Weekend Warrior Box Office Predicions for August 14-16, 2009

Weekend Warrior

Box Office Predictions for August 28 - 30, 2009
By Edward Douglas -

This Week's Analysis (final update 8.27.09)

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TW	LW	Title	Weekend (in millions)	Change	# Of Theaters	Average	Week
1	New	The Final Destination	$21.2	N/A	3,121	$6,793	1
2	New	Halloween 2	$17.2	N/A	3,000	$5,733	1
3	1	Inglourious Basterds	$17.0	-55%	3,170	$5,363	2
4	2	District 9	$9.8	-46%	3,180	$3,082	3
5	3	G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra	$6.7	-45%	3,467	$1,933	4
6	5	Julie & Julia	$6.0	-32%	2,503	$2,397	4
7	4	The Time Traveller's Wife	$5.5	-44%	2,961	$1,857	3
8	New	Taking Woodstock	$4.7	N/A	1,350	$3,374	1
9	6	Shorts	$3.6	-43%	3,105	$1,159	2
10	7	G-Force	$2.5	-39%	1,926	$1,298	6
			Est. Weekend Total $94.20	Est. Avg. Drop-Off - 44%		Est. Average PTA $2,999

COMPARISONS:

THE FINAL DESTINATION (New Line/WB)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Final Destination 3	2/10/06	2,880	$19.17	$6,657	$54.10
Final Destination 2	1/31/03	2,834	$16.02	$5,652	$46.90
Final Destination	3/17/00	2,585	$10.02	$3,876	$53.30
Snakes on a Plane	8/18/06	37,485	$15.03	$4,277	$34.02
The Butterfly Effect	1/23/04	2,605	$17.07	$6,551	$57.65
My Bloody Valentine 3D	1/16/09	2,534	$21.24	$8,383	$51.55
Hero	8/27/04	2,031	$18.00	$8,865	$53.58
The Brothers Grimm	8/26/05	3,087	$15.09	$4,889	$37.74

HALLOWEEN II (Dimension Films)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Halloween	8/31/07	3,472		$26.36	$7,593	$58.27
The Devil's Rejects	7/22/05	1,757		$7.07	$4,022	$16.90
House of 1000 Corpses	4/11/03	595		$3.46	$5,816	$12.58
Halloween: Resurrection	7/12/02	1,954		$12.29	$6,291	$30.26
Hallowe'en:H20	8/7/98	2,607	$8.56	$16.19	$6,210	$55.02
Halloween: Curse of Michael Myers	9/29/95	1,679		$7.31	$4,354	$15.12
Halloween V	10/13/89	1,483		$5.09	$3,432	$11.64
Friday the 13th	2/13/09	3,105		$40.57	$13,066

TAKING WOODSTOCK (Focus)

Title	Release Date	Theater Count	Previous Box Office (in millions)	Weekend Box Office (in millions)	Average	Total Box Office
Lust, Caution	9/28/07	143		$0.48	$3,325	$4.60
Brokeback Mountain	12/9/05	217	$4.94	$1.91	$8,803	$82.86
The Hulk	6/20/03	3,660		$62.13	$16,975	$132.12
Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon	1/12/01	693	$19.89	$7.73	$11,154	$128.07
Defiance	12/31/08	1789	$0.34	$8.91	$4,981	$28.64
The Omen	6/6/06	2,723	$13.30	$16.03	$5,886	$54.60
The Manchurian Candidate	7/30/04	2,867		$20.02	$6,982	$64.82
Speed Racer	5/9/08	3,606		$18.56	$5,147	$43.93
Into the Wild	9/21/07	658	$4.35	$2.14	$3,250	$18.35
Lords of Dogtown	6/3/05	1,865		$5.62	$3,015	$11.01
Milk	11/28/08	328	$5.00	$2.60	$7,923	$31.84