Box Office Predictions for Jan. 16 - 19, 2009
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
(final update 1.15.09)
(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.)
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
My Bloody Valentine 3D |
$22.1 |
N/A |
2,534 |
$8,721 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Gran Torino |
$20.6 |
-32% |
2,972 |
$6,931 |
6 |
|
3 |
New |
Paul Blart: Mall Cop |
$18.3 |
N/A |
3,144 |
$5,821 |
1 |
|
4 |
New |
Notorious |
$16.2 |
N/A |
1,637 |
$9,896 |
1 |
|
5 |
2 |
Bride Wars |
$16.0 |
-25% |
3,226 |
$4,960 |
2 |
|
6 |
New |
Hotel for Dogs |
$15.3 |
N/A |
3,271 |
$4,677 |
1 |
|
7 |
3 |
The Unborn |
$10.7 |
-46% |
2,359 |
$4,536 |
2 |
|
8 |
4 |
Marley and Me |
$8.3 |
-25% |
2,952 |
$2,812 |
4 |
|
9 |
35 |
Defiance |
$6.4 |
1018% |
1,789 |
$3,577 |
4 |
|
10 |
5 |
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button |
$6.3 |
-32% |
2,223 |
$2,789 |
4 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
MY BLOODY VALENTINE 3D (Lionsgate)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Prom Night |
4/11/08 |
2,700 |
$20.80 |
$7,706 |
$43.82 |
|
|
Texas Chainsaw Massacre: The Beginning |
10/6/06 |
2,820 |
$18.51 |
$6,563 |
$39.52 |
|
|
The Texas Chainsaw Massacre |
10/17/03 |
3,016 |
$28.09 |
$9,315 |
$80.15 |
|
|
Dawn of the Dead |
3/19/04 |
2,745 |
$26.72 |
$9,735 |
$58.89 |
|
|
Black Christmas |
12/25/06 |
1,544 |
$7.20 |
$3.72 |
$2,412 |
$16.24 |
|
The Hills Have Eyes 2 |
3/23/07 |
2,447 |
$9.69 |
$3,958 |
$20.53 |
|
|
The Hills Have Eyes |
3/10/06 |
2,620 |
$15.71 |
$5,996 |
$41.78 |
|
|
Halloween |
8/31/07 |
3,472 |
$26.36 |
$7,593 |
$58.27 |
|
|
Halloween: Resurrection |
7/12/02 |
1,954 |
$12.29 |
$6,291 |
$30.26 |
|
|
Hallowe'en:H20 |
8/7/98 |
2,607 |
$8.56 |
$16.19 |
$6,210 |
$55.02 |
|
Valentine |
2/2/01 |
2,310 |
$10.02 |
$4,334 |
$20.36 |
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Nancy Drew |
6/15/07 |
2,612 |
$6.83 |
$2,616 |
$25.58 |
|
|
Racing Stripes |
1/14/05 |
3,185 |
$18.86 |
$5,922 |
$49.19 |
|
|
Kangaroo Jack |
1/17/03 |
2,818 |
$21.90 |
$7,770 |
$66.72 |
|
|
Snow Dogs |
1/18/02 |
2,302 |
$23.71 |
$10,299 |
$81.15 |
|
|
Beverly Hills Chihuahua |
10/3/08 |
3,215 |
$29.30 |
$9,114 |
$92.34 |
|
|
Firehouse Dog |
4/4/07 |
2,860 |
$3.84 |
$1,342 |
$13.93 |
|
|
Because of Winn-Dixie |
2/18/05 |
3,188 |
$13.22 |
$4,146 |
$32.65 |
|
|
Good Boy! |
10/10/03 |
3,225 |
$13.11 |
$4,064 |
$37.57 |
|
|
My Dog Skip |
3/3/00 |
2,331 |
$0.72 |
$5.86 |
$2,514 |
$34.10 |
|
Kit Kittredge: An American Girl |
6/20/08 |
1,843 |
$2.53 |
$3.27 |
$1,789 |
$17.66 |
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
I Now Pronounce You Chuck and Larry |
7/20/07 |
3,495 |
$34.23 |
$9,795 |
$119.68 |
|
|
Hitch |
2/11/05 |
3,575 |
$43.14 |
$12,068 |
$177.58 |
|
|
National Security |
1/17/03 |
2,729 |
$16.81 |
$5,266 |
$36.29 |
|
|
Deuce Bigalow: European Gigolo |
8/12/05 |
3,127 |
$9.63 |
$3,078 |
$22.26 |
|
|
Deuce Bigalow: Male Gigalo |
12/10/99 |
2,154 |
$12.22 |
$5,673 |
$65.54 |
|
|
Bean |
11/7/97 |
1,948 |
$7.01 |
$12.73 |
$6,535 |
$45.31 |
|
Ace Ventura: Pet Detective |
2/4/94 |
1,750 |
$12.12 |
$6,926 |
$72.22 |
|
|
Ace Ventura: When Nature Calls |
11/10/95 |
2,652 |
$37.80 |
$14,253 |
$108.36 |
|
|
Daddy Day Care |
5/9/03 |
3,370 |
$27.62 |
$8,197 |
$103.55 |
|
|
Dickie Roberts: Former Child Star |
9/5/03 |
2,023 |
$6.66 |
$3,288 |
$22.74 |
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
What's Love Got to do With It? |
6/26/93 |
1,091 |
$7.73 |
$5.48 |
$5,023 |
$38.93 |
|
Akeelah and the Bee |
4/28/06 |
2,195 |
$6.01 |
$2,739 |
$18.85 |
|
|
Catch a Fire |
10/27/06 |
1,306 |
$2.03 |
$1,552 |
$4.29 |
|
|
Friday Night Lights |
10/8/04 |
2,667 |
$20.27 |
$7,600 |
$61.19 |
|
|
Antwone Fisher |
1/10/03 |
1,007 |
$6.65 |
$3.78 |
$3,757 |
$21.08 |
|
We Are Marshall |
12/22/06 |
2,606 |
$6.11 |
$2,346 |
$43.55 |
|
|
Crossover |
9/1/06 |
1,023 |
$3.77 |
$3,683 |
$7.01 |
|
|
Idlewild |
8/25/06 |
973 |
$5.74 |
$5,905 |
$12.67 |
|
|
Get Rich or Die Tryin' |
11/11/05 |
1,652 |
$5.70 |
$12.02 |
$7,277 |
$30.98 |
|
8 Mile |
11/8/02 |
2,470 |
$51.24 |
$20,745 |
$116.13 |
|
|
Ray |
10/29/04 |
2,006 |
$20.04 |
$9,990 |
$75.24 |
|
|
Roll Bounce |
9/23/05 |
1,625 |
$7.57 |
$4,659 |
$17.38 |
|
|
Never Die Alone |
3/26/04 |
1,161 |
$3.09 |
$2,661 |
$5.64 |
Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas
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