Box Office Predictions for May 22- 25, 2009
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
(final update 5.21.09)
Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.
You can also follow the Weekend Warrior on TWITTER, if you dare!
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Terminator Salvation |
$71.6 |
N/A |
3,480 |
$20,575 |
1 |
|
2 |
New |
Night at the Museum |
$68.6 |
N/A |
4,096 |
$16,748 |
1 |
|
3 |
2 |
Star Trek |
$32.7 |
-24% |
4,053 |
$8,068 |
3 |
|
4 |
1 |
Angels and Demons |
$27.8 |
-40% |
3,530 |
$7,882 |
2 |
|
5 |
New |
Dance Flick |
$10.7 |
N/A |
2,350 |
$4,367 |
1 |
|
6 |
3 |
X-Men Origins: Wolverine |
$9.0 |
-39% |
3,183 |
$2,828 |
4 |
|
7 |
4 |
Ghosts of Girlfriends Past |
$5.0 |
-25% |
2,255 |
$2,217 |
4 |
|
8 |
5 |
Obsessed |
$3.1 |
-33% |
2,300 |
$1,934 |
5 |
|
9 |
7 |
Monsters vs. Aliens |
$2.4 |
-23% |
1,700 |
$1,674 |
9 |
|
10 |
6 |
17 Again |
$2.1 |
-38% |
2,200 |
$1,897 |
6 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
COMPARISONS:
TERMINATOR SALVATION (Warner Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Terminator 3: Rise of the Machines |
7/4/03 |
3,504 |
$28.35 |
$44.04 |
$12,569 |
$150.35 |
|
Terminator 2 |
7/5/91 |
2,274 |
$20.54 |
$40.67 |
$13,971 |
$204.84 |
|
Charlie's Angels: Full Throttle |
6/27/03 |
3,459 |
$37.63 |
$10,880 |
$100.69 |
|
|
Charlie's Angels |
11/3/00 |
3,037 |
$40.13 |
$13,214 |
$125.31 |
|
|
The Dark Knight |
7/18/08 |
4,366 |
$158.41 |
$36,283 |
$533.35 |
|
|
Batman Begins |
6/17/05 |
3,858 |
$24.15 |
$48.75 |
$12,635 |
$205.09 |
|
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End |
5/25/07 |
4,362 |
$13.24 |
$139.80 |
$32,050 |
$309.40 |
|
Indiana Jones and the Kingdom of the Crystal Skull |
5/22/08 |
4,260 |
$25.04 |
$126.94 |
$29,792 |
$317.00 |
|
X-Men: The Last Stand |
5/26/06 |
3,690 |
$122.86 |
$33,295 |
$234.36 |
|
|
The Day After Tomorrow |
5/28/04 |
3,425 |
$85.81 |
$25,053 |
$186.58 |
|
|
Bruce Almighty |
5/23/03 |
3,483 |
$85.73 |
$24,614 |
$242.60 |
|
|
The Lost World |
5/23/97 |
3,281 |
$2.57 |
$84.70 |
$27,480 |
$229.09 |
|
Pearl Harbor |
5/25/01 |
3,214 |
$75.18 |
$23,390 |
$198.54 |
|
|
Live Free or Die Hard |
6/29/07 |
3,408 |
$15.03 |
$33.37 |
$9,792 |
$134.53 |
NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM: BATTLE FOR THE SMITHSONIAN (20th Century Fox)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Night at the Museum |
12/22/06 |
3,685 |
$30.43 |
$8,259 |
$250.86 |
|
|
Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa |
11/7/08 |
4,056 |
$63.10 |
$15,559 |
$180.01 |
|
|
Madagascar |
5/27/05 |
4,131 |
$61.01 |
$14,769 |
$193.14 |
|
|
Tropic Thunder |
8/13/08 |
3,319 |
$11.03 |
$25.81 |
$7,777 |
$110.46 |
|
Meet the Fockers |
12/24/04 |
3,518 |
$24.40 |
$46.12 |
$13,110 |
$275.94 |
|
Meet the Parents |
10/6/00 |
2,614 |
$28.62 |
$10,949 |
$166.23 |
|
|
Enchanted |
11/21/07 |
3,730 |
14.619 |
$34.44 |
$9,233 |
$127.71 |
|
Forgetting Sarah Marshall |
4/18/08 |
2,798 |
$17.73 |
$6,335 |
$63.17 |
|
|
Superbad |
8/17/07 |
2,948 |
$33.05 |
$11,212 |
$121.46 |
|
|
Evan Almighty |
6/22/07 |
2,604 |
$31.19 |
$8,655 |
$100.29 |
|
|
Bruce Almighty |
5/23/03 |
3,483 |
$85.73 |
$24,614 |
$242.60 |
DANCE FLICK (Paramount/MTV Films)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Little Man |
7/14/06 |
2,533 |
$21.61 |
$8,533 |
$58.64 |
|
|
White Chicks |
6/25/04 |
2,726 |
$7.50 |
$19.68 |
$7,218 |
$69.15 |
|
Scary Movie 2 |
7/6/01 |
3,220 |
$13.51 |
$20.50 |
$6,367 |
$71.28 |
|
Scary Movie |
7/7/00 |
2,912 |
$42.35 |
$14,543 |
$157.00 |
|
|
Disaster Movie |
8/29/08 |
2,642 |
$5.84 |
$2,209 |
$14.19 |
|
|
Superhero Movie |
3/28/08 |
2,960 |
$9.51 |
$3,213 |
$25.87 |
|
|
Date Movie |
2/17/06 |
2,896 |
$19.08 |
$6,587 |
$48.55 |
|
|
Epic Movie |
1/26/07 |
2,801 |
$18.61 |
$6,645 |
$39.74 |
|
|
Bruce Almighty |
5/23/03 |
3,483 |
$85.73 |
$24,614 |
$242.60 |
|
|
Soul Plane |
5/28/04 |
1,566 |
$7.01 |
$4,476 |
$13.92 |
|
|
Step Up 2 The Street |
2/14/08 |
2,470 |
$18.91 |
$7,655 |
$58.02 |
|
|
Stomp the Yard |
1/12/07 |
2051 |
$21.83 |
$10,645 |
$61.36 |
|
|
Step Up |
8/11/06 |
2,467 |
$20.66 |
$8,374 |
$65.33 |
|
|
Take the Lead |
4/7/06 |
3,009 |
$12.05 |
$4,005 |
$34.74 |
|
|
You Got Served |
1/30/04 |
1,933 |
$16.12 |
$8,341 |
$40.07 |
|
|
Honey |
12/5/03 |
1,942 |
$12.86 |
$6,620 |
$30.00 |
|
|
Save the Last Dance |
1/12/01 |
2,230 |
$23.44 |
$10,511 |
$90.17 |
Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas
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