Box Office Predictions for June 19 - 21, 2009
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
(final update 6.18.09)
Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.
You can also follow the Weekend Warrior on TWITTER, if you dare!
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
The Proposal |
$26.5 |
N/A |
3,056 |
$8,671 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
The Hangover |
$23.0 |
-30% |
3,545 |
$6,488 |
3 |
|
3 |
New |
Year One |
$22.5 |
N/A |
3,022 |
$7,445 |
1 |
|
4 |
2 |
Up |
$20.6 |
-33% |
3,832 |
$5,376 |
4 |
|
5 |
3 |
Taking of Pelham 1 2 3 |
$12.5 |
-47% |
3,077 |
$4,058 |
2 |
|
6 |
4 |
Night at the Museum |
$6.0 |
-37% |
2,962 |
$2,105 |
5 |
|
7 |
5 |
Land of the Lost |
$4.3 |
-52% |
2,942 |
$1,458 |
3 |
|
8 |
7 |
Star Trek |
$3.6 |
-33% |
2,307 |
$1,496 |
7 |
|
9 |
6 |
Imagine That |
$3.0 |
-47% |
3,011 |
$996 |
2 |
|
10 |
8 |
Terminator Salvation |
$2.5 |
-48% |
1,920 |
$1,302 |
5 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
COMPARISONS:
THE PROPOSAL (Disney/Touchstone)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Premonition |
3/16/07 |
2,831 |
$17.56 |
$6,202 |
$47.84 |
|
|
The Lake House |
6/16/06 |
2,645 |
$13.62 |
$5,148 |
$52.33 |
|
|
Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous |
3/25/05 |
3,233 |
$3.06 |
$14.04 |
$4,344 |
$48.47 |
|
Two Weeks Notice |
12/20/02 |
2,755 |
$14.40 |
$5,227 |
$88.82 |
|
|
The Divine Secrets of the Ya-Ya Sisterhood |
6/7/02 |
2,507 |
$16.17 |
$6,449 |
$69.59 |
|
|
Miss Congeniality |
12/22/00 |
2,668 |
$10.05 |
$3,667 |
$106.81 |
|
|
28 Days |
4/14/00 |
2,523 |
$10.31 |
$4,086 |
$37.04 |
|
|
Adventureland |
4/3/09 |
1,862 |
$5.72 |
$3,073 |
$16.04 |
|
|
Definitely, Maybe |
2/14/08 |
2,204 |
$3.12 |
$9.76 |
$4,430 |
$31.40 |
|
Just Friends |
11/25/05 |
2,505 |
$4.05 |
$9.19 |
$3,669 |
$32.60 |
|
He's Just Not That Into You |
2/6/09 |
3,175 |
$27.79 |
$8,751 |
$93.93 |
|
|
27 Dresses |
1/18/08 |
3,057 |
$23.01 |
$7,526 |
$76.65 |
|
|
The Devil Wears Prada |
6/30/06 |
2,847 |
$27.54 |
$9,672 |
$124.74 |
|
|
How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days |
2/7/03 |
2,923 |
$23.77 |
$8,134 |
$105.81 |
|
|
Failure to Launch |
3/10/06 |
3,057 |
$24.41 |
$7,985 |
$88.72 |
YEAR ONE (Touchstone)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Kung Fu Panda |
6/6/08 |
4,114 |
$60.24 |
$14,642 |
$215.44 |
|
|
Be Kind, Rewind |
2/22/08 |
808 |
$4.05 |
$5,013 |
$11.17 |
|
|
Tenacious D in the Pick of Destiny |
11/24/06 |
1,919 |
$3.23 |
$1,686 |
$8.33 |
|
|
Nacho Libre |
6/16/06 |
3,070 |
$28.31 |
$9,221 |
$80.20 |
|
|
Orange County |
1/11/02 |
2,317 |
$15.05 |
$6,497 |
$41.03 |
|
|
Shallow Hal |
11/9/01 |
2,771 |
$23.28 |
$8,401 |
$70.83 |
|
|
Nick and Norah's Infinite Playlist |
10/3/08 |
2,421 |
$11.31 |
$4,672 |
$31.49 |
|
|
Juno |
12/5/07 |
1,019 |
$15.38 |
$10.63 |
$10,436 |
$142.11 |
|
Superbad |
8/17/07 |
2,948 |
$33.05 |
$11,212 |
$121.46 |
|
|
The Ice Harvest |
11/25/05 |
1,550 |
$1.31 |
$3.74 |
$2,413 |
$8.82 |
|
Analyze That |
12/6/02 |
2,635 |
$11.03 |
$4,186 |
$31.82 |
|
|
Analyze This |
3/5/99 |
2,518 |
$18.38 |
$7,299 |
$106.69 |
|
|
Bedazzled |
10/20/00 |
2,568 |
$13.11 |
$5,105 |
$37.84 |
Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas
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