Box Office Predictions for November 13 - 15,
2009
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis (final update 11.12.09)
Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out
the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything
written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost
always
responded to.
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
2012 |
$54.2 |
N/A |
3,404 |
$15,922 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Disney's A Christmas Carol |
$18.6 |
-38% |
3,683 |
$5,050 |
2 |
|
3 |
2 |
Michael Jackson's This Is It |
$7.6 |
-43% |
3,037 |
$2,502 |
3 |
|
4 |
3 |
Men Who Stare at Goats |
$7.0 |
-45% |
2,453 |
$2,854 |
2 |
|
5 |
4 |
The Fourth Kind |
$6.0 |
-51% |
2,530 |
$2,372 |
2 |
|
6 |
13 |
Precious |
$5.5 |
+227% |
174 |
$31,609 |
6 |
|
7 |
5 |
Paranormal Activity |
$4.3 |
-48% |
2,200 |
$1,955 |
5 |
|
8 |
7 |
Couples Retreat |
$3.8 |
-38% |
2,450 |
$1,551 |
6 |
|
9 |
6 |
The Box |
$3.6 |
-53% |
2,635 |
$1,366 |
2 |
|
10 |
8 |
Law Abiding Citizen |
$3.5 |
-42% |
2,071 |
$1,690 |
5 |
|
11 |
New |
Pirate Radio |
$3.4 |
N/A |
882 |
$3,855 |
1 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
COMPARISONS:
2012 (Sony)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
10,000 B.C. |
3/7/08 |
3,410 |
$35.87 |
$10,518 |
$94.78 |
|
|
The Day After Tomorrow |
5/28/04 |
3,425 |
$68.74 |
$20,071 |
$186.58 |
|
|
Godzilla |
5/22/98 |
3,310 |
$18.53 |
$44.74 |
$13,517 |
$136.31 |
|
Independence Day |
7/5/96 |
2,882 |
$11.12 |
$50.23 |
$17,429 |
$306.17 |
|
Armageddon |
7/3/98 |
3,127 |
$18.10 |
$36.09 |
$11,541 |
$201.58 |
|
Deep Impact |
5/8/98 |
3,156 |
$41.15 |
$13,039 |
$140.46 |
|
|
The Martian Child |
11/2/07 |
2,020 |
$3.38 |
$1,672 |
$7.50 |
|
|
1408 |
6/22/07 |
$2,678 |
$20.62 |
$7,699 |
$71.98 |
|
|
Runaway Jury |
10/17/03 |
2,815 |
$11.84 |
$4,205 |
$49.36 |
|
|
Identity |
4/25/03 |
2,733 |
$16.23 |
$5,937 |
$51.48 |
|
|
Poseidon |
5/12/06 |
3,555 |
$22.16 |
$6,232 |
$60.66 |
|
|
The Day the Earth Stood Still |
12/12/08 |
3,560 |
$30.48 |
$8,562 |
$79.31 |
PIRATE RADIO (Focus Features)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Love Actually |
11/7/03 |
576 |
$6.89 |
$11,955 |
$59.08 |
|
|
Notting Hill |
5/28/99 |
2,745 |
$22.13 |
$8,062 |
$116.09 |
|
|
Four Weddings and a Funeral |
4/15/94 |
721 |
$9.88 |
$4.16 |
$5,770 |
$52.72 |
|
Hot Fuzz |
4/20/07 |
825 |
$5.85 |
$7,089 |
$23.62 |
|
|
Shaun of the Dead |
9/24/04 |
607 |
$3.33 |
$5,487 |
$13.46 |
|
|
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason |
11/12/04 |
530 |
$8.68 |
$16,385 |
$40.20 |
|
|
Bridget Jones's Diary |
4/13/01 |
1,611 |
$10.73 |
$6,662 |
$71.50 |
|
|
Taking Woodstock |
8/26/09 |
1,393 |
$3.46 |
$2,482 |
$7.44 |
|
|
Talk to Me |
7/13/07 |
115 |
$1.08 |
$.80 |
$6,971 |
$4.53 |
Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas
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