Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for February 13-15, 2009

Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for Feb. 13 - 16, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 2.12.09)

(Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.)

TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	Friday the 13th	$38.2	N/A	3,205	$12,303	1
2	1	He's Just Not That Into You	$20.4	-30%	3,175	$6,425	2
3	New	Confessions of a Shopaholic	$19.7	N/A	2,507	$7,858	1
4	2	Taken	$13,8	-33%	3,109	$4,439	3
5	3	Coraline	$12.6	-25%	2,320	$5,431	2
6	New	The International	$11.3	N/A	2,364	$4,780	1
7	4	The Pink Panther 2	$9.3	-20%	3,245	$2,866	2
8	5	Paul Blart: Mall Cop	$8.0	-27%	2,965	$2,698	5
9	8	Slumdog Millionaire	$6.4	-11%	1,634	$3,917	7
10	6	Push	$6.0	-40%	2,313	$2,594	2
			Est. Weekend Total $145.70	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 27%		Est. Average PTA $5,319

COMPARISONS:

FRIDAY THE 13th (New Line/WB

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Freddy vs. Jason	8/15/03	3,014		$36.43	$12,085	$82.49
Jason X	4/26/02	1,878		$6.65	$3,540	$13.12
Jason Goes to Hell: The Final Friday	8/13/93	1,355		$7.55	$5,572	$15.57
Friday the 13th Part VIII: Jason Takes Manhattan	7/28/89	1,683		$6.25	$3,714	$14.34
Halloween	8/31/07	3,472		$26.36	$7,593	$58.27
Halloween: Resurrection	7/12/02	1,954		$12.29	$6,291	$30.26
Hallowe'en: H20	8/7/98	2,607	$8.56	$16.19	$6,210	$55.02
Halloween: Curse of Michael Myers	9/29/95	1,679		$7.31	$4,354	$15.12
Halloween V	10/13/89	1,483		$5.09	$3,432	$11.64
Black Christmas	12/25/06	1,544	$7.20	$3.72	$2,412	$16,24
House of Wax	5/6/05	3,111		$12.08	$3,882	$32.05
Texas Chainsaw Massacre: The Beginning	10/6/06	2,820		$18.51	$6,563	$39.52
The Texas Chainsaw Massacre	10/17/03	3,016		$28.09	$9,315	$80.15
Dawn of the Dead	3/19/04	2,745		$26.72	$9,735	$58.89

CONFESSIONS OF A SHOPAHOLIC (Disney/Touchstone)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Definitely, Maybe	2/14/08	2,204	$3.12	$9.76	$4,430	$31.40
Wedding Crashers	7/15/05	2,925		$33.90	$11,590	$209.22
Scooby-Doo	6/14/02	3,447		$54.16	$15,712	$153.29
My Best Friend's Wedding	6/20/97	2,134		$21.68	$10,159	$126.81
Muriel's Wedding	3/31/95	836	$4.48	$2.61	$3,122	$15.12
Enchanted	11/21/07	3,703	$14.62	$34.44	$9,233	$127.71
Ice Princess	3/18/05	2,501		$6.81	$2,722	$24.38
Confessions of a Teenage Drama Queen	2/20/04	2,503		$9.35	$3,736	$29.30
The Devil Wears Prada	6/30/06	2,847		$27.54	$9,672	$124.74
The Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement	8/13/04	3,472	$14.18	$22.96	$6,612	$91.89
The Princess Diaries	8/3/01	2,537		$22.86	$9,011	$108.24
Sweet Home Alabama	9/27/02	3,293		$35.65	$10,825	$126.87

THE INTERNATIONAL (Sony)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Shoot 'Em Up	9/7/07	2,108		$5.72	$2,712	$12.80
Children of Men	12/25/06	1209	1.61	$10.20	$8,435	$35.33
Inside Man	3/24/06	2818		$28.95	$10,275	$88.63
Derailed	11/11/05	2,443		$12.21	$4,999	$36.02
Sin City	4/1/05	3,230		$29.12	$9,016	$74.10
King Arthur	7/9/04	3,086	$8.43	$15.19	$4,924	$51.80
The Bourne Identity	6/14/02	2,638		$27.12	$10,281	$121.38
Eastern Promises	9/14/07	1,404	$0.80	$5.64	$4,018	$17.14
Stay	10/21/05	1,684		$2.19	$1,299	$3.62
Vantage Point	2/22/08	3,149		$22.87	$7,264	$72.27
Michael Clayton	10/5/07	2,511	$1.08	$10.37	$4,131	$49.02
The Interpreter	4/22/05	2,758		$22.82	$8,275	$72.52