Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for March 27-29, 2009

Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for March 27 - 29, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 3.26.09)

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	Monsters vs. Aliens	$54.6	N/A	4,104	$13,367	1
2	New	The Haunting in Connecticut	$13.1	N/A	2,732	$4,632	1
3	1	Knowing	$11.5	-54%	3,337	$3,451	2
4	2	I Love You, Man	$11.2	-36%	2,730	$4,103	2
5	3	Duplicity	$7.7	-45%	2,579	$2,984	2
6	4	Race to Witch Mountain	$6.4	-50%	3,268	$2,065	3
7	New	12 Rounds	$5.7	N/A	2,331	$2,478	1
8	5	Watchmen	$3.0	-53%	2,010	$1,049	4
9	6	Last House on the Left	$2.8	-52%	2,405	$1,164	3
10	7	Taken	$2.7	-35%	2,350	$1,149	9
			Est. Weekend Total $118.70	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 47%		Est. Average PTA $3,715

COMPARISONS:

MONSTERS VS. ALIENS (DreamWorks Animation/Paramount)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Kung Fu Panda	6/6/08	4,114		$60.24	$14,642	$215.44
Shrek	5/18/01	3,587	$0.04	$42.35	$11,805	$267.65
Madagascar	5/27/05	4,131		$47.22	$11,432	$193.14
Shark Tale	10/1/04	4,016		$47.60	$11,854	$160.76
Dr. Seuss' Horton Hears a Who	3/14/08	3,954		$45.01	$11,384	$154.53
Surf's Up	6/8/07	3,528		$17.64	$5,000.00	$58.87
Robots	3/11/05	3,776		$36.05	$9,546	$128.19
Ice Age: the Meltdown	3/31/06	3,964		$68.03	$17,163	$195.33
Ice Age	3/15/02	3,316		$46.30	$13,966	$176.39
Bolt	11/21/08	3,651		$26.22	$7,182	$114.05
The Incredibles	11/5/04	3,933		$70.47	$17,917	$261.44

THE HAUNTING IN CONNECTICUT (Lionsgate)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
The Unborn	1/9/09	2,357		$19.81	$8,405	$42.67
The Eye	2/1/08	2,436		$12.43	$5,101	$31.42
The Messengers	2/2/07	2,528		$14.70	$5,820	$35.37
An American Haunting	5/5/06	1,680		$5.78	$3,443	$16.30
The Amityville Horror	4/15/05	3,323		$23.51	$7,074	$64.26
White Noise	1/7/05	2,261		$24.11	$10,665	$55.87
The Others	8/10/01	1,678		$14.09	$8,397	$96.08
The Haunting	7/23/99	2,808		$33.44	$11,909	$91.19
The Number 23	2/23/07	2,759		$14.60	$5,293	$35.23
The Astronaut Farmer	2/23/07	2,155		$4.45	$2,067	$11.00
Firewall	2/10/06	2,840		$13.64	$4,801	$48.75
Sideways	10/22/04	497	$7.03	$2.91	$5,861	$71.50

12 ROUNDS (20^th Century Fox)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
The Condemned	4/27/07	2,310		$3.81	$1,648	$7.37
The Marine	10/13/06	2,545		$7.14	$2,805	$18.84
See No Evil	5/19/06	1,257		$4.58	$3,645	$15.03
Walking Tall	4/2/04	2,836		$15.50	$5,466	$45.86
The Covenant	9/8/06	2,681		$8.85	$3,302	$23.29
Mindhunters	5/13/05	1,040		$1.91	$1,838	$4.48
Exorcist: The Beginning	8/20/04	2,803		$18.05	$6,441	$41.81
Driven	4/27/01	2,905		$12.17	$4,190	$32.62
Deep Blue Sea	7/30/99	2,854	$6.06	$19.11	$6,696	$73.65
Cutthroat Island	12/22/95	1,619		$2.37	$1,464	$9.91