Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for Feb. 13 - 16, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 2.12.09)

(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.)

TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

Friday the 13th

$38.2

N/A

3,205

$12,303

1

2

1

He's Just Not That Into You

$20.4

-30%

3,175

$6,425

2

3

New

Confessions of a Shopaholic

$19.7

N/A

2,507

$7,858

1

4

2

Taken

$13,8

-33%

3,109

$4,439

3

5

3

Coraline

$12.6

-25%

2,320

$5,431

2

6

New

The International

$11.3

N/A

2,364

$4,780

1

7

4

The Pink Panther 2

$9.3

-20%

3,245

$2,866

2

8

5

Paul Blart: Mall Cop

$8.0

-27%

2,965

$2,698

5

9

8

Slumdog Millionaire

$6.4

-11%

1,634

$3,917

7

10

6

Push

$6.0

-40%

2,313

$2,594

2

Est. Weekend Total
$145.70

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 27%

Est. Average PTA
$5,319



COMPARISONS:

FRIDAY THE 13th (New Line/WB

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Freddy vs. Jason

8/15/03

3,014

$36.43

$12,085

$82.49

Jason X

4/26/02

1,878

$6.65

$3,540

$13.12

Jason Goes to Hell: The Final Friday

8/13/93

1,355

$7.55

$5,572

$15.57

Friday the 13th Part VIII: Jason Takes Manhattan

7/28/89

1,683

$6.25

$3,714

$14.34

Halloween

8/31/07

3,472

$26.36

$7,593

$58.27

Halloween: Resurrection

7/12/02

1,954

$12.29

$6,291

$30.26

Hallowe'en: H20

8/7/98

2,607

$8.56

$16.19

$6,210

$55.02

Halloween: Curse of Michael Myers

9/29/95

1,679

$7.31

$4,354

$15.12

Halloween V

10/13/89

1,483

$5.09

$3,432

$11.64

Black Christmas

12/25/06

1,544

$7.20

$3.72

$2,412

$16,24

House of Wax

5/6/05

3,111

$12.08

$3,882

$32.05

Texas Chainsaw Massacre: The Beginning

10/6/06

2,820

$18.51

$6,563

$39.52

The Texas Chainsaw Massacre

10/17/03

3,016

$28.09

$9,315

$80.15

Dawn of the Dead

3/19/04

2,745

$26.72

$9,735

$58.89



CONFESSIONS OF A SHOPAHOLIC (Disney/Touchstone)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Definitely, Maybe

2/14/08

2,204

$3.12

$9.76

$4,430

$31.40

Wedding Crashers

7/15/05

2,925

$33.90

$11,590

$209.22

Scooby-Doo

6/14/02

3,447

$54.16

$15,712

$153.29

My Best Friend's Wedding

6/20/97

2,134

$21.68

$10,159

$126.81

Muriel's Wedding

3/31/95

836

$4.48

$2.61

$3,122

$15.12

Enchanted

11/21/07

3,703

$14.62

$34.44

$9,233

$127.71

Ice Princess

3/18/05

2,501

$6.81

$2,722

$24.38

Confessions of a Teenage Drama Queen

2/20/04

2,503

$9.35

$3,736

$29.30

The Devil Wears Prada

6/30/06

2,847

$27.54

$9,672

$124.74

The Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement

8/13/04

3,472

$14.18

$22.96

$6,612

$91.89

The Princess Diaries

8/3/01

2,537

$22.86

$9,011

$108.24

Sweet Home Alabama

9/27/02

3,293

$35.65

$10,825

$126.87



THE INTERNATIONAL (Sony)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Shoot 'Em Up

9/7/07

2,108

$5.72

$2,712

$12.80

Children of Men

12/25/06

1209

1.61

$10.20

$8,435

$35.33

Inside Man

3/24/06

2818

$28.95

$10,275

$88.63

Derailed

11/11/05

2,443

$12.21

$4,999

$36.02

Sin City

4/1/05

3,230

$29.12

$9,016

$74.10

King Arthur

7/9/04

3,086

$8.43

$15.19

$4,924

$51.80

The Bourne Identity

6/14/02

2,638

$27.12

$10,281

$121.38

Eastern Promises

9/14/07

1,404

$0.80

$5.64

$4,018

$17.14

Stay

10/21/05

1,684

$2.19

$1,299

$3.62

Vantage Point

2/22/08

3,149

$22.87

$7,264

$72.27

Michael Clayton

10/5/07

2,511

$1.08

$10.37

$4,131

$49.02

The Interpreter

4/22/05

2,758

$22.82

$8,275

$72.52


Copyright 2008 Edward Douglas

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