Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for July 31 - August 2, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 7.30)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Funny People

$35.2

N/A

3,008

$11,702

1

2

1

G-Force

$20.2

-36%

3,697

$5,464

2

3

2

Harry Potter/Half-Blood Prince

$16.0

-46%

4,393

$3,642

3

4

3

The Ugly Truth

$15.2

-45%

2,882

$5,274

2

5

New

Aliens in the Attic

$11.3

N/A

3,105

$3,639

1

6

4

Orphan

$6.2

-53%

2,753

$2,252

2

7

5

Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs

$5.0

-43%

2,757

$1,814

5

8

7

The Hangover

$4.6

-29%

2,071

$2,221

9

9

6

Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen

$4.5

-45%

2,636

$1,714

6

10

8

The Proposal

$4.2

-35%

2,435

$1,725

7

11

New

The Collector

$2.5

N/A

1,500

$1,887

1

 

 

Est. Weekend Total
$124.90

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 41%

Est. Average PTA
$3,758



COMPARISONS:

FUNNY PEOPLE (Universal)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Knocked Up

6/1/07

2,871

$30.69

$10,690

$146.28

The 40-Year-Old Virgin

8/19/05

2,845

$21.42

$7,530

$109.24

Bedtime Stories

12/25/08

3,681

$27.45

$7,457

$110.10

You Don't Mess with the Zohan

6/6/08

3,462

$38.53

$11,130

$100.02

I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry

7/20/07

3,495

$34.23

$9,795

$119.68

Reign Over Me

3/23/07

1,671

$7.46

4465

$19.66

Spanglish

12/17/04

2,438

$8.82

$3,617

$42.04

Punch-Drunk Love

11/1/02

1,252

$6.86

$4.00

$3,197

$17.79

Observe and Report

4/10/09

2,727

$11.02

$4,040

$23.99

Zack and Miri Make a Porno

10/31/08

2,735

$10.07

$3,680

$31.45

Pineapple Express

8/6/08

3,072

$18.07

$23.25

$7,567

$87.34

Superbad

8/17/07

2,948

$33.05

$11,212

$121.46



ALIENS IN THE ATTIC (20th Century Fox)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Meet Dave

7/11/08

3,011

$5.25

$1,744

$11.80

Firehouse Dog

4/4/07

2,860

$3.84

$1,342

$13.93

The Country Bears

7/26/02

2,553

$5.31

$2,080

$16.99

Space Chimps

7/18/08

2,511

$7.18

$2,860

$30.11

Like Mike

7/5/02

2,410

$6.84

$12.18

$5,054

$51.41

Men In Black

7/4/97

3,020

$33.06

$51.07

$16,911

$250.15

Mars Attacks!

12/13/96

1,955

$9.38

$4,798

$37.77



THE COLLECTOR (Freestyle Releasing)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Feast

9/22/06

146

$0.05

$374

$0.05

Saw V

10/24/08

3,060

$30.05

$9,822

$56.75

Saw IV

10/26/07

3,183

$31.76

$9,977

$63.30

Saw III

10/27/06

3,167

$33.61

$10,613

$80.15

Saw 2

10/28/05

2,949

$31.73

$10,758

$87.03

Saw

10/29/04

2,315

$18.28

$7,895

$55.15

P2

11/9/07

2,131

$2.08

$978

$6.35

Captivity

7/13/07

1,061

$1.43

$1,347

$2.69


Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas

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