Box Office Predictions for December 18 - 20,
2009
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis (updated 12.17.09)
Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out
the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including
reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything
written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost
always
responded to.
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
Avatar |
$72.4 |
N/A |
3,453 |
$20,967 |
1 |
|
2 |
1 |
The Princess and the Frog |
$15.5 |
-37% |
3,475 |
$4,460 |
4 |
|
3 |
New |
Did You Hear About the Morgans? |
$11.5 |
N/A |
2,750 |
$4,231 |
1 |
|
4 |
2 |
The Blind Side |
$11.0 |
-29% |
3,407 |
$3,229 |
5 |
|
5 |
3 |
Invictus |
$5.2 |
-40% |
2,125 |
$2,447 |
2 |
|
6 |
5 |
Disney's A Christmas Carol |
$4.8 |
-30% |
2,070 |
$2,319 |
7 |
|
7 |
4 |
The Twilight Saga: New Moon |
$4.1 |
-48% |
3,035 |
$1,351 |
5 |
|
8 |
11 |
Up in the Air |
$3.2 |
12% |
175 |
$18,286 |
3 |
|
9 |
6 |
Brothers |
$3.0 |
-40% |
2,009 |
$1,493 |
3 |
|
10 |
7 |
Old Dogs |
$2.7 |
-39% |
2,630 |
$1,027 |
4 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
COMPARISONS:
AVATAR (20th Century Fox)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Titanic |
12/19/97 |
2,674 |
$28.64 |
$10,711 |
$600.79 |
|
|
Terminator 2 |
7/5/91 |
2,274 |
$20.54 |
$31.77 |
$13,971 |
$204.84 |
|
The Abyss |
8/11/89 |
1,533 |
$3.71 |
$9.32 |
$6,080 |
$54.24 |
|
Aliens |
7/18/86 |
1,437 |
$10.05 |
$6,995 |
$85.16 |
|
|
Terminator Salvation |
5/21/09 |
3,530 |
$42.56 |
$12,056 |
$125.32 |
|
|
Vantage Point |
2/22/08 |
3,149 |
$22.87 |
$7,264 |
$72.27 |
|
|
Alien: Resurrection |
11/28/97 |
2,415 |
$15.69 |
$6,497 |
$47.76 |
|
|
King Kong |
12/16/05 |
3,568 |
$16.05 |
$50.13 |
$14,050 |
$218.05 |
|
The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King |
12/19/03 |
3,703 |
$51.47 |
$72.62 |
$19,614 |
$377.03 |
|
The Lord of the Rings: The Two Towers |
12/20/02 |
3,622 |
$40.04 |
$61.50 |
$16,980 |
$340.48 |
|
The Lord of the Rings : Fellowship of the Rings |
12/21/01 |
3,359 |
$27.91 |
$47.21 |
$14,055 |
$313.39 |
|
Star Trek |
5/8/09 |
3,849 |
$79.20 |
$20.578 |
$257.70 |
DID YOU HEAR ABOUT THE MORGANS? (Sony)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Sex and the City |
5/30/08 |
3,285 |
$56.85 |
$17,305 |
$152.65 |
|
|
Smart People |
4/11/08 |
1,106 |
$4.09 |
$3,700 |
$9.51 |
|
|
The Family Stone |
12/16/05 |
2,466 |
$12.52 |
$5,077 |
$60.06 |
|
|
Failure to Launch |
3/10/06 |
3,057 |
$24.41 |
$7,985 |
$88.72 |
|
|
State and Main |
1/12/01 |
459 |
$2.37 |
$1.74 |
$3,802 |
$6.92 |
|
Music & Lyrics |
2/14/07 |
2,955 |
$13.62 |
$4,610 |
$50.57 |
|
|
Love Actually |
11/7/03 |
576 |
$6.89 |
$11,955 |
$59.08 |
|
|
Two Weeks Notice |
12/20/02 |
2,755 |
$14.40 |
$5,227 |
$88.82 |
|
|
About a Boy |
5/17/02 |
1,207 |
$8.56 |
$7,090 |
$40.57 |
|
|
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason |
11/12/04 |
530 |
$8.68 |
$16,385 |
$40.20 |
|
|
Bridget Jones's Diary |
4/13/01 |
1,611 |
$10.73 |
$6,662 |
$71.50 |
|
|
Notting Hill |
5/28/99 |
2,745 |
$22.13 |
$8,062 |
$116.09 |
|
|
New in Town |
1/30/09 |
1,941 |
$6.74 |
$3,473 |
$16.70 |
|
|
My Blue Heaven |
8/17/90 |
1,859 |
$6.21 |
$3,341 |
$23.59 |
Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas
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