Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for March 27-29, 2009

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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for March 27 - 29, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 3.26.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	Monsters vs. Aliens	$54.6	N/A	4,104	$13,367	1
2	New	The Haunting in Connecticut	$13.1	N/A	2,732	$4,632	1
3	1	Knowing	$11.5	-54%	3,337	$3,451	2
4	2	I Love You, Man	$11.2	-36%	2,730	$4,103	2
5	3	Duplicity	$7.7	-45%	2,579	$2,984	2
6	4	Race to Witch Mountain	$6.4	-50%	3,268	$2,065	3
7	New	12 Rounds	$5.7	N/A	2,331	$2,478	1
8	5	Watchmen	$3.0	-53%	2,010	$1,049	4
9	6	Last House on the Left	$2.8	-52%	2,405	$1,164	3
10	7	Taken	$2.7	-35%	2,350	$1,149	9
			Est. Weekend Total $118.70	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 47%		Est. Average PTA $3,715

COMPARISONS:

MONSTERS VS. ALIENS (DreamWorks Animation/Paramount)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Kung Fu Panda	6/6/08	4,114		$60.24	$14,642	$215.44
Shrek	5/18/01	3,587	$0.04	$42.35	$11,805	$267.65
Madagascar	5/27/05	4,131		$47.22	$11,432	$193.14
Shark Tale	10/1/04	4,016		$47.60	$11,854	$160.76
Dr. Seuss' Horton Hears a Who	3/14/08	3,954		$45.01	$11,384	$154.53
Surf's Up	6/8/07	3,528		$17.64	$5,000.00	$58.87
Robots	3/11/05	3,776		$36.05	$9,546	$128.19
Ice Age: the Meltdown	3/31/06	3,964		$68.03	$17,163	$195.33
Ice Age	3/15/02	3,316		$46.30	$13,966	$176.39
Bolt	11/21/08	3,651		$26.22	$7,182	$114.05
The Incredibles	11/5/04	3,933		$70.47	$17,917	$261.44

THE HAUNTING IN CONNECTICUT (Lionsgate)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
The Unborn	1/9/09	2,357		$19.81	$8,405	$42.67
The Eye	2/1/08	2,436		$12.43	$5,101	$31.42
The Messengers	2/2/07	2,528		$14.70	$5,820	$35.37
An American Haunting	5/5/06	1,680		$5.78	$3,443	$16.30
The Amityville Horror	4/15/05	3,323		$23.51	$7,074	$64.26
White Noise	1/7/05	2,261		$24.11	$10,665	$55.87
The Others	8/10/01	1,678		$14.09	$8,397	$96.08
The Haunting	7/23/99	2,808		$33.44	$11,909	$91.19
The Number 23	2/23/07	2,759		$14.60	$5,293	$35.23
The Astronaut Farmer	2/23/07	2,155		$4.45	$2,067	$11.00
Firewall	2/10/06	2,840		$13.64	$4,801	$48.75
Sideways	10/22/04	497	$7.03	$2.91	$5,861	$71.50

12 ROUNDS (20^th Century Fox)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
The Condemned	4/27/07	2,310		$3.81	$1,648	$7.37
The Marine	10/13/06	2,545		$7.14	$2,805	$18.84
See No Evil	5/19/06	1,257		$4.58	$3,645	$15.03
Walking Tall	4/2/04	2,836		$15.50	$5,466	$45.86
The Covenant	9/8/06	2,681		$8.85	$3,302	$23.29
Mindhunters	5/13/05	1,040		$1.91	$1,838	$4.48
Exorcist: The Beginning	8/20/04	2,803		$18.05	$6,441	$41.81
Driven	4/27/01	2,905		$12.17	$4,190	$32.62
Deep Blue Sea	7/30/99	2,854	$6.06	$19.11	$6,696	$73.65
Cutthroat Island	12/22/95	1,619		$2.37	$1,464	$9.91