Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for March 13 - 15, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 3.12.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Race to Witch Mountain

$28.8

N/A

3,187

$9,037

1

2

1

Watchmen

$22.8

-59%

3,611

$6,314

2

3

New

The Last House on the Left

$11.2

N/A

2,401

$4,665

1

4

3

Taken

$5.1

-30%

2,858

$1,784

7

5

New

Miss March

$4,7

N/A

1,742

$2,698

1

6

2

Tyler Perry's Madea Goes to Jail

$4.5

-47%

2,203

$2,043

4

7

4

Slumdog Millionaire

$4.2

-38%

2,578

$1,629

11

8

5

Paul Blart: Mall Cop

$2.8

-33%

2,281

$1,228

9

9

6

He's Just Not That Into You

$2.5

-40%

1,890

$1,323

6

10

8

Coraline

$2.2

-33%

1,768

$1,244

6

Est. Weekend Total
$89.40

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
-40%

Est. Average PTA
$3,196



COMPARISONS:

RACE TO WITCH MOUNTAIN (Disney)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

The Game Plan

9/28/07

3,103

$22.95

$7,396

$90.65

Gridiron Gang

9/15/06

3,504

$14.41

$4,114

$38.43

The Rundown

9/26/03

3,152

$18.53

$5,880

$47.59

Bridge to Terabithia

2/16/07

3,139

$22.56

$7,188

$82.23

Because of Winn-Dixie

2/18/05

3,188

$13.22

$4,146

$32.65

The Seeker: The Dark is Rising

10/5/07

3,141

$3.75

$1,192

$8.79

She's the Man

3/17/06

2,623

$10.73

$4,091

$33.90

Wild Hogs

3/2/07

3,287

$39.67

$12,078

$168.21

The Shaggy Dog

3/10/06

3,501

$16.31

$4,659

$61.11

The Pacifier

3/4/05

3,131

$30.55

$9,758

$113.01

The Day the Earth Stood Still

12/12/08

3,560

$30.48

$8,562

$79.31



THE LAST HOUSE ON THE LEFT (Rogue Pictures)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

The Hills Have Eyes 2

3/23/07

2,447

$9.69

$3,958

$20.53

The Hills Have Eyes

3/10/06

2,620

$15.71

$5,996

$41.78

The Hitcher

1/19/07

2,835

$7.82

$2,758

$16.38

House of Wax

5/6/05

3,111

$12.08

$3,882

$32.05

Texas Chainsaw Massacre: The Beginning

10/6/06

2,820

$18.51

$6,563

$39.52

The Texas Chainsaw Massacre

10/17/03

3,016

$28.09

$9,315

$80.15

Death Sentence

8/31/07

1,822

$4.23

$2,322

$9.53

The Strangers

5/30/08

2,467

$21.00

$8,512

$52.53



MISS MARCH (Fox Searchlight)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Fired Up!

2/20/09

1,810

$5.44

$3,030

$10.04

Sex Drive

10/17/08

2,421

$3.61

$1,490

$8.40

College

8/29/08

2,123

$2.15

$1,014

$4.69

Harold & Kumar: Escape from Guantanamo Bay

4/25/08

2,510

$14.91

$5,940

$38.11

Harold and Kumar Go to White Castle

7/30/04

2,135

$5.48

$2,567

$18.23

Eurotrip

2/20/04

2,512

$6.71

$2,672

$17.72

Road Trip

5/19/00

2,530

$15.48

$6,119

$68.53


Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas

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