Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for August 14-16, 2009

Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for September 4 - 7, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 9.3.09)

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions) *	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	Gamer	$16.4	N/A	2,502	$6,555	1
2	1	The Final Destination	$15.0	-45%	3,128	$4,795	2
3	New	All About Steve	$12.8	N/A	2,251	$5,686	1
4	2	Inglourious Basterds	$12.4	-36%	3,358	$3,693	3
5	4	District 9	$8.0	-22%	3,139	$2,549	4
6	3	Halloween 2	$7.7	-53%	3,088	$2,494	2
7	6	Julie & Julia	$6.6	-6%	2,528	$2,611	5
8	5	G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra	$5.8	-23%	2,856	$2,038	5
9	New	Extract	$5.5	N/A	1,650	$3,414	1
10	7	The Time Traveler's Wife	$4.8	-25%	2,803	$1,712	4
			Est. Weekend Total $95.00	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 30%		Est. Average PTA $3,231

(*All are four-day weekend projections.)

COMPARISONS:

GAMER (Lionsgate)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
The Ugly Truth	7/24/09	2,882		$27.61	$9,579	$84.16
300	3/9/07	3,109		$70.89	$22,844	$210.61
Andrew Lloyd Webber's The Phantom of the Opera	12/24/04	622	$2.32	$4.00	$6,434	$49.44
Crank 2: High Voltage	4/17/09	2,223		$6.96	$3,133	$13.63
Crank	9/1/06	2,515		$10.30	$4,079	$27.84
The Transporter 2	9/2/05	3,303		$20.10	$6,087	$43.10
The Condemned	4/27/07	2,310		$3.81	$1,648	$7.37
Doom	10/21/05	3,044		$15.49	$5,088	$27.62

ALL ABOUT STEVE (20^th Century Fox)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
The Hangover	6/5/09	3,269		$44.98	$13,759	$268.28
The Proposal	6/19/09	3,056		$33.63	$11,004	$159.17
Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous	3/25/05	3,233	$3.06	$14.04	$4,344	$48.47
Two Weeks Notice	12/20/02	2,755		$14.40	$5,227	$88.82
Divine Secrets of the Ya-Ya Sisterhood, The	6/7/02	2,507		$16.17	$6,449	$69.59
Miss Congeniality	12/22/00	2,668		$10.05	$3,667	$106.81
28 Days	4/14/00	2,523		$10.31	$4,086	$37.04
He's Just Not That Into You	2/6/09	3,175		$27.79	$8,751	$93.93
Yes Man	12/19/08	3,434		$18.28	$5,318	$97.69
Failure to Launch	3/10/06	3,057		$24.41	$7,985	$88.72
Wedding Crashers	7/15/05	2,925		$33.90	$11,590	$209.22
Old School	2/21/03	2,689		$17.45	$6,491	$75.16

EXTRACT (Miramax)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Office Space	2/19/99	1,740		$4.23	$2,431	$10.82
Beavis and Butthead Do America	12/20/96	2,190		$20.11	$9,183	$63.04
Hancock	7/2/08	3,965	$41.27	$62.60	$15,789	$227.95
Juno	12/5/07	1,019	$15.38	$10.63	$10,436	$142.11
Mr. Magorium's Wonder Emporium	11/16/07	3,164		$9.63	$3,044	$32.02
The Ex	5/11/07	1009		$1.39	$1,381.00	$3.09
Smokin' Aces	1/26/07	2,218		$14.64	$6,600	$35.66
Balls of Fury	8/29/07	3,052	$2.97	$11.35	$3,720	$32.88
Adventureland	4/3/09	1,862		$5.72	$3,073	$16.04