Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for May 1-3, 2009

Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for May 1 - 3, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 4.30.09)

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	X-Men Origins: Wolverine	$92.3	N/A	4,099	$22,518	1
2	New	Ghosts of Girlfriends Past	$23.2	N/A	3,175	$7,307	1
3	1	Obsessed	$12.0	-58%	2,514	$4,773	2
4	5	Earth	$5.5	-38%	1,804	$3,049	2
5	2	17 Again	$5.5	-52%	3,255	$1,690	3
6	4	The Soloist	$5.4	-45%	2,024	$2,668	2
7	6	Monsters vs. Aliens	$4.8	-42%	2,626	$1,904	6
8	3	Fighting	$4.6	-58%	2,312	$1,990	1
9	7	State of Play	$3.6	-47%	2,445	$1,472	3
10	8	Hannah Montana The Movie	$3.0	-53%	2,819	$1,071	4
			Est. Weekend Total $159.90	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 49%		Est. Average PTA $4,836

COMPARISONS:
X-MEN ORIGINS: WOLVERINE (20^th Century Fox)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
X-Men: The Last Stand	5/26/06	3,690		$122.86	$27,846	$234.36
X2: X-Men United	5/2/03	3,741		$85.56	$22,871	$214.95
The X-Men	7/14/00	3,025		$54.47	$18,007	$157.30
Australia	11/26/08	2,642	$5.20	$14.80	$5,602	$49.55
The Prestige	10/20/06	2,281		$14.80	$6,489	$53.09
Van Helsing	5/7/04	3,575		$51.75	$14,480	$120.03
Blade: Trinity	12/10/04	2,912	$8.42	$16.06	$5,516	$52.40
Iron Man	5/2/08	4,105	$3.50	$98.62	$24,877	$316.04
The Incredible Hulk	6/13/08	3,505		$55.41	$15,810	$134.53
The Prestige	10/20/06	2,281		$14.80	$14.80	$6,489
Daredevil	2/14/03	3,471		$40.31	$11,613	$102.54
Spider-Man	5/3/02	3,615		$114.84	$31,769	$405.69
Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer	6/15/07	3,957		$58.05	$14,670	$131.92
Fantastic Four	7/8/05	3,602		$56.06	$15,564	$154.70

GHOSTS OF GIRLFRIENDS PAST (New Line/WB)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Fool's Gold	2/8/08	3,125	$21.59	$6,909	$70.23
Failure to Launch	3/10/06	3,057	$24.41	$7,985	$88.72
How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days	2/7/03	2,923	$23.77	$8,134	$105.81
The Wedding Planner	1/26/01	2,785	$13.51	$4,851	$60.40
Catch and Release	1/26/07		$7.66	$4,722	$15.43
Elektra	1/14/05	3,203	$14.79	$4,618	$24.41
13 Going on 30	4/23/04	3,438	$21.05	$6,124	$56.04
Mamma Mia!	7/18/08	2,976	$27.75	$9,325	$144.13
Made of Honor	5/2/08	2,729	$14.76	$5,407	$46.01
27 Dresses	1/18/08	3,057	$23.01	$7,526	$76.65
The Devil Wears Prada	6/30/06	2,847	$27.54	$9,672	$124.74
Alex and Emma	6/20/03	2,310	$6.11	$2,645	$14.21
Just Like Heaven	9/16/05	3,508	$16.41	$4,678	$43.62