Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for Feb. 20 - 22, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 2.19.09)

(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.)

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Tyler Perry's Madea Goes to Jail

$26.7

N/A

2,032

$13,140

1

2

1

Friday the 13th

$18.5

-55%

3,120

$5,929

2

3

3

Taken

$11.8

-38%

3,102

$3,868

4

4

2

He's Just Not That Into You

$11.4

-41%

3,178

$3,587

3

5

5

Coraline

$9.5

-37%

2,155

$4,077

3

6

4

Confessions of a Shopaholic

$8.5

-44%

2,507

$3,373

2

7

New

Fired Up

$7.3

N/A

1,810

$4,033

1

8

6

Paul Blart: Mall Cop

$7.1

-35%

2,835

$2,504

6

9

9

Slumdog Millionaire

$6.5

-13%

2,244

$2,897

2

10

7

The International

$5.0

-45%

2,364

$2,115

2

Est. Weekend Total
$112.50

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 39%

Est. Average PTA
$4,587



COMPARISONS:

TYLER PERRY’S MADEA GOES TO JAIL (Lionsgate)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Tyler Perry's The Family That Preys

9/12/08

2,070

$17.38

$8,397

$37.02

Tyler Perry's Meet the Browns

3/21/08

2,006

$20.08

$10,011

$41.98

Tyler Perry's Why Did I Get Married?

10/12/07

2,011

$21.35

$10,618

$55.20

Tyler Perry's Daddy's Little Girls

2/14/07

2,111

$5.70

$11.20

$5,311

$31.37

Tyler Perry's Madea's Family Reunion

2/24/06

2,194

$30.03

$13,688

$63.26

Diary of a Mad Black Woman

2/25/05

1,483

$21.91

$14,771

$50.38

Notorious

1/16/09

1,638

$20.50

$12,514

$36.39

Catch a Fire

10/27/06

1,306

$2.03

$1,552

$4.29

Friday Night Lights

10/8/04

2,667

$20.27

$7,600

$61.19

Antwone Fisher

1/10/03

1,007

$6.65

$3.78

$3,757

$21.08



FIRED UP (Screen Gems)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Disturbia

4/13/08

2,925

$22.22

$7,598

$80.21

Stick It!

4/28/06

2,038

$10.80

$5,301

$26.87

Bring it On

8/25/00

2,380

$17.36

$7,294

$68.25

Dumb and Dumberer: When Harry Met Lloyd

6/13/03

2,609

$10.85

$4,157

$26.21

Slackers

2/1/02

1,893

$2.79

$1,471

$4.81

Sorority Boys

3/22/02

1,801

$4.13

$2,292

$10.20

Dude, Where's My Car?

12/15/00

2,087

$13.85

$6,634

$46.72

National Lampoon's Barely Legal

10/21/05

20

$0.02

$788

$0.02

National Lampoon's Gold Diggers

9/17/04

1,062

$0.39

$369

$0.39

National Lampoon's Van Wilder

4/5/02

2,022

$7.30

$3,612

$21.01

National Lampoon's Senior Trip

9/8/95

1,397

$2.18

$1,560

$4.69


Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas

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