Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for May 1-3, 2009

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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for May 1 - 3, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 4.30.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	X-Men Origins: Wolverine	$92.3	N/A	4,099	$22,518	1
2	New	Ghosts of Girlfriends Past	$23.2	N/A	3,175	$7,307	1
3	1	Obsessed	$12.0	-58%	2,514	$4,773	2
4	5	Earth	$5.5	-38%	1,804	$3,049	2
5	2	17 Again	$5.5	-52%	3,255	$1,690	3
6	4	The Soloist	$5.4	-45%	2,024	$2,668	2
7	6	Monsters vs. Aliens	$4.8	-42%	2,626	$1,904	6
8	3	Fighting	$4.6	-58%	2,312	$1,990	1
9	7	State of Play	$3.6	-47%	2,445	$1,472	3
10	8	Hannah Montana The Movie	$3.0	-53%	2,819	$1,071	4
			Est. Weekend Total $159.90	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 49%		Est. Average PTA $4,836

COMPARISONS:
X-MEN ORIGINS: WOLVERINE (20^th Century Fox)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
X-Men: The Last Stand	5/26/06	3,690		$122.86	$27,846	$234.36
X2: X-Men United	5/2/03	3,741		$85.56	$22,871	$214.95
The X-Men	7/14/00	3,025		$54.47	$18,007	$157.30
Australia	11/26/08	2,642	$5.20	$14.80	$5,602	$49.55
The Prestige	10/20/06	2,281		$14.80	$6,489	$53.09
Van Helsing	5/7/04	3,575		$51.75	$14,480	$120.03
Blade: Trinity	12/10/04	2,912	$8.42	$16.06	$5,516	$52.40
Iron Man	5/2/08	4,105	$3.50	$98.62	$24,877	$316.04
The Incredible Hulk	6/13/08	3,505		$55.41	$15,810	$134.53
The Prestige	10/20/06	2,281		$14.80	$14.80	$6,489
Daredevil	2/14/03	3,471		$40.31	$11,613	$102.54
Spider-Man	5/3/02	3,615		$114.84	$31,769	$405.69
Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer	6/15/07	3,957		$58.05	$14,670	$131.92
Fantastic Four	7/8/05	3,602		$56.06	$15,564	$154.70

GHOSTS OF GIRLFRIENDS PAST (New Line/WB)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Fool's Gold	2/8/08	3,125	$21.59	$6,909	$70.23
Failure to Launch	3/10/06	3,057	$24.41	$7,985	$88.72
How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days	2/7/03	2,923	$23.77	$8,134	$105.81
The Wedding Planner	1/26/01	2,785	$13.51	$4,851	$60.40
Catch and Release	1/26/07		$7.66	$4,722	$15.43
Elektra	1/14/05	3,203	$14.79	$4,618	$24.41
13 Going on 30	4/23/04	3,438	$21.05	$6,124	$56.04
Mamma Mia!	7/18/08	2,976	$27.75	$9,325	$144.13
Made of Honor	5/2/08	2,729	$14.76	$5,407	$46.01
27 Dresses	1/18/08	3,057	$23.01	$7,526	$76.65
The Devil Wears Prada	6/30/06	2,847	$27.54	$9,672	$124.74
Alex and Emma	6/20/03	2,310	$6.11	$2,645	$14.21
Just Like Heaven	9/16/05	3,508	$16.41	$4,678	$43.62