Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for May 29 - 31, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 5.28.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Up

$63.4

N/A

3,766

$16,835

1

2

1

Night at the Museum

$26.5

-51%

4,101

$6,462

2

3

New

Drag Me to Hell

$21.7

N/A

2,508

$8,652

1

4

2

Terminator Salvation

$19.1

-54%

3,602

$5,303

2

5

3

Star Trek

$13.0

-43%

3,507

$3,707

4

6

4

Angels and Demons

$11.7

-46%

3,464

$3,378

3

7

5

Dance Flick

$5.6

-48%

2,459

$2,277

2

8

6

X-Men Origins: Wolverine

$3.6

-54%

2,263

$1,591

5

9

7

Ghosts of Girlfriends Past

$2.5

-48%

1,450

$1,724

5

10

8

Obsessed

$.90

-55%

679

$1,252

6

Est. Weekend Total
$167.95

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 50%

Est. Average PTA
$5,118



COMPARISONS:


UP (Disney/Pixar)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Monsters, Inc.

11/2/01

3,237

$63.48

$19,611

$252.89

WALL*E

6/27/08

3,992

$63.09

$15,803

$223.81

Ratatouille

6/29/07

3,940

$47.03

$11,936

$206.45

Cars

6/9/06

3,985

$60.12

$15,086

$244.08

The Incredibles

11/5/04

3,933

$70.47

$17,917

$261.44

Finding Nemo

5/30/03

3,374

$70.25

$20,821

$339.71

Monsters vs. Aliens

3/27/09

4,104

$59.32

$14,454

$191.65

Bolt

11/21/08

3,651

$26.22

$7,182

$114.05

Meet the Robinsons

3/30/07

3,413

$25.12

$7,361

$97.82

Chicken Little

11/4/05

3,654

$40.05

$10,961

$135.36

Kung Fu Panda

6/6/08

4,114

$60.24

$14,642

$215.44



DRAG ME TO HELL (Universal)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Spider-Man 3

5/4/07

4,252

$151.12

$35,540

$336.53

Spider-Man 2

7/2/04

4,152

$64.26

$88.52

$21,232

$371.17

Spider-Man

5/3/02

3,615

$114.84

$31,769

$405.69

The Quick and the Dead

2/10/95

2,158

$6.52

$3,021

$18.55

Army of Darkness

2/19/93

1,387

$4.42

$3,187

$10.53

Darkman

8/24/90

1,786

$8.05

$4,507

$32.94

Matchstick Men

9/12/03

2,711

$13.09

$4,827

$36.87

White Oleander

10/11/02

1,510

$5.61

$3,714

$16.11

The Haunting in Connecticut

3/27/09

2,732

$23.00

$8,420

$55.33

The Unborn

1/9/09

2,357

$19.81

$8,405

$42.67

The Strangers

5/30/08

2,467

$21.00

$8,512

$52.53


Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas

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