the Museum

12/22/06

3,685

$30.43

$8,259

$250.86

The Pink Panther

2/10/06

3,477

$20.22

$5,815

$82.23

Cheaper By the Dozen

12/26/03

3,298

$8.18

$27.56

$8,356

$128.03

Just Married

1/10/03

2,766

$17.55

$6,345

$56.13



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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