Box Office Predictions for July 24 - 26, 2009
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.
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|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
1 |
Harry Potter/Half-Blood Prince |
$36.6 |
-53% |
4,330 |
$8,453 |
2 |
|
2 |
New |
G-Force |
$26.5 |
N/A |
3,250 |
$8,154 |
1 |
|
3 |
New |
The Ugly Truth |
$22.2 |
N/A |
2,800 |
$7,929 |
1 |
|
4 |
New |
Orphan |
$12.7 |
N/A |
2,680 |
$4,739 |
1 |
|
5 |
2 |
Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs |
$11.1 |
-37% |
4,104 |
$2,705 |
4 |
|
6 |
4 |
Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen |
$7.6 |
-45% |
3,550 |
$2,141 |
5 |
|
7 |
6 |
The Hangover |
$5.5 |
-34% |
2,350 |
$2,340 |
8 |
|
8 |
5 |
The Proposal |
$5.2 |
-37% |
2,750 |
$1,891 |
6 |
|
9 |
7 |
Public Enemies |
$4.2 |
-47% |
2,600 |
$1,538 |
4 |
|
10 |
4 |
Bruno |
$3.7 |
-55% |
2,758 |
$1,342 |
3 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
COMPARISONS:
G-FORCE (Disney)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Beverly Hills Chihuahua |
10/3/08 |
3,215 |
$29.30 |
$9,114 |
$94.49 |
|
Kangaroo Jack |
1/17/03 |
2,818 |
$21.90 |
$7,770 |
$66.72 |
|
The Country Bears |
7/26/02 |
2,553 |
$5.31 |
$2,080 |
$16.99 |
|
Snow Dogs |
1/18/02 |
2,302 |
$23.71 |
$10,299 |
$81.15 |
|
The Shaggy Dog |
3/10/06 |
3,501 |
$16.31 |
$4,659 |
$61.11 |
|
National Treasure |
11/19/04 |
3,017 |
$35.14 |
$11,648 |
$173.05 |
|
Journey to the Center of the Earth |
7/11/08 |
2,811 |
$21.02 |
$7,477 |
$101.70 |
|
Spy Kids 3-D: Game Over |
7/25/03 |
3,344 |
$33.42 |
$9,993 |
$111.76 |
THE UGLY TRUTH (Sony)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
27 Dresses |
1/18/08 |
3,057 |
$23.01 |
$7,526 |
$76.65 |
|
|
Knocked Up |
6/1/07 |
2,871 |
$30.69 |
$10,690 |
$146.28 |
|
|
P.S. I Love You |
12/21/07 |
2,454 |
$6.48 |
$2,641 |
$53.68 |
|
|
Andrew Lloyd Webber's The Phantom of the Opera |
12/24/04 |
622 |
$2.32 |
$4.00 |
$6,434 |
$49.44 |
|
He's Just Not That Into You |
2/6/09 |
3,175 |
$27.79 |
$8,751 |
$93.93 |
|
|
How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days |
2/7/03 |
2,923 |
$23.77 |
$8,134 |
$105.81 |
|
|
Monster-In-Law |
5/13/05 |
3,424 |
$23.11 |
$6,748 |
$82.82 |
|
|
Win a Date with Tad Hamilton! |
1/23/04 |
2,711 |
$7.32 |
$2,700 |
$16.96 |
|
|
Legally Blonde |
7/13/01 |
2,620 |
$20.38 |
$7,778 |
$95.66 |
|
|
Made of Honor |
5/2/08 |
2,729 |
$14.76 |
$5,407 |
$46.01 |
|
|
The Devil Wears Prada |
6/30/06 |
2,847 |
$27.54 |
$9,672 |
$124.74 |
|
|
When Harry Met Sally |
7/21/89 |
775 |
$3.28 |
$8.85 |
$11,419 |
$92.25 |
ORPHAN (Warner Bros.)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Flightplan |
9/23/05 |
3,424 |
$24.63 |
$7,193 |
$89.70 |
|
|
The Skeleton Key |
8/12/05 |
2,771 |
$16.06 |
$5,795 |
$47.47 |
|
|
Joshua |
7/6/06 |
6 |
$0.05 |
$8,539 |
$0.48 |
|
|
The Departed |
10/6/06 |
3,017 |
$26.89 |
$8,912 |
$133.31 |
|
|
The Reaping |
4/6/07 |
2,603 |
$10.03 |
$3,851 |
$25.13 |
|
|
House of Wax |
5/6/05 |
3,111 |
$12.08 |
$3,882 |
$32.05 |
|
|
Gothika |
11/21/03 |
2,382 |
$19.29 |
$8,097 |
$58.95 |
|
|
The Unborn |
1/9/09 |
2,357 |
$19.81 |
$8,405 |
$42.67 |
|
|
The Omen |
6/6/06 |
2,723 |
$13.30 |
$16.03 |
$5,886 |
$54.60 |
|
Hide and Seek |
1/28/05 |
3,005 |
$21.96 |
$7,308 |
$51.10 |
|
|
Godsend |
4/30/04 |
2,323 |
$6.80 |
$2,928 |
$14.33 |
|
|
Bless the Child |
8/11/00 |
2,754 |
$9.41 |
$3,417 |
$29.33 |
Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas
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