Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for May 15 - 17, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 5.14.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Angels & Demons

$58.6

N/A

3,527

$16,586

1

2

1

Star Trek

$39.8

-47%

3,860

$10,311

2

3

2

X-Men Origins: Wolverine

$12.0

-55%

3,892

$3,083

3

4

3

Ghosts of Girlfriends Past

$6.4

-43%

3,150

$2,032

3

5

4

Obsessed

$3.6

-49%

2,634

$1,367

4

6

7

The Soloist

$2.6

-39%

2,022

$1,286

4

7

5

17 Again

$2.5

-37%

2,450

$1,020

5

8

8

Monsters vs. Aliens

$2.1

-35%

1,951

$1,076

8

9

6

Next Day Air

$2.0

-53%

1,139

$1,756

2

10

9

Earth

$1.7

-39%

1,584

$1,073

5

Est. Weekend Total
$131.20

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 43%

Est. Average PTA
$3,959



COMPARISONS:

ANGELS AND DEMONS (Sony)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

The Da Vinci Code

5/19/06

3,735

$77.07

$20,635

$217.54

The Terminal

6/18/04

2,811

$19.05

$6,778

$77.03

Catch Me If You Can

12/27/02

3,156

$18.60

$30.08

$9,532

$144.96

Road to Perdition

7/12/02

1,797

$22.08

$12,267

$104.05

Cast Away

12/22/00

2,774

$28.88

$10,411

$233.63

Saving Private Ryan

7/24/98

2,463

$30.58

$12,416

$216.12

Apollo 13

6/30/95

2,197

$25.35

$11,538

$172.07

Forrest Gump

7/8/94

1,595

$8.06

$24.45

$15,329

$329.65

Cinderella Man

6/3/05

2,812

$18.32

$6,515

$61.65

A Beautiful Mind

1/4/02

1,853

$21.21

$16.57

$8,940

$170.71

The Chronicles of Narnia: Prince Caspian

5/16/08

3,929

$55.03

$14,007

$141.59

The Chronicles of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch, and the Wardrobe

12/9/05

3,616

$65.56

$18,130

$291.17

The Bourne Ultimatum

83/07

3,660

$69.28

$18,930

$227.47

The Bourne Supremacy

7/23/04

3,165

$52.52

$16,595

$170.45

The Bourne Identity

6/14/02

2,638

$27.12

$10,281

$121.38

Red Dragon

10/4/02

3,357

$36.54

$10,885

$93.10

Hannibal

2/9/01

3,230

$58.00

$17,958

$164.97

Silence of the Lambs

2/15/91

1,497

$1.41

$13.77

$9,198

$130.73


Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas

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