Box Office Predictions for August 7 - 9, 2009
By Edward Douglas -
This
Week's Analysis
(final update 8.6.09)
Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.
You can also follow the Weekend Warrior on TWITTER, if you dare!
|
TW |
LW |
Title |
Weekend (in millions) |
Change |
# Of Theaters |
Average |
Week |
|
1 |
New |
G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra |
$53.4 |
N/A |
4,007 |
$13,327 |
1 |
|
2 |
New |
Julie & Julia |
$20.2* |
N/A |
2,975? |
$6,790 |
1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Funny People |
$10.4 |
-55% |
3,008 |
$3,457 |
2 |
|
4 |
3 |
G-Force |
$10.2 |
-42% |
3,482 |
$2,929 |
3 |
|
5 |
2 |
Harry Potter/Half-Blood Prince |
$9.5 |
-47% |
3,455 |
$2,750 |
4 |
|
6 |
New |
A Perfect Getaway |
$7.3 |
N/A |
2,159 |
$3,381 |
1 |
|
7 |
4 |
The Ugly Truth |
$7.0 |
-47% |
2,975 |
$2,353 |
3 |
|
8 |
5 |
Aliens in the Attic |
$5.0 |
-38% |
3,108 |
$1,610 |
5 |
|
9 |
12 |
500 Days of Summer |
$4.5 |
67% |
1,000 |
$4,900 |
2 |
|
10 |
6 |
Orphan |
$4.1 |
-45% |
2,270 |
$1,806 |
4 |
|
Est. Weekend Total |
Est. Avg. Drop-Off |
Est. Average PTA |
*Seems to be some confusion in terms of the theater count... BoxOfficeMovie has it opening in nearly 3,000 theaters where this number might be reasonable... if it's actually 2354 a/p other sources, it will be closer to $18 million.
G.I. JOE: THE RISE OF COBRA (Paramount)
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Fighting |
4/24/09 |
2,309 |
$11.02 |
$4,775 |
$23.09 |
|
|
Stop-Loss |
3/28/08 |
1,291 |
$4.55 |
$3,528 |
$10.91 |
|
|
Step Up |
8/11/06 |
2,467 |
$20.66 |
$8,374 |
$65.33 |
|
|
Stardust |
8/10/07 |
2,540 |
$9.17 |
$3,610 |
$38.63 |
|
|
Casanova |
12/23/05 |
37 |
$0.23 |
$6,245 |
$11.26 |
|
|
Alfie |
11/5/04 |
2,215 |
$6.22 |
$2,807 |
$13.40 |
|
|
Little Man |
7/14/06 |
2,533 |
$21.61 |
$8,533 |
$58.64 |
|
|
White Chicks |
6/25/04 |
2,726 |
$7.50 |
$19.68 |
$7,218 |
$69.15 |
|
Van Helsing |
5/7/04 |
3,575 |
$51.75 |
$14,480 |
$120.03 |
|
|
The Mummy Returns |
5/4/01 |
3,401 |
$68.14 |
$20,035 |
$202.01 |
|
|
The Mummy |
5/7/99 |
3,210 |
$43.37 |
$13,511 |
$155.25 |
|
|
Transformers |
7/6/07 |
4,011 |
$84.90 |
$70.50 |
$17,577 |
$319.25 |
|
Team America: World Police |
10/15/04 |
2,539 |
$12.12 |
$4,774 |
$32.77 |
|
|
Thunderbirds |
7/30/04 |
2,057 |
$2.77 |
$1,345 |
$6.77 |
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Mamma Mia! |
7/18/08 |
2,976 |
$27.75 |
$9,325 |
$144.13 |
|
|
The Devil Wears Prada |
6/30/06 |
2,847 |
$27.54 |
$9,672 |
$124.74 |
|
|
Night at the Museum: Battle of the Smithsonian |
5/22/09 |
4,096 |
$54.17 |
$13,226 |
$173.02 |
|
|
Sunshine Cleaning |
3/13/09 |
479 |
$2.90 |
$1.81 |
$3,773 |
$12.06 |
|
Doubt |
12/12/08 |
1,267 |
$3.15 |
$5.34 |
$4,214 |
$33.42 |
|
Miss Pettigrew Lives for a Day |
3/7/08 |
535 |
$2.49 |
$4,656 |
$13.31 |
|
|
Enchanted |
11/21/07 |
3,730 |
14.619 |
$34.44 |
$9,233 |
$127.71 |
|
Bewitched |
6/24/05 |
3,174 |
$20.13 |
$6,343 |
$62.25 |
|
|
You've Got Mail |
12/18/98 |
2,691 |
$18.43 |
$6,849 |
$115.73 |
|
|
Sleepless in Seattle |
6/26/93 |
1,579 |
$17.25 |
$10,925 |
$126.68 |
|
|
No Reservations |
7/27/07 |
2,425 |
$11.70 |
$4,827 |
$43.10 |
|
|
Mamma Mia! |
7/18/08 |
2,976 |
$27.75 |
$9,325 |
$144.13 |
|
Title |
Release Date |
Theater Count |
Previous Box Office (in millions) |
Weekend Box Office (in millions) |
Average |
Total Box Office |
|
Hitman |
11/21/07 |
2,458 |
$7.91 |
$13.18 |
$5,362 |
$39.69 |
|
Live Free or Die Hard |
6/29/07 |
3,408 |
$33.37 |
$9,792 |
$134.53 |
|
|
Resident Evil: Extinction |
9/21/07 |
2,828 |
$23.68 |
$8,373 |
$50.65 |
|
|
Resident Evil: Apocalypse |
9/10/04 |
3,284 |
$23.04 |
$7,015 |
$50.74 |
|
|
Resident Evil |
3/15/02 |
2,528 |
$17.71 |
$7,004 |
$39.53 |
|
|
Ultraviolet |
3/3/06 |
2,558 |
$9.06 |
$3,544 |
$18.52 |
|
|
The Ruins |
4/4/08 |
2,812 |
$8.00 |
$2,846 |
$17.43 |
|
|
Turistas |
12/1/06 |
1,570 |
$3.53 |
$2,282 |
$7.03 |
|
|
The Chronicles of Riddick |
6/11/04 |
2,757 |
$24.29 |
$8,810 |
$57.64 |
|
|
Below |
10/11/02 |
168 |
$0.20 |
$1,199 |
$0.59 |
|
|
Pitch Black |
2/18/00 |
1,832 |
$11.58 |
$6,321 |
$39.24 |
|
|
Taking Lives |
3/19/04 |
2,705 |
$11.46 |
$4,236 |
$32.68 |
|
|
Murder By Numbers |
4/19/02 |
2,642 |
$9.31 |
$3,495 |
$31.87 |
|
|
Se7en |
9/22/95 |
2,441 |
$13.95 |
$5,715 |
$100.12 |
Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas
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