Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for August 14-16, 2009

Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for November 20 - 22, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	The Twilight Saga: New Moon	$104.2	N/A	4,050	$25,728	1
2	1	2012	$27.2	-58%	3,430	$7,930	2
3	2	Disney's A Christmas Carol	$14.5	-35%	3,700	$3,919	3
4	New	The Blind Side	$13.6	N/A	3,130	$4,345	1
5	New	Planet 51	$10.8	N/A	2,740	$3,942	1
6	3	Precious	$10.0	70%	640	$15,625	3
7	4	Men Who Stare at Goats	$3.0	-45%	2,000	$1,500	3
8	7	Couples Retreat	$2.5	-40%	2,100	$1,190	7
9	5	Michael Jackson's This Is It	$2.3	-55%	2,500	$920	4
10	8	Paranormal Activity	$2.1	-47%	2,400	$917	6
			Est. Weekend Total $190.20	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 33%		Est. Average PTA $6,597

COMPARISONS:

THE TWILIGHT SAGA: NEW MOON (Summit)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Twilight	11/21/08	3,419	$69.64	$20,368	$191.41
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire	11/18/05	3,858	$102.69	$26,616	$289.99
Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets	11/15/02	3,682	$88.36	$23,997	$261.99
Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone	11/16/01	3,672	$90.29	$24,590	$317.57
Sex and the City	5/30/08	3,285	$56.85	$17,305	$152.65
The Golden Compass	12/7/07	3,528	$25.78	$7,308	$69.25

THE BLIND SIDE (Warner Bros.)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
The Proposal	6/19/09	3,056		$33.63	$11,004	$159.17
Premonition	3/16/07	2,831		$17.56	$6,202	$47.84
The Lake House	6/16/06	2,645		$13.62	$5,148	$52.33
Crash	5/6/05	1,864		$9.11	$4,886	$54.56
A Time to Kill	17/26/96	2,123	$4.81	$14.82	$6,981	$108.77
The Express	10/10/08	2,808		$4.56	$1,625	$9.59
Any Given Sunday	12/24/99	2,505	$7.05	$13.58	$5,421	$75.53
We Are Marshall	12/22/06	2,606		$6.11	$2,346	$43.55
Invincible	8/25/06	2,917		$17.03	$5,839	$57.81
Friday Night Lights	10/8/04	2,667		$20.27	$7,600	$61.19
Radio	10/25/03	3,074		$13.30	$4,326	$52.28
Remember the Titans	9/29/00	1,865		$20.91	$11,212	$115.60
The Alamo	4/9/04	2,609		$9.12	$3,497	$22.41
The Rookie	3/29/02	2,511		$16.02	$6,381	$75.60

PLANET 51 (Sony)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs	9/18/09	3119	$30.30	$8,716	$121.66
Surf's Up	6/8/07	2,528	$17.64	$5,000	$58.87
Open Season	9/29/06	3,833	$23.62	$6,163	$84.30
Monster House	7/21/06	3,553	$22.22	$6,253	$73.66
Battle for Terra	5/1/09	1,160	$1.08	$933	$1.65
Delgo	12/12/08	2,160	$0.51	$237	$0.92
Space Chimps	7/18/08	2,511	$7.18	$2,860	$30.11
Fly Me to the Moon	8/15/08	452	$1.90	$4,205	$12.34