Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for June 5 - 7, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 6.4.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

1

Up

$39.5

-42%

3,818

$10,346

2

2

New

The Hangover

$28.3

N/A

3,269

$8,657

1

3

New

Land of the Lost

$25.4

N/A

3,521

$7,214

1

4

2

Night at the Museum

$14.0

-44%

3,807

$3,677

3

5

3

Drag Me to Hell

$8.4

-47%

2,510

$3,347

2

6

4

Terminator Salvation

$8.0

-52%

3,304

$2,421

3

7

5

Star Trek

$7.5

-42%

3,202

$2,342

5

8

6

Angels and Demons

$6.2

-45%

2,925

$2,120

4

9

New

My Life in Ruins

$2.8

N/A

1,164

$2,405

1

10

7

Dance Flick

$2.2

-48%

1,707

$1,289

3

Est. Weekend Total
$142.30

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 46%

Est. Average PTA
$4,382



COMPARISONS:

LAND OF THE LOST (Universal)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Step Brothers

7/25/08

3,094

$30.94

$10,000

$100.47

Semi-Pro

2/29/08

3,121

$15.08

$4,830

$33.47

Blades of Glory

3/30/07

3,372

$33.01

$9,791

$118.25

Talladega Nights

8/4/06

3,803

$47.04

$12,370

$148.21

Bewitched

6/24/05

3,174

$20.13

$6,343

$62.25

Kicking & Screaming

5/13/05

3,455

$20.16

$5,835

$52.58

Anchorman

7/9/04

3,091

$28.42

$9,193

$84.14

Elf

11/7/03

3,337

$31.11

$9,324

$172.70

Get Smart

6/20/08

3,911

$38.68

$9,891

$130.32

The Dukes of Hazzard

8/5/05

3,785

$30.68

$8,104

$80.11

Starsky and Hutch

3/5/04

3,185

$28.10

$8,824

$88.20

Speed Racer

5/9/08

3,606

$18.56

$5,147

$43.93

Inspector Gagdet

7/23/99

2,814

$21.89

$7,779

$97.36

George of the Jungle

7/18/97

2,506

$6.34

$16.54

$6,600

$105.26

Evan Almighty

6/22/07

2,604

$31.19

$8,655

$100.29

Journey to the Center of the Earth

7/11/08

2,811

$21.02

$7,477

$101.70


THE HANGOVER (Warner Bros.)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

He's Just Not That Into You

2/6/09

3,175

$27.79

$8,751

$93.93

Yes Man

12/19/08

3,434

$18.28

$5,318

$97.69

Failure to Launch

3/10/06

3,057

$24.41

$7,985

$88.72

Wedding Crashers

7/15/05

2,925

$33.90

$11,590

$209.22

Old School

2/21/03

2,689

$17.45

$6,491

$75.16

Road Trip

5/19/00

2,530

$15.48

$6,119

$68.53

I Love You, Man

3/20/09

2,711

$17.18

$6,570

$71.14

Role Models

11/7/08

2,792

$19.17

$6,865

$67.30

Forgetting Sarah Marshall

4/18/08

2,798

$17.73

$6,335

$63.17

Superbad

8/17/07

2,948

$33.05

$11,212

$121.46

Ocean's 11

12/7/01

3,075

$38.11

$12,393

$183.13



MY LIFE IN RUINS (Fox Searchlight)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Connie and Carla

4/16/04

1,014

$3.25

$3,210

$8.05

My Big Fat Greek Wedding

8/2/02

657

$37.17

$3.00

$4,569

$241.43

Something New

2/3/06

1,265

$4.88

$3,857

$11.47

The Wedding Date

2/4/05

1,695

$11.13

$6,566

$31.59

Under the Tuscan Sun

9/26/03

1,226

$9.75

$7,953

$43.60

Down With Love

5/16/03

2,123

$0.06

$7.00

$3,298

$20.30

New York Minute

5/7/04

3,006

$5.96

$1,983

$14.02

Miss March

3/13/09

1,742

$2.41

$1,383

$4.54


Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas

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