Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for March 13-15, 2009

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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for March 13 - 15, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 3.12.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	Race to Witch Mountain	$28.8	N/A	3,187	$9,037	1
2	1	Watchmen	$22.8	-59%	3,611	$6,314	2
3	New	The Last House on the Left	$11.2	N/A	2,401	$4,665	1
4	3	Taken	$5.1	-30%	2,858	$1,784	7
5	New	Miss March	$4,7	N/A	1,742	$2,698	1
6	2	Tyler Perry's Madea Goes to Jail	$4.5	-47%	2,203	$2,043	4
7	4	Slumdog Millionaire	$4.2	-38%	2,578	$1,629	11
8	5	Paul Blart: Mall Cop	$2.8	-33%	2,281	$1,228	9
9	6	He's Just Not That Into You	$2.5	-40%	1,890	$1,323	6
10	8	Coraline	$2.2	-33%	1,768	$1,244	6
			Est. Weekend Total $89.40	Est. Avg. Drop-Off -40%		Est. Average PTA $3,196

COMPARISONS:

RACE TO WITCH MOUNTAIN (Disney)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
The Game Plan	9/28/07	3,103	$22.95	$7,396	$90.65
Gridiron Gang	9/15/06	3,504	$14.41	$4,114	$38.43
The Rundown	9/26/03	3,152	$18.53	$5,880	$47.59
Bridge to Terabithia	2/16/07	3,139	$22.56	$7,188	$82.23
Because of Winn-Dixie	2/18/05	3,188	$13.22	$4,146	$32.65
The Seeker: The Dark is Rising	10/5/07	3,141	$3.75	$1,192	$8.79
She's the Man	3/17/06	2,623	$10.73	$4,091	$33.90
Wild Hogs	3/2/07	3,287	$39.67	$12,078	$168.21
The Shaggy Dog	3/10/06	3,501	$16.31	$4,659	$61.11
The Pacifier	3/4/05	3,131	$30.55	$9,758	$113.01
The Day the Earth Stood Still	12/12/08	3,560	$30.48	$8,562	$79.31

THE LAST HOUSE ON THE LEFT (Rogue Pictures)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
The Hills Have Eyes 2	3/23/07	2,447	$9.69	$3,958	$20.53
The Hills Have Eyes	3/10/06	2,620	$15.71	$5,996	$41.78
The Hitcher	1/19/07	2,835	$7.82	$2,758	$16.38
House of Wax	5/6/05	3,111	$12.08	$3,882	$32.05
Texas Chainsaw Massacre: The Beginning	10/6/06	2,820	$18.51	$6,563	$39.52
The Texas Chainsaw Massacre	10/17/03	3,016	$28.09	$9,315	$80.15
Death Sentence	8/31/07	1,822	$4.23	$2,322	$9.53
The Strangers	5/30/08	2,467	$21.00	$8,512	$52.53

MISS MARCH (Fox Searchlight)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Fired Up!	2/20/09	1,810	$5.44	$3,030	$10.04
Sex Drive	10/17/08	2,421	$3.61	$1,490	$8.40
College	8/29/08	2,123	$2.15	$1,014	$4.69
Harold & Kumar: Escape from Guantanamo Bay	4/25/08	2,510	$14.91	$5,940	$38.11
Harold and Kumar Go to White Castle	7/30/04	2,135	$5.48	$2,567	$18.23
Eurotrip	2/20/04	2,512	$6.71	$2,672	$17.72
Road Trip	5/19/00	2,530	$15.48	$6,119	$68.53