Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for June 12 - 14, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 6.11.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Taking of Pelham 1 2 3

$30.2

N/A

3,074

$9,824

1

2

2

Up

$29.4

-34%

3,886

$7,566

3

3

1

The Hangover

$28.5

-37%

3,355

$8,495

2

4

New

Imagine That

$12.5

N/A

3,008

$4,156

1

5

4

Night at the Museum

$9.0

-38%

3,365

$2,675

4

6

3

Land of the Lost

$8.7

-53%

3,524

$2,469

2

7

5

Star Trek

$5.6

-30%

2,638

$2,199

6

8

6

Terminator Salvation

$4.3

-48%

2,650

$1,623

4

9

8

Angels and Demons

$3.6

-46%

2,436

$1,478

5

10

7

Drag Me to Hell

$3.5

-50%

2,270

$1,542

3

Est. Weekend Total
$135.30

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 43%

Est. Average PTA
$4,195



COMPARISONS:

THE TAKING OF PELHAM 123 (Sony/MGM)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

American Gangster

11/2/07

3,054

$43.57

$14,265

$130.16

Déjà Vu

11/22/06

3,108

$8.07

$20.57

$6,620

$64.04

Inside Man

3/24/06

2818

$28.95

$10,275

$88.63

The Manchurian Candidate

7/30/04

2,867

$20.02

$6,982

$64.82

Man on Fire

4/23/04

2,979

$0.04

$22.75

$7,637

$77.86

John Q

2/15/02

2,466

$23.61

$9,575

$71.03

Training Day

10/5/01

2,712

$22.55

$7,315

$76.26

Crimson Tide

5/12/95

2,382

$18.61

$7,813

$91.37

Spy Game

11/23/01

2,770

$8.88

$21.69

$7,830

$62.34

Enemy of The State

11/20/98

2,393

$20.04

$8,374

$111.54

Swordfish

6/8/01

2,678

$18.14

$6,776

$69.72

Face/Off

6/27/97

2,621

$23.39

$8,924

$112.28

Broken Arrow

2/9/96

2,388

$15.58

$6,524

$70.65

Gone in 60 Seconds

6/9/00

3,006

$25.34

$8,430

$101.61



IMAGINE THAT (Paramount/Nickelodeon Films)


Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Meet Dave

7/11/08

3,011

$5.25

$1,744

$11.80

Norbit

2/9/07

3,136

$34.20

$10,904

$95.67

The Haunted Mansion

11/28/03

3,122

$9.77

$24.28

$7,776

$73.06

Daddy Day Care

5/9/03

3,370

$27.62

$8,197

$103.55

I Spy

11/1/02

3,182

$12.75

$4,008

$33.11

Showtime

3/15/02

2,917

$15.01

$5,142

$37.95

Dr. Dolittle 2

6/22/01

3,049

$25.04

$8,212

$112.89

The Nutty Professor 2: The Klumps

7/28/00

3,242

$42.52

$13,115

$123.29

Doctor Dolittle

6/26/98

2,777

$29.01

$10,447

$144.14

The Nutty Professor

6/28/96

2,115

$25.41

$12,014

$128.81

Bedtime Stories

12/25/08

3,681

$10.53

$27.45

$7,457

$110.01


Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas

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