Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for February 6-8, 2009

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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for Feb. 6 - 8, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 2.5.09)

(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.)

TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	He's Just Not That Into You	$24.4	N/A	3,175	$7,685	1
2	New	The Pink Panther 2	$19.4	N/A	3,243	$5,982	1
3	1	Taken	$13.1	-47%	3,184	$4,114	2
4	New	Coraline	$9.5	N/A	2,298	$4,482	1
5	New	Push	$9.7	N/A	2,313	$4,194	1
6	2	Paul Blart: Mall Cop	$8.0	-43%	3,169	$2,524	4
7	5	Slumdog Millionaire	$5.9	-25%	1,724	$3,422	6
8	3	The Uninvited	$5.5	-48%	2,344	$2,346	2
9	4	Hotel for Dogs	$5.0	-43%	2,734	$1,829	4
10	5	Gran Torino	$4.7	-45%	2,705	$1,738	9
			Est. Weekend Total $106.00	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 41%		Est. Average PTA $3,823

COMPARISONS:

THE PINK PANTHER 2 (MGM/Sony)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
The Pink Panther	2/10/06	3,477		$20.22	$5,815	$82.23
Son of the Pink Panther	8/27/93	983		$1.13	$1,150	$2.38
Bringing Down the House	3/7/03	2,801		$31.10	$11,104	$132.68
Cheaper By the Dozen	12/26/03	3,298	$8.18	$27.56	$8,356	$128.03
Cheaper by the Dozen 2	12/23/05	3,175	$5.28	$15.34	$4,832	$82.41
Johnny English	7/18/03	2,236		$9.13	$4,085	$27.97
Mr. Bean's Holiday	8/24/07	1,714		$9.89	$5,770	$33.30
Bean	11/7/97	1,948	$7.01	$12.73	$6,535	$45.31
Agent Cody Banks 2: Destination London	3/12/04	2,973		$8.01	$2,696	$23.22
Agent Cody Banks	3/14/03	3,369		$14.06	$4,175	$47.55
Are We Done Yet?	4/4/07	2,877	4.25	$14.26	$4,957	$49.63
Are We There Yet?	1/21/05	2,709		$18.58	$6,857	$82.30

HE�S JUST NOT THAT INTO YOU (New Line/WB)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Marley and Me	12/25/08	3480	$14.38	$36.36	$10,488	$138.09
Rumor Has It...	12/23/05	2,815		$7.52	$2,670	$42.92
The Break-Up	6/2/06	3,070		$39.17	$12,760	$118.81
Along Came Polly	1/16/04	2,984		$27.21	$9,290	$87.86
Music & Lyrics	2/14/07	2,955		$13.62	$4,610	$50.57
50 First Dates	2/13/04	3,591		$39.58	$11,098	$120.78
The Wedding Singer	2/13/98	2,821		$19.10	$6,771	$80.25
Sex and the City	5/30/08	3,285		$56.85	$17,305	$152.65
Definitely, Maybe	2/14/08	2204	$3.12	$9.76	$4,430	$31.40
Failure to Launch	3/10/06	3,057		$24.41	$7,985	$88.72
How to Lose a Guy in 10 Days	2/7/03	2,923		$23.77	$8,134	$105.81

PUSH (Summit)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer	6/15/07	3,957		$58.05	$14,670	$131.92
Fantastic Four	7/8/05	3,602		$56.06	$15,564	$154.70
Cellular	9/10/04	2,749		$10.10	$3,674	$32.00
War of the Worlds	7/1/05	3,908	$35.68	$77.06	$19,719	$233.58
Hide and Seek	1/28/05	3,005		$21.96	$7,308	$51.10
Lucky Number Slevin	4/7/06	1,984		$7.03	$3,544	$22.50
Wicker Park	9/3/04	2,598		$6.82	$2,625	$12.83
Hancock	7/2/08	3,965	$41.27	$62.60	$15,789	$227.95
Jumper	2/15/08	3,428		$27.35	$7,980	$81.17
My Super Ex-Girlfriend	7/21/06	2,702		$8.60	$3,184	$22.53

CORALINE (Focus Features)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
James and the Giant Peach	4/12/96	2,262		$7.54	$3,333	$29.82
The Nightmare Before Christmas 3D	10/20/06	168		$3.28	$19,506	$24.30
The Nightmare Before Christmas	10/22/93	1,654	$0.32	$6.24	$3,773	$50.00
The Corpse Bride	9/16/05	3,204	$0.51	$19.15	$5,975	$53.36
Fly Me to the Moon	8/15/08	452		$1.90	$4,205	$12.34
Wallace & Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit	10/7/05	3,645	$0.02	$16.03	$4,397	$56.07
Stardust	8/10/07	2,540		$9.17	$3,610	$38.63
MirrorMask	9/30/05	18		$0.13	$7,025	$0.86