Box Office Predictions for May 29 - 31, 2009
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
(final update 5.28.09)
Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.
You can also follow the Weekend Warrior on TWITTER, if you dare!
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Up |
$63.4 |
N/A |
3,766 |
$16,835 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Night at the Museum |
$26.5 |
-51% |
4,101 |
$6,462 |
2 |
|
3 |
New |
Drag Me to Hell |
$21.7 |
N/A |
2,508 |
$8,652 |
1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Terminator Salvation |
$19.1 |
-54% |
3,602 |
$5,303 |
2 |
|
5 |
3 |
Star Trek |
$13.0 |
-43% |
3,507 |
$3,707 |
4 |
|
6 |
4 |
Angels and Demons |
$11.7 |
-46% |
3,464 |
$3,378 |
3 |
|
7 |
5 |
Dance Flick |
$5.6 |
-48% |
2,459 |
$2,277 |
2 |
|
8 |
6 |
X-Men Origins: Wolverine |
$3.6 |
-54% |
2,263 |
$1,591 |
5 |
|
9 |
7 |
Ghosts of Girlfriends Past |
$2.5 |
-48% |
1,450 |
$1,724 |
5 |
|
10 |
8 |
Obsessed |
$.90 |
-55% |
679 |
$1,252 |
6 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
COMPARISONS:
UP (Disney/Pixar)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Monsters, Inc. |
11/2/01 |
3,237 |
$63.48 |
$19,611 |
$252.89 |
|
WALL*E |
6/27/08 |
3,992 |
$63.09 |
$15,803 |
$223.81 |
|
Ratatouille |
6/29/07 |
3,940 |
$47.03 |
$11,936 |
$206.45 |
|
Cars |
6/9/06 |
3,985 |
$60.12 |
$15,086 |
$244.08 |
|
The Incredibles |
11/5/04 |
3,933 |
$70.47 |
$17,917 |
$261.44 |
|
Finding Nemo |
5/30/03 |
3,374 |
$70.25 |
$20,821 |
$339.71 |
|
Monsters vs. Aliens |
3/27/09 |
4,104 |
$59.32 |
$14,454 |
$191.65 |
|
Bolt |
11/21/08 |
3,651 |
$26.22 |
$7,182 |
$114.05 |
|
Meet the Robinsons |
3/30/07 |
3,413 |
$25.12 |
$7,361 |
$97.82 |
|
Chicken Little |
11/4/05 |
3,654 |
$40.05 |
$10,961 |
$135.36 |
|
Kung Fu Panda |
6/6/08 |
4,114 |
$60.24 |
$14,642 |
$215.44 |
DRAG ME TO HELL (Universal)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Spider-Man 3 |
5/4/07 |
4,252 |
$151.12 |
$35,540 |
$336.53 |
|
|
Spider-Man 2 |
7/2/04 |
4,152 |
$64.26 |
$88.52 |
$21,232 |
$371.17 |
|
Spider-Man |
5/3/02 |
3,615 |
$114.84 |
$31,769 |
$405.69 |
|
|
The Quick and the Dead |
2/10/95 |
2,158 |
$6.52 |
$3,021 |
$18.55 |
|
|
Army of Darkness |
2/19/93 |
1,387 |
$4.42 |
$3,187 |
$10.53 |
|
|
Darkman |
8/24/90 |
1,786 |
$8.05 |
$4,507 |
$32.94 |
|
|
Matchstick Men |
9/12/03 |
2,711 |
$13.09 |
$4,827 |
$36.87 |
|
|
White Oleander |
10/11/02 |
1,510 |
$5.61 |
$3,714 |
$16.11 |
|
|
The Haunting in Connecticut |
3/27/09 |
2,732 |
$23.00 |
$8,420 |
$55.33 |
|
|
The Unborn |
1/9/09 |
2,357 |
$19.81 |
$8,405 |
$42.67 |
|
|
The Strangers |
5/30/08 |
2,467 |
$21.00 |
$8,512 |
$52.53 |
Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas
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