Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for August 14-16, 2009

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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for September 11 - 13, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	Tyler Perry's I Can Do Bad All By Myself	$23.4	N/A	2,155	$10,858	1
2	New	9	$10.2	N/A	1,750	$5,829	1
3	New	Whiteout	$8.6	N/A	2,830	$3,039	1
4	New	Sorority Row	$7.0	N/A	2,600	$2,692	1
5	2	Inglourious Basterds	$6.5	-46%	3,000	$2,167	4
6	3	All About Steve	$6.2	-45%	2,256	$2,748	2
7	1	The Final Destination	$5.9	-52%	3,128	$1,886	3
8	4	Gamer	$4.2	-54%	2,502	$1,679	2
9	5	District 9	$3.7	-47%	2,850	$1,298	5
10	7	Julie & Julia	$3.4	-36%	2,300	$1,522	6
			Est. Weekend Total $79.10	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 47%		Est. Average PTA $3,061

COMPARISONS:

TYLER PERRY'S I CAN DO BAD ALL BY MYSELF (Lionsgate)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Tyler Perry's Madea Goes to Jail	2/20/09	2032		$41.03	$20,192	$90.51
Tyler Perry's The Family That Preys	9/12/08	2,070		$17.38	$8,397	$37.02
Tyler Perry's Meet the Browns	3/21/08	2,006		$20.08	$10,011	$41.98
Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married?	10/12/07	2,011		$21.35	$10,618	$55.20
Tyler Perry's Daddy's Little Girls	2/14/07	2,111	$5.70	$11.20	$5,311	$31.37
Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion	2/24/06	2,194		$30.03	$13,688	$63.26
Diary of a Mad Black Woman	2/25/05	1,483		$21.91	$14,771	$50.38
Not Easily Broken	1/9/09	724		$5.31	$7,340	$10.57
Talk to Me	7/13/07	115	$1.08	$0.80	$6,971	$4.53
Smokin' Aces	1/26/07	2,218		$14.64	$6,600	$35.66
Something New	2/3/06	1,265		$4.88	$3,857	$11.47
Hustle & Flow	7/22/05	1,013		$8.02	$7,915	$22.18

9 (Focus Features)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Coraline	2/6/09	2,299		$16.84	$7,329	$75.29
The Corpse Bride	9/16/05	3,204	$0.51	$19.15	$5,975	$53.36
The Nightmare Before Christmas	10/22/93	1,654	$0.32	$6.24	$3,773	$50.00
Final Fantasy: The Spirits Within	7/13/01	2,649	$7.62	$11.41	$4,307	$32.13
Igor	9/19/08	2,339		$7.80	$3,336	$19.52
Battle for Terra	5/1/09	1,160		$1.08	$933	$1.65
Delgo	12/12/08	2,160		$0.51	$237	$0.92

WHITEOUT (Warner Bros.)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Vacancy	4/20/07	2,551		$7.60	$2,981	$19.06
Underworld: Evolution	1/20/06	3,207		$26.86	$8,374	$62.32
Van Helsing	5/7/04	3,575		$51.75	$14,480	$120.03
Underworld	9/19/03	2,915		$21.75	$7,462	$51.48
The Spirit	12/25/08	2,509	$3.84	$6.46	$2,576	$19.78
Orphan	7/24/09	2,750		$12.87	$4,681	$40.72
The Reaping	4/6/07	2,603		$10.03	$3,851	$25.13
Gothika	11/21/03	2,382		$19.29	$8,097	$58.95
Wind Chill	4/27//07	42		$0.02	$480	$0.03
30 Days of Night	10/19/07	2,855		$15.95	$5,587	$39.57
Sin City	4/1/05	3,230		$29.12	$9,016	$74.10

SORORITY ROW (Summit)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Prom Night	4/11/08	2,700		$20.80	$7,706	$43.82
Black Christmas	12/25/06	1,544	$7.20	$3.72	$2,412	$16.24
The House Bunny	8/22/08	2,714		$14.53	$5,355	$46.11
The Covenant	9/8/06	2,681		$8.85	$3,302	$23.29
When A Stranger Calls	2/3/06	2,999		$21.61	$7,205	$47.86
I Still Know What You Did Last Summer	11/13/98	2,443		$16.50	$6,754	$40.00
I Know What You Did Last Summer	10/17/97	2,524		$15.82	$6,268	$72.22
The Craft	5/3/96	1,757		$6.71	$3,819	$21.77