Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for July 31-August 2, 2009

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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for July 31 - August 2, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 7.30)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	Funny People	$35.2	N/A	3,008	$11,702	1
2	1	G-Force	$20.2	-36%	3,697	$5,464	2
3	2	Harry Potter/Half-Blood Prince	$16.0	-46%	4,393	$3,642	3
4	3	The Ugly Truth	$15.2	-45%	2,882	$5,274	2
5	New	Aliens in the Attic	$11.3	N/A	3,105	$3,639	1
6	4	Orphan	$6.2	-53%	2,753	$2,252	2
7	5	Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs	$5.0	-43%	2,757	$1,814	5
8	7	The Hangover	$4.6	-29%	2,071	$2,221	9
9	6	Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen	$4.5	-45%	2,636	$1,714	6
10	8	The Proposal	$4.2	-35%	2,435	$1,725	7
11	New	The Collector	$2.5	N/A	1,500	$1,887	1
			Est. Weekend Total $124.90	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 41%		Est. Average PTA $3,758

COMPARISONS:

FUNNY PEOPLE (Universal)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Knocked Up	6/1/07	2,871		$30.69	$10,690	$146.28
The 40-Year-Old Virgin	8/19/05	2,845		$21.42	$7,530	$109.24
Bedtime Stories	12/25/08	3,681		$27.45	$7,457	$110.10
You Don't Mess with the Zohan	6/6/08	3,462		$38.53	$11,130	$100.02
I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry	7/20/07	3,495		$34.23	$9,795	$119.68
Reign Over Me	3/23/07	1,671		$7.46	4465	$19.66
Spanglish	12/17/04	2,438		$8.82	$3,617	$42.04
Punch-Drunk Love	11/1/02	1,252	$6.86	$4.00	$3,197	$17.79
Observe and Report	4/10/09	2,727		$11.02	$4,040	$23.99
Zack and Miri Make a Porno	10/31/08	2,735		$10.07	$3,680	$31.45
Pineapple Express	8/6/08	3,072	$18.07	$23.25	$7,567	$87.34
Superbad	8/17/07	2,948		$33.05	$11,212	$121.46

ALIENS IN THE ATTIC (20^th Century Fox)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Meet Dave	7/11/08	3,011		$5.25	$1,744	$11.80
Firehouse Dog	4/4/07	2,860		$3.84	$1,342	$13.93
The Country Bears	7/26/02	2,553		$5.31	$2,080	$16.99
Space Chimps	7/18/08	2,511		$7.18	$2,860	$30.11
Like Mike	7/5/02	2,410	$6.84	$12.18	$5,054	$51.41
Men In Black	7/4/97	3,020	$33.06	$51.07	$16,911	$250.15
Mars Attacks!	12/13/96	1,955		$9.38	$4,798	$37.77

THE COLLECTOR (Freestyle Releasing)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Feast	9/22/06	146	$0.05	$374	$0.05
Saw V	10/24/08	3,060	$30.05	$9,822	$56.75
Saw IV	10/26/07	3,183	$31.76	$9,977	$63.30
Saw III	10/27/06	3,167	$33.61	$10,613	$80.15
Saw 2	10/28/05	2,949	$31.73	$10,758	$87.03
Saw	10/29/04	2,315	$18.28	$7,895	$55.15
P2	11/9/07	2,131	$2.08	$978	$6.35
Captivity	7/13/07	1,061	$1.43	$1,347	$2.69