Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for April 30 - May 2, 2010
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 4.29.10)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

A Nightmare on Elm Street

$39.3

N/A

3,332

$11,795

1

2

1

How to Train Your Dragon

$12.0

-22%

3,426

$3,503

6

3

New

Furry Vengeance

$7.6

N/A

2,997

$2,536

1

4

3

Date Night

$6.8

-35%

2,950

$2,199

4

5

2

The Back-up Plan

$6.6

-46%

3,280

$2,012

2

6

6

Clash of the Titans

$5.0

-45%

2,700

$1,827

5

7

5

Kick-Ass

$4.8

-49%

2,850

$1,888

3

8

4

The Losers

$4.7

-51%

2,936

$1,601

2

9

7

Death at a Funeral

$4.5

-44%

2,385

$1,982

3

10

8

Oceans

$4.0

-35%

1,220

$3,279

2

Est. Weekend Total
$95.30

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 41%

Est. Average PTA
$3,262



COMPARISONS:

A NIGHTMARE ON ELM STREET (New Line/WB)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Freddy vs. Jason

8/15/03

3,014

$36.43

$12,085

$82.49

Freddy's Dead: Final Nightmare

9/13/91

1,862

$12.97

$6,966

$34.87

Nightmare on Elm Street 5

8/11/89

1,902

$8.12

$4,269

$21.58

Friday the 13th

2/13/09

3,105

$40.57

$13,066

$64.98

The Hitcher

1/19/07

2,835

$7.82

$2,758

$16.38

The Amityville Horror

4/15/05

3,323

$23.51

$7,074

$64.26

The Texas Chainsaw Massacre

10/17/03

3,016

$28.09

$9,315

$80.15

Watchmen

3/6/09

3,611

$55.21

$15,291

$107.51

Little Children

10/6/06

5

$0.10

$19,591

$5.46

Last House on the Left

3/13/09

2,401

$14.12

$5,880

$32.75

The Hills Have Eyes 2

3/23/07

2,447

$9.69

$3,958

$20.53

The Hills Have Eyes

3/10/06

2,620

$15.71

$5,996

$41.78



FURRY VENGEANCE (Summit)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Inkheart

1/23/09

2,655

$7.60

$2,863

$17.30

Journey to the Center of the Earth

7/11/08

2,811

$21.02

$7,477

$101.70

Looney Tunes: Back in Action

11/14/03

2,903

$9.32

$3,209

$20.95

Monkeybone

2/23/01

1,722

$2.69

$1,559

$5.33

Dudley Do-Right

8/27/99

1,799

$3.02

$1,679

$9.82

George of the Jungle

7/18/97

2,506

$6.34

$16.54

$6,600

$105.26

Dr. Dolittle 2

6/22/01

3,049

$25.04

$8,212

$112.89

Doctor Dolittle

6/26/98

2,777

$29.01

$10,447

$144.14

Snow Dogs

1/18/02

2,302

$23.71

$10,299

$81.15

Over the Hedge

5/19/06

4,059

$38.46

$9,475

$155.02



Copyright 2010 Edward Douglas

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