Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for March 20 - 22, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 3.19.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

You can also follow the Weekend Warrior on TWITTER, if you dare!

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Knowing

$21.5

N/A

3,332

$6,453

1

2

New

I Love You, Man

$19.6

N/A

2,711

$7,230

1

3

New

Duplicity

$14.5

N/A

2,575

$5,631

1

4

1

Race to Witch Mountain

$13.5

-45%

3,187

$4,236

2

5

2

Watchmen

$8.5

-52%

3,510

$2,422

3

6

3

Last House on the Left

$6.5

-54%

2,403

$2,705

2

7

4

Taken

$5.3

-20%

2,661

$1,992

8

8

6

Slumdog Millionaire

$3.3

-34%

2,067

$1,597

12

9

5

Tyler Perry's Madea Goes to Jail

$3.0

-42%

1,835

$1,635

5

10

7

Paul Blart: Mall Cop

$2.0

-36%

17,62

$1,135

10

Est. Weekend Total
$97.70

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-40%

Est. Average PTA
$3,503



COMPARISONS:

KNOWING (Summit Entertainment)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Bangkok Dangerous

9/5/08

2,650

$7.78

$2,937

$15.28

National Treasure: The Book of Secrets

12/21/07

3,832

$44.78

$11,687

$219.44

Next

4/27/07

2,725

$7.13

$2,618

$18.21

Ghost Rider

2/16/07

3,619

$45.39

$12,542

$115.80

World Trade Center

8/11/06

2,957

$18.73

$6,334

$70.28

National Treasure

11/19/04

3,017

$35.14

$11,648

$173.05

Windtalkers

6/14/02

2,898

$14.52

$5,010

$40.91

I, Robot

7/16/04

3,420

$52.18

$15,257

$143.01

Dark City

2/27/98

1,754

$5.58

$3,181

$14.38

The Crow

5/13/94

1,573

$11.85

$7,533

$50.64

The Day the Earth Stood Still

12/12/08

3,560

$30.48

$8,562

$79.31

The X-Files: I Want to Believe

7/25/08

3,185

$10.02

$3,147

$20.98

The Happening

6/13/08

2,986

$30.52

$10,220

$64.51

I Am Legend

12/14/07

3,606

$77.21

$21,412

$256.39

The Forgotten

9/24/04

3,104

$21.02

$6,773

$66.64



I LOVE YOU, MAN (DreamWorks/Paramount)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Role Models

11/7/08

2,792

$19.17

$6,865

$67.30

Forgetting Sarah Marshall

4/18/08

2,798

$17.73

$6,335

$63.17

Over Her Dead Body

2/1/08

1,977.00

$4.03

$2,036

$7.57

Knocked Up

6/1/07

2,871

$30.69

$10,690

$146.28

The 40-Year-Old Virgin

8/19/05

2,845

$21.42

$7,530

$109.24

Along Came Polly

1/16/04

2,984

$27.21

$9,290

$87.86

Drillbit Taylor

3/21/08

3056

$10.31

$3,374

$32.86

The Heartbreak Kid

10/5/07

3,229

$14.02

$4,343

$36.79

Hot Rod

8/3/07

2,607

$5.31

$2,037

$13.98



DUPLICITY (Universal)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Michael Clayton

10/5/07

2,511

$1.08

$10.37

$4,131

$49.02

Closer

12/3/04

476

$7.71

$16,193

$33.99

Charlie Wilson's War

12/21/07

2,575

$9.66

$3,750

$66.64

Mona Lisa Smile

12/19/03

2,677

$11.53

$4,306

$62.96

I Love Trouble

7/1/94

1,711

$7.83

$4,576

$30.69

Conspiracy Theory

8/8/97

2,806

$19.31

$6,882

$76.12

The International

2/13/09

2,364

$9.33

$3,947

$23.74

Shoot 'Em Up

9/7/07

2,108

$5.72

$2,712

$12.80

Children of Men

12/25/06

1209

1.61

$10.20

$8,435

$35.33

Inside Man

3/24/06

2818

$28.95

$10,275

$88.63

Derailed

11/11/05

2,443

$12.21

$4,999

$36.02

Sin City

4/1/05

3,230

$29.12

$9,016

$74.10

Laws of Attraction

4/30/04

2,449

$6.73

$2,748

$17.85

Intolerable Cruelty

10/10/03

2,564

$12.53

$4,885

$35.10


Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas

Follow ComingSoon.net on Twitter
MOST ACTIVE

Joe Johnston Talks Jurassic Park 4
19 new posts | 101 total posts

Jurassic Park 4
4 new posts | 1700 total posts

The Mortal Instruments
3 new posts | 183 total posts

Prince of Persia: The Sands of Time Trailer Online!
2 new posts | 136 total posts

The Teaser Trailer for A Nightmare on Elm Street!
1 new posts | 184 total posts

Guardians of Ga'Hoole
1 new posts | 61 total posts

Transformers 3
1 new posts | 103 total posts

Fox Orders Sixth Season of American Dad
1 new posts | 8 total posts

Twisted Pictures Takes Sorrow Screen Rights
1 new posts | 2 total posts

The Jacksons: A Family Dynasty to Premiere Dec. 13
1 new posts | 14 total posts

Lionsgate Feasts on The Hunger Games
1 new posts | 158 total posts

First Look: Jessica Alba Machete Poster!
1 new posts | 61 total posts