Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for June 19-21, 2009

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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for June 19 - 21, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 6.18.09)

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	The Proposal	$26.5	N/A	3,056	$8,671	1
2	1	The Hangover	$23.0	-30%	3,545	$6,488	3
3	New	Year One	$22.5	N/A	3,022	$7,445	1
4	2	Up	$20.6	-33%	3,832	$5,376	4
5	3	Taking of Pelham 1 2 3	$12.5	-47%	3,077	$4,058	2
6	4	Night at the Museum	$6.0	-37%	2,962	$2,105	5
7	5	Land of the Lost	$4.3	-52%	2,942	$1,458	3
8	7	Star Trek	$3.6	-33%	2,307	$1,496	7
9	6	Imagine That	$3.0	-47%	3,011	$996	2
10	8	Terminator Salvation	$2.5	-48%	1,920	$1,302	5
			Est. Weekend Total $124.60	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 41%		Est. Average PTA $3,942

COMPARISONS:

THE PROPOSAL (Disney/Touchstone)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Premonition	3/16/07	2,831		$17.56	$6,202	$47.84
The Lake House	6/16/06	2,645		$13.62	$5,148	$52.33
Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous	3/25/05	3,233	$3.06	$14.04	$4,344	$48.47
Two Weeks Notice	12/20/02	2,755		$14.40	$5,227	$88.82
The Divine Secrets of the Ya-Ya Sisterhood	6/7/02	2,507		$16.17	$6,449	$69.59
Miss Congeniality	12/22/00	2,668		$10.05	$3,667	$106.81
28 Days	4/14/00	2,523		$10.31	$4,086	$37.04
Adventureland	4/3/09	1,862		$5.72	$3,073	$16.04
Definitely, Maybe	2/14/08	2,204	$3.12	$9.76	$4,430	$31.40
Just Friends	11/25/05	2,505	$4.05	$9.19	$3,669	$32.60
He's Just Not That Into You	2/6/09	3,175		$27.79	$8,751	$93.93
27 Dresses	1/18/08	3,057		$23.01	$7,526	$76.65
The Devil Wears Prada	6/30/06	2,847		$27.54	$9,672	$124.74
How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days	2/7/03	2,923		$23.77	$8,134	$105.81
Failure to Launch	3/10/06	3,057		$24.41	$7,985	$88.72

YEAR ONE (Touchstone)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Kung Fu Panda	6/6/08	4,114		$60.24	$14,642	$215.44
Be Kind, Rewind	2/22/08	808		$4.05	$5,013	$11.17
Tenacious D in the Pick of Destiny	11/24/06	1,919		$3.23	$1,686	$8.33
Nacho Libre	6/16/06	3,070		$28.31	$9,221	$80.20
Orange County	1/11/02	2,317		$15.05	$6,497	$41.03
Shallow Hal	11/9/01	2,771		$23.28	$8,401	$70.83
Nick and Norah's Infinite Playlist	10/3/08	2,421		$11.31	$4,672	$31.49
Juno	12/5/07	1,019	$15.38	$10.63	$10,436	$142.11
Superbad	8/17/07	2,948		$33.05	$11,212	$121.46
The Ice Harvest	11/25/05	1,550	$1.31	$3.74	$2,413	$8.82
Analyze That	12/6/02	2,635		$11.03	$4,186	$31.82
Analyze This	3/5/99	2,518		$18.38	$7,299	$106.69
Bedazzled	10/20/00	2,568		$13.11	$5,105	$37.84