Box Office Predictions for July 3 - 5, 2009
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
(final update 7.2.09)
Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.
You can also follow the Weekend Warrior on TWITTER,
if you dare!
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs |
$48.5 |
N/A |
4,099 |
$11,832 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen |
$45.8 |
-58% |
4,250 |
$10,776 |
2 |
|
3 |
New |
Public Enemies |
$28.6 |
N/A |
3,334 |
$8,578 |
1 |
|
4 |
3 |
The Hangover |
$11.5 |
-30% |
3,070 |
$3,746 |
5 |
|
5 |
2 |
The Proposal |
$10.8 |
-41% |
3,099 |
$3,485 |
3 |
|
6 |
5 |
My Sister's Keeper |
$7.5 |
-42% |
2,606 |
$2,878 |
2 |
|
7 |
4 |
Up |
$6.9 |
-47% |
2,656 |
$2,598 |
6 |
|
8 |
7 |
Taking of Pelham 123 |
$2.6 |
-52% |
1,908 |
$1,363 |
4 |
|
9 |
6 |
Year One |
$2.5 |
-58% |
2,240 |
$1,116 |
3 |
|
10 |
9 |
Star Trek |
$2.1 |
-45% |
1,148 |
$1,829 |
9 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
ICE AGE: DAWN OF THE DINOSAURS (20th Century
Fox)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Ice Age: the Meltdown |
3/31/06 |
3,964 |
$68.03 |
$17,163 |
$195.33 |
|
|
Ice Age |
3/15/02 |
3,316 |
$46.30 |
$13,966 |
$176.39 |
|
|
Madagascar: Escape 2 Africa |
11/7/08 |
4056 |
$63.10 |
$15,559 |
$180.01 |
|
|
Madagascar |
5/27/05 |
4,131 |
$47.22 |
$14,769 |
$193.14 |
|
|
Shrek the Third |
5/18/07 |
4,122 |
$0.91 |
$121.63 |
$29,507 |
$320.71 |
|
Shrek 2 |
5/21/04 |
4,163 |
$20.95 |
$108.04 |
$25,952 |
$436.47 |
|
Shrek |
5/18/01 |
3,587 |
$0.04 |
$42.35 |
$11,805 |
$267.65 |
|
Dr. Seuss' Horton Hears a Who |
3/14/08 |
3,954 |
$45.01 |
$11,384 |
$154.53 |
|
|
Robots |
3/11/05 |
3,776 |
$36.05 |
$9,546 |
$128.19 |
|
|
Cats and Dogs |
7/6/01 |
3,040 |
$14.05 |
$21.71 |
$7,140 |
$93.38 |
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Terminator Salvation |
5/21/09 |
3,530 |
$13.37 |
$42.56 |
$12,056 |
$121.15 |
|
The Dark Knight |
7/18/08 |
4,366 |
$158.41 |
$36,283 |
$533.35 |
|
|
Batman Begins |
6/17/05 |
3,858 |
$24.15 |
$48.75 |
$12,635 |
$205.09 |
|
3:10 to Yuma |
9/7/07 |
2,652 |
$14.04 |
$5,292 |
$53.61 |
|
|
The Prestige |
10/20/06 |
2,281 |
$14.80 |
$6,489 |
$53.09 |
|
|
Sweeney Todd: The Demon Barber of Fleet Street |
12/21/07 |
1,249 |
$9.30 |
$7,447 |
$52.90 |
|
|
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End |
5/25/07 |
4,362 |
$13.24 |
$114.73 |
$26,303 |
$309.40 |
|
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest |
7/7/06 |
4,133 |
$135.62 |
$32,817 |
$423.27 |
|
|
Pirates of the Caribbean: Curse of the Black Pearl |
7/11/03 |
3,269 |
$24.00 |
$46.63 |
$14,264 |
$305.41 |
|
Charlie and the Chocolate Factory |
7/15/05 |
3,770 |
$56.18 |
$14,901 |
$206.46 |
|
|
Miami Vice |
7/28/06 |
3,021 |
$25.72 |
$8,515 |
$63.48 |
|
|
Collateral |
8/6/04 |
3,188 |
$24.70 |
$7,748 |
$101.00 |
|
|
Ali |
12/28/01 |
2,446 |
$20.03 |
$14.71 |
$6,014 |
$58.18 |
|
Heat |
12/15/95 |
1,325 |
$8.45 |
$6,377 |
$67.40 |
|
|
American Gangster |
11/2/07 |
3,054 |
$43.57 |
$14,265 |
$130.16 |
|
|
The Departed |
10/6/06 |
3,017 |
$26.89 |
$8,912 |
$133.31 |
|
|
Cinderella Man |
6/3/05 |
2,812 |
$18.32 |
$6,515 |
$61.65 |
|
|
Seabiscuit |
7/25/03 |
1,987 |
$20.85 |
$10,495 |
$120.20 |
|
|
Road to Perdition |
7/12/02 |
1,797 |
$22.08 |
$12,267 |
$104.05 |
Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas
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