Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for September 11 - 13, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Tyler Perry's I Can Do Bad All By Myself

$23.4

N/A

2,155

$10,858

1

2

New

9

$10.2

N/A

1,750

$5,829

1

3

New

Whiteout

$8.6

N/A

2,830

$3,039

1

4

New

Sorority Row

$7.0

N/A

2,600

$2,692

1

5

2

Inglourious Basterds

$6.5

-46%

3,000

$2,167

4

6

3

All About Steve

$6.2

-45%

2,256

$2,748

2

7

1

The Final Destination

$5.9

-52%

3,128

$1,886

3

8

4

Gamer

$4.2

-54%

2,502

$1,679

2

9

5

District 9

$3.7

-47%

2,850

$1,298

5

10

7

Julie & Julia

$3.4

-36%

2,300

$1,522

6

Est. Weekend Total
$79.10

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 47%

Est. Average PTA
$3,061



COMPARISONS:

TYLER PERRY'S I CAN DO BAD ALL BY MYSELF (Lionsgate)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Tyler Perry's Madea Goes to Jail

2/20/09

2032

$41.03

$20,192

$90.51

Tyler Perry's The Family That Preys

9/12/08

2,070

$17.38

$8,397

$37.02

Tyler Perry's Meet the Browns

3/21/08

2,006

$20.08

$10,011

$41.98

Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married?

10/12/07

2,011

$21.35

$10,618

$55.20

Tyler Perry's Daddy's Little Girls

2/14/07

2,111

$5.70

$11.20

$5,311

$31.37

Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion

2/24/06

2,194

$30.03

$13,688

$63.26

Diary of a Mad Black Woman

2/25/05

1,483

$21.91

$14,771

$50.38

Not Easily Broken

1/9/09

724

$5.31

$7,340

$10.57

Talk to Me

7/13/07

115

$1.08

$0.80

$6,971

$4.53

Smokin' Aces

1/26/07

2,218

$14.64

$6,600

$35.66

Something New

2/3/06

1,265

$4.88

$3,857

$11.47

Hustle & Flow

7/22/05

1,013

$8.02

$7,915

$22.18



9 (Focus Features)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Coraline

2/6/09

2,299

$16.84

$7,329

$75.29

The Corpse Bride

9/16/05

3,204

$0.51

$19.15

$5,975

$53.36

The Nightmare Before Christmas

10/22/93

1,654

$0.32

$6.24

$3,773

$50.00

Final Fantasy: The Spirits Within

7/13/01

2,649

$7.62

$11.41

$4,307

$32.13

Igor

9/19/08

2,339

$7.80

$3,336

$19.52

Battle for Terra

5/1/09

1,160

$1.08

$933

$1.65

Delgo

12/12/08

2,160

$0.51

$237

$0.92



WHITEOUT (Warner Bros.)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Vacancy

4/20/07

2,551

$7.60

$2,981

$19.06

Underworld: Evolution

1/20/06

3,207

$26.86

$8,374

$62.32

Van Helsing

5/7/04

3,575

$51.75

$14,480

$120.03

Underworld

9/19/03

2,915

$21.75

$7,462

$51.48

The Spirit

12/25/08

2,509

$3.84

$6.46

$2,576

$19.78

Orphan

7/24/09

2,750

$12.87

$4,681

$40.72

The Reaping

4/6/07

2,603

$10.03

$3,851

$25.13

Gothika

11/21/03

2,382

$19.29

$8,097

$58.95

Wind Chill

4/27//07

42

$0.02

$480

$0.03

30 Days of Night

10/19/07

2,855

$15.95

$5,587

$39.57

Sin City

4/1/05

3,230

$29.12

$9,016

$74.10



SORORITY ROW (Summit)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Prom Night

4/11/08

2,700

$20.80

$7,706

$43.82

Black Christmas

12/25/06

1,544

$7.20

$3.72

$2,412

$16.24

The House Bunny

8/22/08

2,714

$14.53

$5,355

$46.11

The Covenant

9/8/06

2,681

$8.85

$3,302

$23.29

When A Stranger Calls

2/3/06

2,999

$21.61

$7,205

$47.86

I Still Know What You Did Last Summer

11/13/98

2,443

$16.50

$6,754

$40.00

I Know What You Did Last Summer

10/17/97

2,524

$15.82

$6,268

$72.22

The Craft

5/3/96

1,757

$6.71

$3,819

$21.77


Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas

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