Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for August 14-16, 2009

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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for September 4 - 7, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 9.3.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions) *	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	Gamer	$16.4	N/A	2,502	$6,555	1
2	1	The Final Destination	$15.0	-45%	3,128	$4,795	2
3	New	All About Steve	$12.8	N/A	2,251	$5,686	1
4	2	Inglourious Basterds	$12.4	-36%	3,358	$3,693	3
5	4	District 9	$8.0	-22%	3,139	$2,549	4
6	3	Halloween 2	$7.7	-53%	3,088	$2,494	2
7	6	Julie & Julia	$6.6	-6%	2,528	$2,611	5
8	5	G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra	$5.8	-23%	2,856	$2,038	5
9	New	Extract	$5.5	N/A	1,650	$3,414	1
10	7	The Time Traveler's Wife	$4.8	-25%	2,803	$1,712	4
			Est. Weekend Total $95.00	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 30%		Est. Average PTA $3,231

(*All are four-day weekend projections.)

COMPARISONS:

GAMER (Lionsgate)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
The Ugly Truth	7/24/09	2,882		$27.61	$9,579	$84.16
300	3/9/07	3,109		$70.89	$22,844	$210.61
Andrew Lloyd Webber's The Phantom of the Opera	12/24/04	622	$2.32	$4.00	$6,434	$49.44
Crank 2: High Voltage	4/17/09	2,223		$6.96	$3,133	$13.63
Crank	9/1/06	2,515		$10.30	$4,079	$27.84
The Transporter 2	9/2/05	3,303		$20.10	$6,087	$43.10
The Condemned	4/27/07	2,310		$3.81	$1,648	$7.37
Doom	10/21/05	3,044		$15.49	$5,088	$27.62

ALL ABOUT STEVE (20^th Century Fox)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
The Hangover	6/5/09	3,269		$44.98	$13,759	$268.28
The Proposal	6/19/09	3,056		$33.63	$11,004	$159.17
Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous	3/25/05	3,233	$3.06	$14.04	$4,344	$48.47
Two Weeks Notice	12/20/02	2,755		$14.40	$5,227	$88.82
Divine Secrets of the Ya-Ya Sisterhood, The	6/7/02	2,507		$16.17	$6,449	$69.59
Miss Congeniality	12/22/00	2,668		$10.05	$3,667	$106.81
28 Days	4/14/00	2,523		$10.31	$4,086	$37.04
He's Just Not That Into You	2/6/09	3,175		$27.79	$8,751	$93.93
Yes Man	12/19/08	3,434		$18.28	$5,318	$97.69
Failure to Launch	3/10/06	3,057		$24.41	$7,985	$88.72
Wedding Crashers	7/15/05	2,925		$33.90	$11,590	$209.22
Old School	2/21/03	2,689		$17.45	$6,491	$75.16

EXTRACT (Miramax)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Office Space	2/19/99	1,740		$4.23	$2,431	$10.82
Beavis and Butthead Do America	12/20/96	2,190		$20.11	$9,183	$63.04
Hancock	7/2/08	3,965	$41.27	$62.60	$15,789	$227.95
Juno	12/5/07	1,019	$15.38	$10.63	$10,436	$142.11
Mr. Magorium's Wonder Emporium	11/16/07	3,164		$9.63	$3,044	$32.02
The Ex	5/11/07	1009		$1.39	$1,381.00	$3.09
Smokin' Aces	1/26/07	2,218		$14.64	$6,600	$35.66
Balls of Fury	8/29/07	3,052	$2.97	$11.35	$3,720	$32.88
Adventureland	4/3/09	1,862		$5.72	$3,073	$16.04