Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for May 8 - 10, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 5.7.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is alway welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Star Trek

$72.5

N/A

3,849

$18,8361

1

2

1

X-Men Origins: Wolverine

$27.5

-68%

4,102

$6,704

2

3

2

Ghosts of Girlfriends Past

$9.0

-42%

3,175

$2,835

2

4

3

Obsessed

$6.4

-48%

2,602

$2,460

3

5

New

Next Day Air

$4.4

N/A

1,100

$3,909

1

6

4

17 Again

$3.6

-44%

2,903

$1,240

4

7

5

Monsters vs. Aliens

$3.5

-40%

2,185

$1,602

7

8

6

The Soloist

$3.2

-42%

2,090

$1,579

3

9

7

Earth

$2.5

-43%

1,794

$1,394

3

10

8

Hannah Montana The Movie

2.3

-44%

2,301

$1,000

4

Est. Weekend Total
$135.00

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 46%

Est. Average PTA
$4,151


COMPARISONS:

STAR TREK (Paramount)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Mission: Impossible 3

5/5/06

4,054

$47.74

$11,777

$133.50

Star Trek: Nemesis

12/13/02

2,711

$18.51

$6,828

$42.69

Star Trek:Insurrection

12/11/98

2,620

$22.05

$8,416

$70.12

Star Trek: First Contact

11/22/96

2,812

$30.72

$10,925

$91.98

Star Trek 7: Generations

11/18/94

2,659

$3.03

$23.12

$8,695

$75.61

Star Trek VI: The Undiscovered Country

12/6/91

1,804

$18.16

$10,067

$74.74

Star Trek V: The Final Frontier

6/9/89

2,202

$17.38

$7,893

$52.21

Star Trek VI: The Voyage Home

11/26/86

1,349

$16.88

$12,514

$109.73

Troy

5/14/04

3,411

$46.87

$13,739

$133.23

The Hulk

6/20/03

3,660

$62.13

$16,975

$132.12

Hot Fuzz

4/20/07

825

$5.85

$7,089

$23.62

Shaun of the Dead

9/24/04

607

$3.33

$5,487

$13.46

Galaxy Guest

12/25/99

2,412

$7.01

$2,906

$70.26

Casino Royale

11/17/06

3,434

$40.83

$11,891

$167.37

Batman Begins

6/17/05

3,858

$24.15

$48.75

$12,635

$205.09

The Island

7/22/05

3,122

$12.41

$3,975

$35.26


NEXT DAY AIR (Summit Entertainment)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Be Kind, Rewind

2/22/08

808

$4.05

$5,013

$11.17

16 Blocks

3/3/06

2,706

$11.86

$4,381

$36.90

The Italian Job

5/30/03

2,633

$19.46

$7,390

$105.63

Brown Sugar

10/11/02

1,372

$10.74

$7,827

$27.36

Welcome Home, Roscoe Jenkins

2/8/08

2,387

$16.21

$6,790

$42.17

The Honeymooners

6/10/05

1,912

$5.54

$2,897

$12.83

Friday After Next

11/22/02

1,616

$13.01

$8,052

$32.87

All About the Benjamins

3/8/02

1,505

$10.13

$6,731

$25.48

Double Take

1/12/01

1,631

$10.01

$6,137

$29.82

Next Friday

1/14/00

1,103

$4.45

$14.44

$13,092

$57.18

Big Trouble

4/5/02

1,961

$3.55

$1,808

$7.26


Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas

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