Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for January 9-11, 2009

Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for Jan. 9 - 11, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 1.8.09)

(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.)

TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	Bride Wars	$23.5	N/A	3,226	$7,285	1
2	14	Gran Torino	$14.6	592%	2,808	$5,199	5
3	1	Marley & Me	$13.1	-45%	3,478	$3,882	3
4	2	Bedtime Stories	$12.4	-40%	3,511	$3,532	3
5	New	The Unborn	$11.6	N/A	2,356	$4,924	1
6	3	The Curious Case of Benjamin Button	$10.3	-44%	2,947	$3,495	3
7	5	Yes Man	$7.9	-44%	2,955	$2,673	4
8	4	Valkyrie	$7.8	-45%	2,838	$2,748	3
9	6	7 Pounds	$5.6	-44%	2,456	$2,280	4
10	9	Doubt	$3.9	-22%	1,287	$3,030	4
			Est. Weekend Total $110.70	Est. Avg. Drop-Off +38%		Est. Average PTA $3,893

COMPARISONS:

BRIDE WARS (20^th Century Fox)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Get Smart	6/20/08	3,911	$38.68	$9,891	$130.32
The Devil Wears Prada	6/30/06	2,847	$27.54	$9,672	$124.74
You, Me and Dupree	7/14/06	3,131	$21.53	$6,875	$75.80
My Best Friend's Girl	9/19/09	2,604	$8.27	$3,174	$19.15
Fool's Gold	2/8/08	3,125	$21.59	$6,909	$70.23
Raising Helen	5/28/04	2,717	$10.98	$4,043	$37.49
How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days	2/7/03	2,923	$23.77	$8,134	$105.81
13 Going on 30	4/23/04	3,438	$21.05	$6,124	$56.04
27 Dresses	1/18/08	3,057	$23.01	$7,526	$76.65
The Wedding Date	2/4/05	1,695	$11.13	$6,566	$31.59
Just Married	1/10/03	2,766	$17.55	$6,345	$56.13
The Wedding Planner	1/26/01	2,785	$13.51	$4,851	$60.40
My Best Friend's Wedding	6/20/97	2,134	$21.68	$10,159	$126.81

GRAN TORINO (Warner Bros.)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Changeling	10/24/08	1,850	$0.68	$9.35	$5,055	$35.58
Million Dollar Baby	12/17/04	2,010	$9.31	$12.27	$6,102	$100.42
Flags of our Fathers	10/20/06	1,876		$10.25	$5,461	$33.60
Mystic River	10/17/03	1,467	$3.09	$10.45	$7,121	$90.14
Blood Work	8/9/02	2,525		$7.31	$2,896	$26.20
True Crime	3/19/99	1,852		$5.28	$5.62	$2,851
Absolute Power	2/14/97	2,568		$16.77	$6,530	$50.07
Unforgiven	8/7/92	2,071		$15.02	$7,253	$101.16
The Bucket List	12/28/07	2,911	$1.42	$19.39	$6,662	$93.47
The Brave One	9/14/07	2,755		$13.47	$4,890	$36.79
The Visitor	4/11/08	4		$0.09	$21,622	$9.43

THE UNBORN (Rogue Pictures)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
The Invisible	4/27/07	2,019		$7.72	$3,822	$20.57
Blade: Trinity	12/10/04	2,912	$8.42	$16.06	$5,516	$52.40
One Missed Call	1/4/08	2,240		$12.51	$5,585	$26.88
Hostel	1/6/06	2,195		$19.56	$8,909	$47.33
White Noise	1/7/05	2,261		$24.11	$10,665	$55.87
The Exorcism of Emily Rose	9/9/05	2,981		$30.05	$10,082	$72.13
The Omen	6/6/06	2,723	$13.30	$16.03	$5,886	$54.60
Hide and Seek	1/28/05	3,005		$21.96	$7,308	$51.10
Bless the Child	8/11/00	2,754		$9.41	$3,417	$29.33
The Hitcher	1/19/07	2,835		$7.82	$2,758	$16.36

NOT EASILY BROKEN (Sony-Screen Gems)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Woman Thou Art Loosed	10/1/04	408		$2.33	$5,700	$6.88
The Perfect Holiday	12/14/07	1,307		$2.28	$1,747	$5.81
Two Can Play That Game	9/7/01	1,297		$7.72	$5,953	$22.24
The Brothers	3/23/01	1,378		$10.30	$7,477	$27.46
Hustle & Flow	7/22/05	1,013		$8.02	$7,915	$22.18
Deep Cover	4/17/92	901		$4.34	$4,817	$16.64
Hoodlum	8/29/97	2,020	$2.07	$6.33	$3,134	$23.47
First Sunday	1/11/08	2,213		$17.71	$8,005	$37.93