Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for November 13 - 15, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 11.12.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

2012

$54.2

N/A

3,404

$15,922

1

2

1

Disney's A Christmas Carol

$18.6

-38%

3,683

$5,050

2

3

2

Michael Jackson's This Is It

$7.6

-43%

3,037

$2,502

3

4

3

Men Who Stare at Goats

$7.0

-45%

2,453

$2,854

2

5

4

The Fourth Kind

$6.0

-51%

2,530

$2,372

2

6

13

Precious

$5.5

+227%

174

$31,609

6

7

5

Paranormal Activity

$4.3

-48%

2,200

$1,955

5

8

7

Couples Retreat

$3.8

-38%

2,450

$1,551

6

9

6

The Box

$3.6

-53%

2,635

$1,366

2

10

8

Law Abiding Citizen

$3.5

-42%

2,071

$1,690

5

11

New

Pirate Radio

$3.4

N/A

882

$3,855

1

Est. Weekend Total
$117.50

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 45%

Est. Average PTA
$6,430



COMPARISONS:

2012 (Sony)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

10,000 B.C.

3/7/08

3,410

$35.87

$10,518

$94.78

The Day After Tomorrow

5/28/04

3,425

$68.74

$20,071

$186.58

Godzilla

5/22/98

3,310

$18.53

$44.74

$13,517

$136.31

Independence Day

7/5/96

2,882

$11.12

$50.23

$17,429

$306.17

Armageddon

7/3/98

3,127

$18.10

$36.09

$11,541

$201.58

Deep Impact

5/8/98

3,156

$41.15

$13,039

$140.46

The Martian Child

11/2/07

2,020

$3.38

$1,672

$7.50

1408

6/22/07

$2,678

$20.62

$7,699

$71.98

Runaway Jury

10/17/03

2,815

$11.84

$4,205

$49.36

Identity

4/25/03

2,733

$16.23

$5,937

$51.48

Poseidon

5/12/06

3,555

$22.16

$6,232

$60.66

The Day the Earth Stood Still

12/12/08

3,560

$30.48

$8,562

$79.31



PIRATE RADIO (Focus Features)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Love Actually

11/7/03

576

$6.89

$11,955

$59.08

Notting Hill

5/28/99

2,745

$22.13

$8,062

$116.09

Four Weddings and a Funeral

4/15/94

721

$9.88

$4.16

$5,770

$52.72

Hot Fuzz

4/20/07

825

$5.85

$7,089

$23.62

Shaun of the Dead

9/24/04

607

$3.33

$5,487

$13.46

Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason

11/12/04

530

$8.68

$16,385

$40.20

Bridget Jones's Diary

4/13/01

1,611

$10.73

$6,662

$71.50

Taking Woodstock

8/26/09

1,393

$3.46

$2,482

$7.44

Talk to Me

7/13/07

115

$1.08

$.80

$6,971

$4.53


Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas

Follow ComingSoon.net on Twitter
MOST ACTIVE
From our partners