Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for August 14-16, 2009

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Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for August 28 - 30, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 8.27.09)

Enjoy the numbers but please do try to check out the preview and analysis posted on the blog at the link above, including reviews, interviews, etc. If you have anything to say about anything written in this column, feedback and Email is always welcome, and almost always responded to.

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	The Final Destination	$21.2	N/A	3,121	$6,793	1
2	New	Halloween 2	$17.2	N/A	3,000	$5,733	1
3	1	Inglourious Basterds	$17.0	-55%	3,170	$5,363	2
4	2	District 9	$9.8	-46%	3,180	$3,082	3
5	3	G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra	$6.7	-45%	3,467	$1,933	4
6	5	Julie & Julia	$6.0	-32%	2,503	$2,397	4
7	4	The Time Traveller's Wife	$5.5	-44%	2,961	$1,857	3
8	New	Taking Woodstock	$4.7	N/A	1,350	$3,374	1
9	6	Shorts	$3.6	-43%	3,105	$1,159	2
10	7	G-Force	$2.5	-39%	1,926	$1,298	6
			Est. Weekend Total $94.20	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 44%		Est. Average PTA $2,999

COMPARISONS:

THE FINAL DESTINATION (New Line/WB)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Final Destination 3	2/10/06	2,880	$19.17	$6,657	$54.10
Final Destination 2	1/31/03	2,834	$16.02	$5,652	$46.90
Final Destination	3/17/00	2,585	$10.02	$3,876	$53.30
Snakes on a Plane	8/18/06	37,485	$15.03	$4,277	$34.02
The Butterfly Effect	1/23/04	2,605	$17.07	$6,551	$57.65
My Bloody Valentine 3D	1/16/09	2,534	$21.24	$8,383	$51.55
Hero	8/27/04	2,031	$18.00	$8,865	$53.58
The Brothers Grimm	8/26/05	3,087	$15.09	$4,889	$37.74

HALLOWEEN II (Dimension Films)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Halloween	8/31/07	3,472		$26.36	$7,593	$58.27
The Devil's Rejects	7/22/05	1,757		$7.07	$4,022	$16.90
House of 1000 Corpses	4/11/03	595		$3.46	$5,816	$12.58
Halloween: Resurrection	7/12/02	1,954		$12.29	$6,291	$30.26
Hallowe'en:H20	8/7/98	2,607	$8.56	$16.19	$6,210	$55.02
Halloween: Curse of Michael Myers	9/29/95	1,679		$7.31	$4,354	$15.12
Halloween V	10/13/89	1,483		$5.09	$3,432	$11.64
Friday the 13th	2/13/09	3,105		$40.57	$13,066

TAKING WOODSTOCK (Focus)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Lust, Caution	9/28/07	143		$0.48	$3,325	$4.60
Brokeback Mountain	12/9/05	217	$4.94	$1.91	$8,803	$82.86
The Hulk	6/20/03	3,660		$62.13	$16,975	$132.12
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon	1/12/01	693	$19.89	$7.73	$11,154	$128.07
Defiance	12/31/08	1789	$0.34	$8.91	$4,981	$28.64
The Omen	6/6/06	2,723	$13.30	$16.03	$5,886	$54.60
The Manchurian Candidate	7/30/04	2,867		$20.02	$6,982	$64.82
Speed Racer	5/9/08	3,606		$18.56	$5,147	$43.93
Into the Wild	9/21/07	658	$4.35	$2.14	$3,250	$18.35
Lords of Dogtown	6/3/05	1,865		$5.62	$3,015	$11.01
Milk	11/28/08	328	$5.00	$2.60	$7,923	$31.84