Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for July 24 - 26, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

1

Harry Potter/Half-Blood Prince

$36.6

-53%

4,330

$8,453

2

2

New

G-Force

$26.5

N/A

3,250

$8,154

1

3

New

The Ugly Truth

$22.2

N/A

2,800

$7,929

1

4

New

Orphan

$12.7

N/A

2,680

$4,739

1

5

2

Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs

$11.1

-37%

4,104

$2,705

4

6

4

Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen

$7.6

-45%

3,550

$2,141

5

7

6

The Hangover

$5.5

-34%

2,350

$2,340

8

8

5

The Proposal

$5.2

-37%

2,750

$1,891

6

9

7

Public Enemies

$4.2

-47%

2,600

$1,538

4

10

4

Bruno

$3.7

-55%

2,758

$1,342

3

Est. Weekend Total
$135.10

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 44%

Est. Average PTA
$4,123



COMPARISONS:

G-FORCE (Disney)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Beverly Hills Chihuahua

10/3/08

3,215

$29.30

$9,114

$94.49

Kangaroo Jack

1/17/03

2,818

$21.90

$7,770

$66.72

The Country Bears

7/26/02

2,553

$5.31

$2,080

$16.99

Snow Dogs

1/18/02

2,302

$23.71

$10,299

$81.15

The Shaggy Dog

3/10/06

3,501

$16.31

$4,659

$61.11

National Treasure

11/19/04

3,017

$35.14

$11,648

$173.05

Journey to the Center of the Earth

7/11/08

2,811

$21.02

$7,477

$101.70

Spy Kids 3-D: Game Over

7/25/03

3,344

$33.42

$9,993

$111.76



THE UGLY TRUTH (Sony)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

27 Dresses

1/18/08

3,057

$23.01

$7,526

$76.65

Knocked Up

6/1/07

2,871

$30.69

$10,690

$146.28

P.S. I Love You

12/21/07

2,454

$6.48

$2,641

$53.68

Andrew Lloyd Webber's The Phantom of the Opera

12/24/04

622

$2.32

$4.00

$6,434

$49.44

He's Just Not That Into You

2/6/09

3,175

$27.79

$8,751

$93.93

How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days

2/7/03

2,923

$23.77

$8,134

$105.81

Monster-In-Law

5/13/05

3,424

$23.11

$6,748

$82.82

Win a Date with Tad Hamilton!

1/23/04

2,711

$7.32

$2,700

$16.96

Legally Blonde

7/13/01

2,620

$20.38

$7,778

$95.66

Made of Honor

5/2/08

2,729

$14.76

$5,407

$46.01

The Devil Wears Prada

6/30/06

2,847

$27.54

$9,672

$124.74

When Harry Met Sally

7/21/89

775

$3.28

$8.85

$11,419

$92.25



ORPHAN (Warner Bros.)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Flightplan

9/23/05

3,424

$24.63

$7,193

$89.70

The Skeleton Key

8/12/05

2,771

$16.06

$5,795

$47.47

Joshua

7/6/06

6

$0.05

$8,539

$0.48

The Departed

10/6/06

3,017

$26.89

$8,912

$133.31

The Reaping

4/6/07

2,603

$10.03

$3,851

$25.13

House of Wax

5/6/05

3,111

$12.08

$3,882

$32.05

Gothika

11/21/03

2,382

$19.29

$8,097

$58.95

The Unborn

1/9/09

2,357

$19.81

$8,405

$42.67

The Omen

6/6/06

2,723

$13.30

$16.03

$5,886

$54.60

Hide and Seek

1/28/05

3,005

$21.96

$7,308

$51.10

Godsend

4/30/04

2,323

$6.80

$2,928

$14.33

Bless the Child

8/11/00

2,754

$9.41

$3,417

$29.33


Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas

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