Box Office Predictions for November 20 - 22,
2009
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out
the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything
written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost
always
responded to.
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
The Twilight Saga: New Moon |
$104.2 |
N/A |
4,050 |
$25,728 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
2012 |
$27.2 |
-58% |
3,430 |
$7,930 |
2 |
|
3 |
2 |
Disney's A Christmas Carol |
$14.5 |
-35% |
3,700 |
$3,919 |
3 |
|
4 |
New |
The Blind Side |
$13.6 |
N/A |
3,130 |
$4,345 |
1 |
|
5 |
New |
Planet 51 |
$10.8 |
N/A |
2,740 |
$3,942 |
1 |
|
6 |
3 |
Precious |
$10.0 |
70% |
640 |
$15,625 |
3 |
|
7 |
4 |
Men Who Stare at Goats |
$3.0 |
-45% |
2,000 |
$1,500 |
3 |
|
8 |
7 |
Couples Retreat |
$2.5 |
-40% |
2,100 |
$1,190 |
7 |
|
9 |
5 |
Michael Jackson's This Is It |
$2.3 |
-55% |
2,500 |
$920 |
4 |
|
10 |
8 |
Paranormal Activity |
$2.1 |
-47% |
2,400 |
$917 |
6 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
COMPARISONS:
THE TWILIGHT SAGA: NEW MOON (Summit)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Twilight |
11/21/08 |
3,419 |
$69.64 |
$20,368 |
$191.41 |
|
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire |
11/18/05 |
3,858 |
$102.69 |
$26,616 |
$289.99 |
|
Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets |
11/15/02 |
3,682 |
$88.36 |
$23,997 |
$261.99 |
|
Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone |
11/16/01 |
3,672 |
$90.29 |
$24,590 |
$317.57 |
|
Sex and the City |
5/30/08 |
3,285 |
$56.85 |
$17,305 |
$152.65 |
|
The Golden Compass |
12/7/07 |
3,528 |
$25.78 |
$7,308 |
$69.25 |
THE BLIND SIDE (Warner Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
The Proposal |
6/19/09 |
3,056 |
$33.63 |
$11,004 |
$159.17 |
|
|
Premonition |
3/16/07 |
2,831 |
$17.56 |
$6,202 |
$47.84 |
|
|
The Lake House |
6/16/06 |
2,645 |
$13.62 |
$5,148 |
$52.33 |
|
|
Crash |
5/6/05 |
1,864 |
$9.11 |
$4,886 |
$54.56 |
|
|
A Time to Kill |
17/26/96 |
2,123 |
$4.81 |
$14.82 |
$6,981 |
$108.77 |
|
The Express |
10/10/08 |
2,808 |
$4.56 |
$1,625 |
$9.59 |
|
|
Any Given Sunday |
12/24/99 |
2,505 |
$7.05 |
$13.58 |
$5,421 |
$75.53 |
|
We Are Marshall |
12/22/06 |
2,606 |
$6.11 |
$2,346 |
$43.55 |
|
|
Invincible |
8/25/06 |
2,917 |
$17.03 |
$5,839 |
$57.81 |
|
|
Friday Night Lights |
10/8/04 |
2,667 |
$20.27 |
$7,600 |
$61.19 |
|
|
Radio |
10/25/03 |
3,074 |
$13.30 |
$4,326 |
$52.28 |
|
|
Remember the Titans |
9/29/00 |
1,865 |
$20.91 |
$11,212 |
$115.60 |
|
|
The Alamo |
4/9/04 |
2,609 |
$9.12 |
$3,497 |
$22.41 |
|
|
The Rookie |
3/29/02 |
2,511 |
$16.02 |
$6,381 |
$75.60 |
PLANET 51 (Sony)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs |
9/18/09 |
3119 |
$30.30 |
$8,716 |
$121.66 |
|
Surf's Up |
6/8/07 |
2,528 |
$17.64 |
$5,000 |
$58.87 |
|
Open Season |
9/29/06 |
3,833 |
$23.62 |
$6,163 |
$84.30 |
|
Monster House |
7/21/06 |
3,553 |
$22.22 |
$6,253 |
$73.66 |
|
Battle for Terra |
5/1/09 |
1,160 |
$1.08 |
$933 |
$1.65 |
|
Delgo |
12/12/08 |
2,160 |
$0.51 |
$237 |
$0.92 |
|
Space Chimps |
7/18/08 |
2,511 |
$7.18 |
$2,860 |
$30.11 |
|
Fly Me to the Moon |
8/15/08 |
452 |
$1.90 |
$4,205 |
$12.34 |
Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas
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