Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for August 14-16, 2009

Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for October 16 - 18, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 10.15.09)

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	Where the Wild Things Are	$37.2	N/A	3,650	$9,960	1
2	1	Couples Retreat	$18.5	-46%	3,009	$6,148	2
3	4	Paranormal Activity	$13.2	58%	760	$17,368	1
4	New	Law Abiding Citizen	$12.6	N/A	2,889	$4,361	1
5	New	The Stepfather	$9.0	N/A	2,734	$3,292	1
6	2	Zombieland	$8.3	-44%	3,171	$2,617	3
7	3	Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs	$7.8	-35%	2,650	$2,568	5
8	5	Toy Story 3D	$4.5	-47%	1,467	$3,067	3
9	6	Surrogates	$2.3	-47%	2,100	$989	4
10	7	The Invention of Lying	$1.7	-48%	1,550	$1,047	3
			Est. Weekend Total $115.10	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 29%		Est. Average PTA $4,674

COMPARISONS:

WHERE THE WILD THINGS ARE (Warner Bros.)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Adaptation	1/10/03	560	$6.55	$2.64	$4,709	$22.50
Being John Malkovich	11/24/99	591	$9.16	$2.04	$3,452	$22.86
Dr. Seuss' Horton Hears a Who	3/14/08	3,954		$45.01	$11,384	$154.53
Dr. Seuss' How The Grinch Stole Christmas	11/17/00	3,127		$55.08	$17,614	$260.03
Dr. Seuss' The Cat in the Hat	11/21/03	3,464		$38.33	$11,065	$100.45
Shrek	5/18/01	3,587	$0.04	$42.35	$11,805	$267.65
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory	7/15/05	3,770		$56.18	$14,901	$206.46
Shark Tale	10/1/04	4,016		$47.60	$11,854	$160.76

LAW ABIDING CITIZEN (Overture Films)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Gamer	9/4/09	2,502		$9.16	$3,659	$20.49
The Ugly Truth	7/24/09	2,882		$27.61	$9,579	$88.91
RocknRolla	10/8/08	826	$0.67	$1.87	$2,267	$5.69
Nim's Island	4/4/08	3,513		$13.21	$3,760	$48.06
300	3/9/07	3,109		$70.89	$22,844	$210.61
The Soloist	4/24/09	2,024		$9.72	$4,801	$31.72
The Kingdom	9/28/07	2,793		$17.13	$6,135	$47.47
Dreamgirls	12/29/06	852	$22.96	$14.10	$16,549	$103.34
Ray	10/29/04	2,006		$20.04	$9,990	$75.24
Collateral	8/6/04	3,188		$24.70	$7,748	$101.00
Righteous Kill	9/12/08	3,152		$16.29	$5,168	$40.03
Fracture	4/20/07	2,443		$11.01	$4,509	$38.99
A Time to Kill	7/26/96	2,123	$4.81	$14.82	$6,981	$108.77
Primal Fear	4/5/96	1,983	$2.02	$9.87	$4,977	$56.07
Murder in the First	1/20/95	1,237		$4.72	$3,816	$16.78

THE STEPFATHER (Screen Gems)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Last House on the Left	3/13/09	2,401	$14.20	$5,880	$32.72
Prom Night	4/11/08	2,700	$20.80	$7,706	$43.82
Shutter	3/12/08	2,753	$10.45	$3,795	$25.93
The Eye	2/1/08	2,436	$12.43	$5,101	$31.42
One Missed Call	1/4/08	2,240	$12.51	$5,585	$26.88
The Hitcher	1/19/07	2,835	$7.82	$2,758	$16.38
When A Stranger Calls	2/3/06	2,999	$21.61	$7,205	$47.86