Box Office Predictions for November 25 - 29,
2009
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis (final update 11.24.09)
Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out
the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything
written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost
always
responded to.
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
3-Day Weekend (in millions) |
5-Day Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average (3-Day) |
Week |
|
1 |
1 |
The Twilight Saga: New Moon |
$49.7 |
$67.8 |
-65% |
4,024 |
$12,351 |
2 |
|
2 |
New |
Old Dogs |
$25.6 |
$34.5 |
N/A |
3,425 |
$7,474 |
1 |
|
3 |
2 |
The Blind Side |
$21.5 |
$28.3 |
-37% |
3,140 |
$6,847 |
2 |
|
4 |
3 |
2012 |
$14.5 |
$20.6 |
-45% |
3,444 |
$4,210 |
3 |
|
5 |
4 |
Disney's A Christmas Carol |
$14.0 |
$18.5 |
14% |
3,013 |
$4,647 |
4 |
|
6 |
5 |
Planet 51 |
$12.8 |
$17.3 |
5% |
3,035 |
$4,217 |
2 |
|
7 |
New |
Ninja Assassin |
$11.6 |
$17.6 |
N/A |
2,703 |
$4,292 |
1 |
|
8 |
6 |
Precious |
$9.8 |
$13.8 |
-10% |
663 |
$14,781 |
4 |
|
9 |
24 |
The Fantastic Mr. Fox |
$9.6 |
$13.2 |
4673% |
2,033 |
$4,722 |
3 |
|
10 |
7 |
Men Who Stare at Goats |
$1.5 |
$2.4 |
-47% |
1,119 |
$1,340 |
4 |
|
Est. 3-Day Weekend Total |
Est. 5-Day Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
COMPARISONS:
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Taking of Pelham 1 2 3 |
6/12/09 |
3,074 |
$23.37 |
$7,603 |
$65.54 |
|
|
Bolt |
11/21/08 |
3,651 |
$26.22 |
$7,182 |
$114.05 |
|
|
Hairspray |
7/20/07 |
3,121 |
$27.48 |
$8,804 |
$118.82 |
|
|
Wild Hogs |
3/2/07 |
3287 |
$39.67 |
$12,078 |
$168.21 |
|
|
Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian |
5/22/09 |
4,096 |
$54.17 |
$13,226 |
$177.05 |
|
|
Night at the Museum |
12/22/06 |
3,685 |
$30.43 |
$8,259 |
$250.86 |
|
|
License to Wed |
7/3/07 |
2,604 |
$10.42 |
$4,002 |
$43.79 |
|
|
RV |
4/28/06 |
3,639 |
$16.41 |
$4,511 |
$71.72 |
|
|
Flubber |
11/28/97 |
2,641 |
$27.15 |
$10,280 |
$92.97 |
|
|
Without a Paddle |
8/20/04 |
2,730 |
$13.53 |
$4,956 |
$58.16 |
|
|
Austin Powers in Goldmember |
7/26/02 |
3,613 |
$3.55 |
$73.07 |
$20,224 |
$213.08 |
|
Austin Powers II:The Spy Who Shagged Me |
6/11/99 |
3,312 |
$2.52 |
$54.57 |
$16,582 |
$205.40 |
|
Yours, Mine and Ours |
11/25/05 |
3,206 |
$6.86 |
$17.46 |
$5,446 |
$53.30 |
|
The Pacifier |
3/4/05 |
3,131 |
$30.55 |
$9,758 |
$113.01 |
|
|
Are We There Yet? |
1/21/05 |
2,709 |
$18.58 |
$6,857 |
$82.30 |
|
|
Cheaper By the Dozen |
12/26/03 |
3,298 |
$8.18 |
$27.56 |
$8,356 |
$128.03 |
|
Daddy Day Care |
5/9/03 |
3,370 |
$27.62 |
$8,197 |
$103.55 |
|
|
Big Daddy |
6/25/99 |
3,027 |
$41.54 |
$13,723 |
$163.48 |
NINJA ASSASSIN (Warner Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
V for Vendetta |
3/17/06 |
3,365 |
$25.65 |
$7,620 |
$70.51 |
|
|
Speed Racer |
5/9/08 |
3,606 |
$18.56 |
$5,147 |
$43.93 |
|
|
Transporter 3 |
11/26/08 |
2,626 |
$6.17 |
$12.06 |
$4,594 |
$31.72 |
|
Hitman |
11/21/07 |
2,458 |
$7.91 |
$13.18 |
$5,362 |
$39.69 |
|
Kill Bill Vol. 2 |
4/16/04 |
2,971 |
$25.10 |
$8,450 |
$66.21 |
|
|
Kill Bill Vol. 1 |
10/10/03 |
3,102 |
$22.09 |
$7,121 |
$69.82 |
|
|
Black Mask |
5/14/99 |
979 |
$4.45 |
$4,545 |
$12.49 |
FANTASTIC MR. FOX (Fox Searchlight)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Darjeeling Limited |
9/29/07 |
699 |
$1.76 |
$2,520 |
$11.90 |
|
|
The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou |
12/10/04 |
1,105 |
$0.40 |
$4.55 |
$4,115 |
$24.01 |
|
The Royal Tenenbaums |
1/4/02 |
751 |
$12.19 |
$8.51 |
$11,344 |
$52.35 |
|
Rushmore |
2/19/99 |
764 |
$6.95 |
$2.80 |
$2.98 |
$3,665 |
|
Where the Wild Things Are |
10/16/09 |
3,735 |
$32.70 |
$8,754 |
$74.62 |
|
|
Coraline |
2/6/09 |
2,299 |
$16.84 |
$7,329 |
$75.29 |
|
|
The Corpse Bride |
9/16/05 |
3,204 |
$0.51 |
$19.15 |
$5,975 |
$53.36 |
|
The Nightmare Before Christmas |
10/22/93 |
1,654 |
$0.32 |
$6.24 |
$3,773 |
$50.00 |
|
James and the Giant Peach |
4/12/96 |
2,262 |
$7.54 |
$3,333 |
$29.82 |
|
|
Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit |
10/7/05 |
3,645 |
$0.02 |
$16.03 |
$4,397 |
$56.07 |
|
Chicken Run |
6/23/00 |
2,491 |
$0.10 |
$17.11 |
$6,869 |
$106.79 |
|
Eight Crazy Nights |
11/29/02 |
2,503 |
4.884 |
$9.43 |
$3,769 |
$23.61 |
Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas
General Zod Returns with More Messages for the Man of Steel
A New TV Spot Warns of the Impending World War Z
EA Announces Battlefield 4 for Xbox One and PlayStation 4
Ricky Gervais' Derek Heads to Netflix
The Domestic Trailer and Poster for Neil Jordan's Byzantium
Videos From the Xbox One Reveal, Including Call of Duty: Ghosts
Full Trailer for Marvel's Avengers Assemble Now Online
Microsoft Reveals the New Xbox One!
The New Trailer for The Lone Ranger is Online
Tickets Now On Sale for Man of Steel!
