Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for August 28 - 30, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 8.27.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW

LW

Title

Weekend (in millions)

Change

# Of Theaters

Average

Week

1

New

The Final Destination

$21.2

N/A

3,121

$6,793

1

2

New

Halloween 2

$17.2

N/A

3,000

$5,733

1

3

1

Inglourious Basterds

$17.0

-55%

3,170

$5,363

2

4

2

District 9

$9.8

-46%

3,180

$3,082

3

5

3

G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra

$6.7

-45%

3,467

$1,933

4

6

5

Julie & Julia

$6.0

-32%

2,503

$2,397

4

7

4

The Time Traveller's Wife

$5.5

-44%

2,961

$1,857

3

8

New

Taking Woodstock

$4.7

N/A

1,350

$3,374

1

9

6

Shorts

$3.6

-43%

3,105

$1,159

2

10

7

G-Force

$2.5

-39%

1,926

$1,298

6

Est. Weekend Total
$94.20

Est. Avg. Drop-Off
- 44%

Est. Average PTA
$2,999



COMPARISONS:

THE FINAL DESTINATION (New Line/WB)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Final Destination 3

2/10/06

2,880

$19.17

$6,657

$54.10

Final Destination 2

1/31/03

2,834

$16.02

$5,652

$46.90

Final Destination

3/17/00

2,585

$10.02

$3,876

$53.30

Snakes on a Plane

8/18/06

37,485

$15.03

$4,277

$34.02

The Butterfly Effect

1/23/04

2,605

$17.07

$6,551

$57.65

My Bloody Valentine 3D

1/16/09

2,534

$21.24

$8,383

$51.55

Hero

8/27/04

2,031

$18.00

$8,865

$53.58

The Brothers Grimm

8/26/05

3,087

$15.09

$4,889

$37.74



HALLOWEEN II (Dimension Films)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Halloween

8/31/07

3,472

$26.36

$7,593

$58.27

The Devil's Rejects

7/22/05

1,757

$7.07

$4,022

$16.90

House of 1000 Corpses

4/11/03

595

$3.46

$5,816

$12.58

Halloween: Resurrection

7/12/02

1,954

$12.29

$6,291

$30.26

Hallowe'en:H20

8/7/98

2,607

$8.56

$16.19

$6,210

$55.02

Halloween: Curse of Michael Myers

9/29/95

1,679

$7.31

$4,354

$15.12

Halloween V

10/13/89

1,483

$5.09

$3,432

$11.64

Friday the 13th

2/13/09

3,105

$40.57

$13,066



TAKING WOODSTOCK (Focus)

Title

Release Date

Theater Count

Previous Box Office (in millions)

Weekend Box Office (in millions)

Average

Total Box Office

Lust, Caution

9/28/07

143

$0.48

$3,325

$4.60

Brokeback Mountain

12/9/05

217

$4.94

$1.91

$8,803

$82.86

The Hulk

6/20/03

3,660

$62.13

$16,975

$132.12

Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon

1/12/01

693

$19.89

$7.73

$11,154

$128.07

Defiance

12/31/08

1789

$0.34

$8.91

$4,981

$28.64

The Omen

6/6/06

2,723

$13.30

$16.03

$5,886

$54.60

The Manchurian Candidate

7/30/04

2,867

$20.02

$6,982

$64.82

Speed Racer

5/9/08

3,606

$18.56

$5,147

$43.93

Into the Wild

9/21/07

658

$4.35

$2.14

$3,250

$18.35

Lords of Dogtown

6/3/05

1,865

$5.62

$3,015

$11.01

Milk

11/28/08

328

$5.00

$2.60

$7,923

$31.84


Copyright 2009 Edward Douglas

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