Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for June 5-7, 2009

Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for June 5 - 7, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 6.4.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	1	Up	$39.5	-42%	3,818	$10,346	2
2	New	The Hangover	$28.3	N/A	3,269	$8,657	1
3	New	Land of the Lost	$25.4	N/A	3,521	$7,214	1
4	2	Night at the Museum	$14.0	-44%	3,807	$3,677	3
5	3	Drag Me to Hell	$8.4	-47%	2,510	$3,347	2
6	4	Terminator Salvation	$8.0	-52%	3,304	$2,421	3
7	5	Star Trek	$7.5	-42%	3,202	$2,342	5
8	6	Angels and Demons	$6.2	-45%	2,925	$2,120	4
9	New	My Life in Ruins	$2.8	N/A	1,164	$2,405	1
10	7	Dance Flick	$2.2	-48%	1,707	$1,289	3
			Est. Weekend Total $142.30	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 46%		Est. Average PTA $4,382

COMPARISONS:

LAND OF THE LOST (Universal)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Step Brothers	7/25/08	3,094		$30.94	$10,000	$100.47
Semi-Pro	2/29/08	3,121		$15.08	$4,830	$33.47
Blades of Glory	3/30/07	3,372		$33.01	$9,791	$118.25
Talladega Nights	8/4/06	3,803		$47.04	$12,370	$148.21
Bewitched	6/24/05	3,174		$20.13	$6,343	$62.25
Kicking & Screaming	5/13/05	3,455		$20.16	$5,835	$52.58
Anchorman	7/9/04	3,091		$28.42	$9,193	$84.14
Elf	11/7/03	3,337		$31.11	$9,324	$172.70
Get Smart	6/20/08	3,911		$38.68	$9,891	$130.32
The Dukes of Hazzard	8/5/05	3,785		$30.68	$8,104	$80.11
Starsky and Hutch	3/5/04	3,185		$28.10	$8,824	$88.20
Speed Racer	5/9/08	3,606		$18.56	$5,147	$43.93
Inspector Gagdet	7/23/99	2,814		$21.89	$7,779	$97.36
George of the Jungle	7/18/97	2,506	$6.34	$16.54	$6,600	$105.26
Evan Almighty	6/22/07	2,604		$31.19	$8,655	$100.29
Journey to the Center of the Earth	7/11/08	2,811		$21.02	$7,477	$101.70

THE HANGOVER (Warner Bros.)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
He's Just Not That Into You	2/6/09	3,175	$27.79	$8,751	$93.93
Yes Man	12/19/08	3,434	$18.28	$5,318	$97.69
Failure to Launch	3/10/06	3,057	$24.41	$7,985	$88.72
Wedding Crashers	7/15/05	2,925	$33.90	$11,590	$209.22
Old School	2/21/03	2,689	$17.45	$6,491	$75.16
Road Trip	5/19/00	2,530	$15.48	$6,119	$68.53
I Love You, Man	3/20/09	2,711	$17.18	$6,570	$71.14
Role Models	11/7/08	2,792	$19.17	$6,865	$67.30
Forgetting Sarah Marshall	4/18/08	2,798	$17.73	$6,335	$63.17
Superbad	8/17/07	2,948	$33.05	$11,212	$121.46
Ocean's 11	12/7/01	3,075	$38.11	$12,393	$183.13

MY LIFE IN RUINS (Fox Searchlight)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Connie and Carla	4/16/04	1,014		$3.25	$3,210	$8.05
My Big Fat Greek Wedding	8/2/02	657	$37.17	$3.00	$4,569	$241.43
Something New	2/3/06	1,265		$4.88	$3,857	$11.47
The Wedding Date	2/4/05	1,695		$11.13	$6,566	$31.59
Under the Tuscan Sun	9/26/03	1,226		$9.75	$7,953	$43.60
Down With Love	5/16/03	2,123	$0.06	$7.00	$3,298	$20.30
New York Minute	5/7/04	3,006		$5.96	$1,983	$14.02
Miss March	3/13/09	1,742		$2.41	$1,383	$4.54