Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for Feb. 27 - March 1, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 2.26.09)

(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.)

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Jonas Brothers: The 3D Concert Experience

$32.4

N/A

1,271

$25,492

1

2

1

Tyler Perry's Madea Goes to Jail

$15.5

-63%

2,052

$7,579

2

3

5

Slumdog Millionaire

$9.5

13%

2,943

$3,228

9

4

2

Coraline

$7.5

-34%

2,063

$3,635

4

5

3

Taken

$7.1

-37%

3,089

$2,298

5

6

4

He's Just Not That Into You

$5.0

-42%

2,858

$1,749

4

7

8

Paul Blart: Mall Cop

$4.3

-38%

2,698

$1,594

7

8

New

Street Fighter: The Legend of Chun-Li

$4.2

N/A

1,136

$3,697

1

9

7

Confessions of a Shopaholic

$3.6

-47%

2,543

$1,421

3

10

6

Friday the 13th

$3.2

-60%

2,760

$1,159

3

Est. Weekend Total
$92.30

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 39%

Est. Average PTA
$5,183



COMPARISONS:

JONAS BROTHERS: THE 3D CONCERT EXPERIENCE (Disney)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Miley Cyrus/Hannah Montana: Best of Both Worlds

2/1/08

683

$31.12

$45,561

$65.20

High School Musical 3: Senior Year

10/24/08

3,623

$42.03

$11,601

$90.56



STREET FIGHTER: THE LEGEND OF CHUN-LI (20th Century Fox)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Street Fighter

12/23/94

1,671

$9.51

$5,691

$33.24

Doom

10/21/05

3,044

$15.49

$5,088

$27.62

Cradle 2 the Grave

2/28/03

2,625

$16.52

$6,294

$34.66

Exit Wounds

3/16/01

2,830

$18.49

$6,532

$51.76

Romeo Must Die

3/24/00

2,641

$6.59

$18.01

$6,819

$55.97

House of the Dead

10/10/03

1,520

$5.68

$3,734

$10.20

D.O.A.: Dead or Alive

6/15/07

505

$0.26

$516

$0.48

The Protector

9/8/06

1,541

$5.03

$3,267

$12.04


Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas

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