Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for August 14-16, 2009

Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for September 25 - 27, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 9.24.09)

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	Surrogates	$22.4	N/A	2,951	$7,591	1
2	1	Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs	$19.3	-36%	3,119	$6,188	2
3	New	Fame	$13.7	N/A	3,096	$4,425	1
4	New	Pandorum	$6.3	N/A	2,506	$2,514	1
5	2	The Informant!	$5.7	-45%	2,505	$2,275	2
6	4	Love Happens	$5.0	-39%	1,898	$2,634	2
7	3	I Can Do Bad All By Myself	$4.8	-50%	2,120	$2,264	3
8	6	9	$3.4	-38%	2,025	$1,679	3
9	5	Jennifer's Body	$3.2	-54%	2,738	$1,169	2
10	7	Inglourious Basterds	$2.3	-39%	1,960	$1,178	6
			Est. Weekend Total $86.10	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 43%		Est. Average PTA $2,901

COMPARISONS:

SURROGATES (Disney/Touchstone)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Live Free or Die Hard	6/29/07	3,408		$33.37	$9,792	$134.53
16 Blocks	3/3/06	2,706		$11.86	$4,381	$36.90
Lucky Number Slevin	4/7/06	1,984		$7.03	$3,544	$22.50
Sin City	4/1/05	3,230		$29.12	$9,016	$74.10
Hostage	3/11/05	2,123		$10.21	$4,811	$34.64
Tears of the Sun	3/7/03	2,973		$17.06	$5,737	$43.63
The Siege	11/6/98	2,541		$13.93	$5,482	$40.93
The Fifth Element	5/9/97	2,500		$17.03	$6,812	$63.55
Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines	7/4/03	3,504	$28.35	$44.04	$12,569	$150.35
Silent Hill	4/21/06	2,926		$20.15	$6,887	$46.98
Doom	10/21/05	3,044		$15.49	$5,088	$27.62
Eagle Eye	9/25/08	3,510		$29.15	$8,305	$101.44
Flightplan	9/23/05	3,424		$24.63	$7,193	$89.70

FAME (MGM)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
High School Musical 3: Senior Year	10/24/08	3,623		$42.03	$11,601	$90.56
Mamma Mia!	7/18/08	2,976		$27.75	$9,325	$144.13
Hairspray	7/20/07	3,121		$27.48	$8,804	$118.82
Bandslam	8/14/09	2,121		$2.23	$1,052	$5.17
August Rush	11/17/07	2,310		$9.42	$4,079	$31.66
You Got Served	1/30/04	1,933		$16.12	$8,341	$40.07
Honey	12/5/03	1,942		$12.86	$6,620	$30.00
Save the Last Dance	1/12/01	2,230		$23.44	$10,511	$90.17

PANDORUM (Overture)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Event Horizon	8/15/97	2,311		$9.51	$4,115	$26.64
Resident Evil: Extinction	9/21/07	2,828		$23.68	$8,373	$50.65
Resident Evil: Apocalypse	9/10/04	3,284		$23.04	$7,015	$50.74
Resident Evil	3/15/02	2,528		$17.71	$7,004	$39.53
Vantage Point	2/22/08	3,149		$22.87	$7,264	$72.27
30 Days of Night	10/19/07	2,855		$15.95	$5,587	$39.57
3:10 to Yuma	9/7/07	2,652		$14.04	$5,292	$53.61
Event Horizon	8/15/97	2,311		$9.51	$4,115	$26.64