Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for May 1 - 3, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 4.30.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

X-Men Origins: Wolverine

$92.3

N/A

4,099

$22,518

1

2

New

Ghosts of Girlfriends Past

$23.2

N/A

3,175

$7,307

1

3

1

Obsessed

$12.0

-58%

2,514

$4,773

2

4

5

Earth

$5.5

-38%

1,804

$3,049

2

5

2

17 Again

$5.5

-52%

3,255

$1,690

3

6

4

The Soloist

$5.4

-45%

2,024

$2,668

2

7

6

Monsters vs. Aliens

$4.8

-42%

2,626

$1,904

6

8

3

Fighting

$4.6

-58%

2,312

$1,990

1

9

7

State of Play

$3.6

-47%

2,445

$1,472

3

10

8

Hannah Montana The Movie

$3.0

-53%

2,819

$1,071

4

     

Est. Weekend Total
$159.90

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 49%

 

Est. Average PTA
$4,836

 


COMPARISONS:
X-MEN ORIGINS: WOLVERINE (20th Century Fox)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

X-Men: The Last Stand

5/26/06

3,690

$122.86

$27,846

$234.36

X2: X-Men United

5/2/03

3,741

$85.56

$22,871

$214.95

The X-Men

7/14/00

3,025

$54.47

$18,007

$157.30

Australia

11/26/08 2,642 $5.20 $14.80 $5,602 $49.55

The Prestige

10/20/06

2,281

$14.80

$6,489

$53.09

Van Helsing

5/7/04

3,575

$51.75

$14,480

$120.03

Blade: Trinity

12/10/04

2,912

$8.42

$16.06

$5,516

$52.40

Iron Man

5/2/08

4,105

$3.50

$98.62

$24,877

$316.04

The Incredible Hulk

6/13/08

3,505

$55.41

$15,810

$134.53

The Prestige

10/20/06

2,281

$14.80

$14.80

$6,489

Daredevil

2/14/03

3,471

$40.31

$11,613

$102.54

Spider-Man

5/3/02

3,615

$114.84

$31,769

$405.69

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer

6/15/07

3,957

$58.05

$14,670

$131.92

Fantastic Four

7/8/05

3,602

$56.06

$15,564

$154.70



GHOSTS OF GIRLFRIENDS PAST (New Line/WB)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Fool's Gold

2/8/08

3,125

$21.59

$6,909

$70.23

Failure to Launch

3/10/06

3,057

$24.41

$7,985

$88.72

How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days

2/7/03

2,923

$23.77

$8,134

$105.81

The Wedding Planner

1/26/01

2,785

$13.51

$4,851

$60.40

Catch and Release

1/26/07

$7.66

$4,722

$15.43

Elektra

1/14/05

3,203

$14.79

$4,618

$24.41

13 Going on 30

4/23/04

3,438

$21.05

$6,124

$56.04

Mamma Mia!

7/18/08

2,976

$27.75

$9,325

$144.13

Made of Honor

5/2/08

2,729

$14.76

$5,407

$46.01

27 Dresses

1/18/08

3,057

$23.01

$7,526

$76.65

The Devil Wears Prada

6/30/06

2,847

$27.54

$9,672

$124.74

Alex and Emma

6/20/03

2,310

$6.11

$2,645

$14.21

Just Like Heaven

9/16/05

3,508

$16.41

$4,678

$43.62


Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas

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