Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for July 24-26, 2009

Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for July 24 - 26, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	1	Harry Potter/Half-Blood Prince	$36.6	-53%	4,330	$8,453	2
2	New	G-Force	$26.5	N/A	3,250	$8,154	1
3	New	The Ugly Truth	$22.2	N/A	2,800	$7,929	1
4	New	Orphan	$12.7	N/A	2,680	$4,739	1
5	2	Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs	$11.1	-37%	4,104	$2,705	4
6	4	Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen	$7.6	-45%	3,550	$2,141	5
7	6	The Hangover	$5.5	-34%	2,350	$2,340	8
8	5	The Proposal	$5.2	-37%	2,750	$1,891	6
9	7	Public Enemies	$4.2	-47%	2,600	$1,538	4
10	4	Bruno	$3.7	-55%	2,758	$1,342	3
			Est. Weekend Total $135.10	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 44%		Est. Average PTA $4,123

COMPARISONS:

G-FORCE (Disney)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Beverly Hills Chihuahua	10/3/08	3,215	$29.30	$9,114	$94.49
Kangaroo Jack	1/17/03	2,818	$21.90	$7,770	$66.72
The Country Bears	7/26/02	2,553	$5.31	$2,080	$16.99
Snow Dogs	1/18/02	2,302	$23.71	$10,299	$81.15
The Shaggy Dog	3/10/06	3,501	$16.31	$4,659	$61.11
National Treasure	11/19/04	3,017	$35.14	$11,648	$173.05
Journey to the Center of the Earth	7/11/08	2,811	$21.02	$7,477	$101.70
Spy Kids 3-D: Game Over	7/25/03	3,344	$33.42	$9,993	$111.76

THE UGLY TRUTH (Sony)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
27 Dresses	1/18/08	3,057		$23.01	$7,526	$76.65
Knocked Up	6/1/07	2,871		$30.69	$10,690	$146.28
P.S. I Love You	12/21/07	2,454		$6.48	$2,641	$53.68
Andrew Lloyd Webber's The Phantom of the Opera	12/24/04	622	$2.32	$4.00	$6,434	$49.44
He's Just Not That Into You	2/6/09	3,175		$27.79	$8,751	$93.93
How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days	2/7/03	2,923		$23.77	$8,134	$105.81
Monster-In-Law	5/13/05	3,424		$23.11	$6,748	$82.82
Win a Date with Tad Hamilton!	1/23/04	2,711		$7.32	$2,700	$16.96
Legally Blonde	7/13/01	2,620		$20.38	$7,778	$95.66
Made of Honor	5/2/08	2,729		$14.76	$5,407	$46.01
The Devil Wears Prada	6/30/06	2,847		$27.54	$9,672	$124.74
When Harry Met Sally	7/21/89	775	$3.28	$8.85	$11,419	$92.25

ORPHAN (Warner Bros.)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Flightplan	9/23/05	3,424		$24.63	$7,193	$89.70
The Skeleton Key	8/12/05	2,771		$16.06	$5,795	$47.47
Joshua	7/6/06	6		$0.05	$8,539	$0.48
The Departed	10/6/06	3,017		$26.89	$8,912	$133.31
The Reaping	4/6/07	2,603		$10.03	$3,851	$25.13
House of Wax	5/6/05	3,111		$12.08	$3,882	$32.05
Gothika	11/21/03	2,382		$19.29	$8,097	$58.95
The Unborn	1/9/09	2,357		$19.81	$8,405	$42.67
The Omen	6/6/06	2,723	$13.30	$16.03	$5,886	$54.60
Hide and Seek	1/28/05	3,005		$21.96	$7,308	$51.10
Godsend	4/30/04	2,323		$6.80	$2,928	$14.33
Bless the Child	8/11/00	2,754		$9.41	$3,417	$29.33