Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for August 14-16, 2009

Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for October 2 - 4, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 10.1.09)

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	Zombieland	$22.4	N/A	3,050	$7,378	1
2	1	Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs	$15.5	-36%	2,977	$5,207	3
3	New	Toy Story 3D	$12.5	N/A	1,745	$7,163	1
4	2	Surrogates	$7.6	-49%	2,951	$2,575	2
5	New	Whip It	$6.6	N/A	1,720	$3,837	1
6	3	Fame	$5.3	-47%	3,096	$1,708	2
7	New	The Invention of Lying	$5.0	N/A	1,707	$2,929	1
8	23	Capitalism: A Love Story	$4.9	2500%	962	$5,094	2
9	5	The Informant!	$4.3	-37%	2,425	$1,773	3
10	6	Love Happens	$2.4	-43%	1,898	$1,249	3
			Est. Weekend Total $86.50	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 40%		Est. Average PTA $3,538

COMPARISONS:

ZOMBIELAND (Sony)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Shaun of the Dead	9/24/04	607	$3.33	$5,487	$13.46
Dawn of the Dead	3/19/04	2,745	$26.72	$9,735	$58.89
28 Days Later	6/27/03	1,260	$10.06	$10.06	$7,985
Semi-Pro	2/29/08	3,121	$15.08	$4,830	$33.47
Prairie Home Companion, A	6/9/06	760	$4.57		$6,008
North Country	10/21/05	2,555	$6.42	$2,514	$18.32
After the Sunset	11/12/04	2,819	$11.10	$3,938	$28.33
Adventureland	4/3/09	1,862	$5.72	$3,073	$16.04
The Squid and the Whale	10/7/05	4	$0.13	$32,461	$7.07
The House Bunny	8/22/08	2,714	$14.53	$5,355	$46.11
Superbad	8/17/07	2,948	$33.05	$11,212	$121.46
30 Days of Night	10/19/07	2,855	$15.95	$5,587	$39.57

WHIP IT (Fox Searchlight)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Juno	12/5/07	1,019	$15.38	$10.63	$10,436	$142.11
He's Just Not That Into You	2/6/09	3,175		$27.79	$8,751	$93.93
Lucky You	5/4/07	2,525		$2.71	$1,073	$5.76
Music & Lyrics	2/14/07	2,955		$13.62	$4,610	$50.57
Fever Pitch	4/8/05	3,267		$12.40	$3,796	$42.07
Duplex	9/26/03	2,189		$4.62	$2,111	$9.61
Roll Bounce	9/23/05	1,625		$7.57	$4,659	$17.38
Drumline	12/13/02	1,836		$12.61	$6,868	$54.49
Rollerball	2/8/02	2,762		$9.01	$3,263	$18.99
Bring it On	8/25/00	2,380		$17.36	$7,294	$68.25
Waitress	5/2/07	510	$2.50	$3.08	$6,031	$19.10

THE INVENTION OF LYING (Warner Bros.)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Ghost Town	9/19/08	1,505	$5.01	$3,330	$13.25
Stardust	8/10/07	2,540	$9.17	$3,610	$38.63
Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian	5/22/09	4,096	$54.17	$13,226	$177.05
Night at the Museum	12/22/06	3,685	$30.43	$8,259	$250.86
Ghosts of Girlfriends Past	5/1/09	3,175	$15.41	$4,854	$55.25
Catch and Release	1/26/07		$7.66	$4,722	$15.43
13 Going on 30	4/23/04	3,438	$21.05	$6,124	$56.04
Strange Wilderness	2/1/08	1,208	$3.00	$2,485	$6.56
Superbad	8/17/07	2,948	$33.05	$11,212	$121.46
Accepted	8/18/06	2,914	$10.02	$3,440	$36.58