Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for January 30-February 1, 2009

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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for Jan. 30 - Feb. 1, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 1.29)

(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.)

TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	Taken	$17.3	N/A	3,183	$5,433	1
2	1	Paul Blart: Mall Cop	$14.0	-39%	3,206	$4,367	3
3	New	The Uninvited	$10.7	N/A	2,344	$4,565	1
4	3	Gran Torino	$10.2	-38%	3,015	$3,383	8
5	5	Slumdog Millionaire	$10.0	-15%	1,633	$6,124	5
6	2	Underworld: Rise of the Lycans	$9.5	-54%	2,942	$3,229	2
7	New	New in Town	$8.2	N/A	1,941	$4,225	1
8	4	Hotel for Dogs	$7.8	-37%	3,160	$2,468	3
9	6	My Bloody Valentine 3D	$4.5	-50%	1,406	$3,201	3
10	7	Inkheart	$4.4	-42%	2,655	$1,657	2
			Est. Weekend Total $96.60	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 45%		Est. Average PTA $3,865

COMPARISONS:

TAKEN (20^th Century Fox)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Batman Begins	6/17/05	3,858	$24.15	$48.75	$12,635	$205.09
Kingdom of Heaven	5/6/05	3,216		$19.64	$6,106	$47.39
Gangs of New York	12/20/02	1,504		$9.12	$6,051	$77.81
K-19: The Widowmaker	7/19/02	2,828		$12.78	$4,518	$35.17
The Transporter 2	9/2/05	3,303		$20.10	$6,087	$43.10
The Transporter	10/11/02	2,573		$9.11	$3,540	$25.30
The Professional	11/18/94	1,158		$5.31	$1,658	$19.25
The Brave One	9/14/07	2,755		$13.47	$4,890	$36.79
Death Sentence	8/31/07	1,822		$4.23	$2,322	$9.53
Firewall	2/10/06	2,840		$13.64	$4,801	$48.75
Trapped	9/20/02	2,227		$3.21	$1,442	$6.92

THE UNINVITED (Paramount)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
The Eye	2/1/08	2,436		$12.43	$5,101	$31.42
The Messengers	2/2/07	2,528		$14.70	$5,820	$35.37
When A Stranger Calls	2/3/06	2,999		$21.61	$7,205	$47.86
Boogeyman	2/4/05	3,052		$19.02	$6,232	$46.36
Darkness Falls	1/24/03	2,837		$12.02	$4,239	$32.54
The Ruins	4/4/08	2,812		$8.00	$2,846	$17.43
One Missed Call	1/4/08	2,240		$12.51	$5,585	$26.86
Pulse	8/11/06	2,323		$8.20	$3,532	$20.26
Dark Water	7/8/05	2,657		$9.94	$3,741	$25.46
Hide and Seek	1/28/05	3,005		$21.96	$7,308	$51.10

NEW IN TOWN (Lionsgate)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Appaloosa	9/19/08	1,045	0.55	$5.05	$4,833	$20.21
Leatherheads	4/4/08	2,769		$12.68	$4,580	$31.23
Miss Potter	12/29/06	2		$0.01	$4,827	$3.00
Cinderella Man	6/3/05	2,812		$18.32	$6,515	$61.65
Down With Love	5/16/03	2,123	$0.06	$7.00	$3,298	$20.30
Cold Mountain	12/26/03	2,163	$4.51	$14.57	$6,738	$78.38
Bridget Jones's Diary	4/13/01	1,611		$10.73	$6,662	$71.50
Because I Said So	2/2/07	2,526		$13.12	$5,195	$42.67
The Wedding Date	2/4/05	1,695		$11.13	$6,566	$31.59
Something New	2/3/06	1,265		$4.88	$3,857	$11.47
My Best Friend's Girl	9/19/08	2,604		$8.27	$3,174	$19.22
Good Luck Chuck	9/21/07	2,612		$13.65	$5,227	$35.00